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3919 (3919) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$27.2M

3 3919 3919 · HK
PriceHK$0.6700
Fair ValueHK$0.1800
Upside-73.1%
Quality42/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2200

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Share price −45.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$2.20 HK$0.6700 Fair Value HK$0.1800 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.6700 – HK$2.20 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2200 · the HK$0.6700 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3919 (3919) currently trades at HK$0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 3919 generated revenue of HK$334M at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$200M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 70.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$334M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.8%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.0%
Free cash flow −HK$15.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 70.0
More key figures
Operating margin 1.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) -75.1%
Net debt HK$200M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3919 reported revenue of HK$334M in FY2025 versus HK$347M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$326K in FY2025, compounding −48.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −1.0%/yr
FY21 HK$347M
FY22 HK$330M
FY23 HK$270M
FY24 HK$318M
FY25 HK$334M
Net income −48.7%/yr
FY21 HK$4.7M
FY22 −HK$22.8M
FY23 −HK$10.9M
FY24 −HK$6.4M
FY25 HK$326K

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3919 (3919) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$0.6700 — about −73% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 3919?
Our model-based fair value for 3919 is HK$0.1800 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.6700.
What is the quality score of 3919?
3919 has a Quality Score of 42/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 3919 (3919)?
3919 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$334M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3919?
The net profit margin of 3919 is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.