Southern Province Cement Company (3050) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 2.6B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.5% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.94 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.6180 SAR to 5.94 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 18.41 SAR – 29.78 SAR · fair‑value band 0.6180 SAR – 5.94 SAR · the 18.58 SAR price screens above the 3.09 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Southern Province Cement Company (3050) currently trades at 18.58 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.09 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Southern Province Cement Company generated revenue of 850M SAR at a net margin of -8.1%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at 1.2B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6180 SAR (bear case) to 5.94 SAR (bull case); at 18.58 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -83%, 3050 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Southern Province Cement Company manufactures and produces cement, derivatives, and accessories in Saudi Arabia. It offers cement for walls and floors, ordinary Portland cement, sulfate-resistant cement, and Portland pozzolanic cement, as well as clinkers. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Abha, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Southern Province Cement Company reported revenue of 867M SAR in FY2025 versus 1.3B SAR in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −49.0M SAR in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $111.25 | $70.25 | -37% |
| Holcim AG HCMLY | $18.75 | $9.07 | -52% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹10,866 | ₹4,589 | -58% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥36.96 | ¥15.20 | -59% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,175 | ₹1,257 | -60% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.03 MXN | 17.45 MXN | -17% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥17.86 | ¥38.10 | +113% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹428.00 | ₹227.96 | -47% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹23,850 | ₹8,445 | -65% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 45.30 TWD | 2.54 TWD | -94% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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