Hang Sang (Siu Po) Intl Hldg (3626) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$313M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −10.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2410 – HK$17.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3100 · the HK$1.70 price screens above the HK$0.2500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hang Sang (Siu Po) Intl Hldg (3626) currently trades at HK$1.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 85.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hang Sang (Siu Po) Intl Hldg generated revenue of HK$96.1M at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$6.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1800 (bear case) to HK$0.3100 (bull case); at HK$1.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -85%, 3626 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$1.06) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
East Nova Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of apparel labels and packaging printing products. It offers leaflets/newsletters, greeting/catering cards, calendars, books/catalogs, and business cards, as well as stationery and packaging products.
Full company description
East Nova Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of apparel labels and packaging printing products. It offers leaflets/newsletters, greeting/catering cards, calendars, books/catalogs, and business cards, as well as stationery and packaging products. The company is also involved in trading and online distribution of food products, daily necessities, and utility products; and operation of a café. It operates in Hong Kong, South Korea, New Zealand, Vietnam, the United States, Taiwan, China, Indonesia, India, Bangladesh, Macau, El Salvador, Jordan, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Hang Sang (Siu Po) International Holding Company Limited and changed its name to East Nova Holdings Limited in December 2025. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong. East Nova Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Wade Investment SPC Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hang Sang (Siu Po) Intl Hldg reported revenue of HK$95.2M in FY2025 versus HK$62.7M in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.7M in FY2025.
3626 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $205.28 | $95.19 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | -7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | -51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $28.99 | $28.59 | -1% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $88.53 | $68.98 | -22% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$120.52 | C$49.14 | -59% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$19.89 | A$12.28 | -38% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $76.68 | $33.62 | -56% |
| Aramark ARMK | $60.35 | $13.18 | -78% |
| ISS A/S ISS | kr 288.20 | kr 251.13 | -13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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