3818 (3818) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$1.8B

3 3818 3818 · HK

PriceHK$0.3050

Fair ValueHK$0.4600

Upside+50.8%

Quality49/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.2800 – HK$0.6500

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Share price −21.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.2900 – HK$0.5274 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.6500 · the HK$0.3050 price screens below the HK$0.4600 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3818 (3818) currently trades at HK$0.3050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4600 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3818 generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B

Revenue growth (YoY) +3.9%

Net margin -9.2%

Return on equity -1.8%

Free cash flow HK$134M FY2025

Operating margin -41.1%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300

Dividend yield 3.3%

EPS growth (YoY) +48.6%

Net cash HK$1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3818 reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.9B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$152M in FY2025.

Revenue −3.6%/yr

FY21 HK$1.9B

FY22 HK$1.7B

FY23 HK$1.7B

FY24 HK$1.7B

FY25 HK$1.7B

Net income

FY21 −HK$1.8B

FY22 HK$115M

FY23 −HK$639M

FY24 HK$207M

FY25 −HK$152M

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Similar stocks

6 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB	kr 166.80	kr 165.47	-1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL	$366.55	$365.78	-0%
Moncler S.p.A MONC	€51.22	€50.69	-1%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL	$58.41	$37.01	-37%
LPP SA LPP	18,350 PLN	20,063 PLN	+9%
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI	$23.61	$16.83	-29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3818 (3818) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4600 versus a price of HK$0.3050 — about +51% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3818?

Our model-based fair value for 3818 is HK$0.4600 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3050.

What is the quality score of 3818?

3818 has a Quality Score of 49/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3818 (3818)?

3818 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3818?

The net profit margin of 3818 is about -9.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 3818 pay a dividend?

3818 currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.28% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.