Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.18, price HK$1.43, upside -87.4%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4900 – HK$8.28 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2200 · the HK$1.43 price screens above the HK$0.1800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Golden Power Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale batteries for various electronic devices in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Disposable Batteries, and Rechargeable Batteries and Other Battery-Related Products.
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Golden Power Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale batteries for various electronic devices in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Disposable Batteries, and Rechargeable Batteries and Other Battery-Related Products. The company offers cylindrical batteries and micro-button cells, battery chargers, battery power packs, and electric fans. It is also involved in property holding and investment; intellectual property holding; general trading and investment activities; and trading of batteries, storage batteries, and battery-related products. The company sells its products under the Golden Power brand and brands of its private label and OEM customers. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong. Golden Power Group Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Golden Villa Ltd.
Stock analysis
Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919) currently trades at HK$1.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1800, 87.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$0.6900 per share, and 4 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$1.43 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0800, and 8 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2200 (bull), the price of HK$1.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$334M in FY2025 versus HK$347M in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$326K in FY2025, compounding −48.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$43.1M (≈ $5.5M) · P/E ratio 70.0 · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1100 · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin 1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −87%, 3919 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1300Fair Value HK$0.1800Bull HK$0.2200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.6% vs −18.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 14.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 543 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.17× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)70.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)44· sector 56
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3919
Frequently asked questions
Is Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1800 versus a price of HK$1.43, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3919?
Our model-based fair value for Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.43.
What is the quality score of 3919?
Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1800 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1800, about −87% upside versus a price of HK$1.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$334M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.43. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 3919 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.43, fair value HK$0.1800, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3919?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1800). For Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$43.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.43; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3919?
Our models span a range for Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.1800, optimistic HK$0.2200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3919?
Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 70.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Balance-sheet figures for Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.0%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3919 from its 52-week high?
Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.43, about 35% below its 52-week high of HK$2.20 and 192% above the low of HK$0.4900 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.43, calculated fair value HK$0.1800 (−87%), Quality Score 46/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3919 calculated?
We run Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.43. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1800, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
The market capitalisation of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is HK$43.1M (≈ $5.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is 0.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Earnings per share at Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 70.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
The net margin of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
The operating margin of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Revenue at Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is growing +8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919)?
Earnings per share at Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd are growing −75.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919) generate?
The free cash flow of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is −HK$15.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd (3919) carry?
The net debt of Golden Power Group Holdings Ltd is HK$200M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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