China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd (3818) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2800 to HK$0.5600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1973 – HK$1.17 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.5600 · the HK$0.3000 price screens below the HK$0.4100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd (3818) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2800 (bear case) to HK$0.5600 (bull case); at HK$0.3000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 37%, 3818 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.9900) versus Multiples (HK$0.3500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and sale of sport-related apparel, footwear, and accessories in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers its products under the Kappa and Phenix brands.
Full company description
China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and sale of sport-related apparel, footwear, and accessories in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers its products under the Kappa and Phenix brands. It also investments in different kinds of financial assets or treasury products; design and sales of children's clothing; offers accommodation, tourism, and design and consulting services; engages in the hotel management and tourism; development and operation real estate properties; and owns trademark, as well as retail sales of sports-related products, apparel and accessories, and imports and exports activities. In addition, the company operates a chain of retail shops and outlets for selling sport apparel, footwear, and accessories, as well as through online. China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.9B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$152M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 174.25 | kr 165.47 | -5% |
| LPP SA LPP | 22,220 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -20% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.65 | HK$5.92 | +27% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.78 | ¥5.59 | -28% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹38,295 | ₹12,395 | -68% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥6.07 | ¥9.92 | +63% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 85,200 KRW | 188,736 KRW | +122% |
| F&F Co 383220 | 68,800 KRW | 179,500 KRW | +161% |
| Youngone Holdings 009970 | 188,300 KRW | 697,038 KRW | +270% |
| Wiselink Co 8932 | 105.00 TWD | 37.95 TWD | -64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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