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CALB Co. Ltd. (3931) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$40.9B

CC CALB Co. Ltd. 3931 · HK
PriceHK$19.69
Fair ValueHK$16.46
Upside-16.4%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$15.25 – HK$20.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −2.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from HK$15.25 (bear) to HK$20.58 (bull), base HK$16.46. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$38.00 HK$11.26 Fair Value HK$16.46 Oct 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

46‑month range HK$11.26 – HK$38.00 · fair‑value band HK$15.25 – HK$20.58 · the HK$19.69 price screens above the HK$16.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CALB Co. Ltd. (3931) currently trades at HK$19.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$16.46, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CALB Co. Ltd. generated revenue of HK$49.3B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 71.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at HK$48.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$15.25 (bear case) to HK$20.58 (bull case); at HK$19.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -65% fair-value upside, at -16%, 3931 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder HK$2.42 HK$4.94 HK$7.14 72
Growth-Adj P/E HK$26.68 HK$38.12 HK$49.55 68
P/E Multiple HK$13.11 HK$17.48 HK$21.86 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$5.66 HK$39.48 HK$55.41 54
Lynch FV HK$20.40 HK$29.14 HK$37.88 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$20.40 HK$29.14 HK$37.88 46
EPV HK$2.42 HK$4.94 HK$7.14 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$13.11 HK$17.48 HK$21.86 63
P/S Multiple HK$10.62 HK$14.15 HK$17.69 58
P/B Multiple HK$10.62 HK$14.15 HK$17.69 55
EV/EBIT HK$9.79 HK$17.28 HK$24.78 53
EV/EBITDA HK$30.81 HK$45.31 HK$59.81 54
EV/Revenue HK$3.35 HK$10.23 HK$17.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.37 HK$13.89 HK$20.74 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$15.46 HK$15.31 HK$13.80 61
ROIC Compounder HK$2.42 HK$4.94 HK$7.14 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$26.68 HK$38.12 HK$49.55 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$38.12) versus Economic Profit (HK$4.94). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$49.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +71.2%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 4.4%
Free cash flow −HK$6.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 7.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) +62.1%
Net debt HK$48.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CALB Group Co., Ltd., a new energy technology company, engages in the design, research, development, production, and sale of electric vehicle batteries and energy storage system products in Mainland China, Europe, Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

CALB Group Co., Ltd., a new energy technology company, engages in the design, research, development, production, and sale of electric vehicle batteries and energy storage system products in Mainland China, Europe, Asia, the United States, and internationally. The company is also involved in research, production, sales and market application development of lithium batteries, battery management systems, and related integrated products, as well as materials for lithium batteries; and research and development, manufacturing, and sales of automotive parts and accessories. It also offers UP, ZHIYUAN, Boundless, and ZHIJIU batteries. The company serves passenger and commercial vehicle, energy storage, ship, low altitude, and robot markets. CALB Group Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Changzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CALB Co. Ltd. reported revenue of HK$44.4B in FY2025 versus HK$6.8B in FY2021, a compound +59.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.5B in FY2025, compounding +80.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$44.4B
Latest YoY
+60.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+73.5%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+71.7%
Revenue +59.8%/yr
FY21 HK$6.8B
FY22 HK$20.4B
FY23 HK$27.0B
FY24 HK$27.8B
FY25 HK$44.4B
Net income +80.2%/yr
FY21 HK$140M
FY22 HK$692M
FY23 HK$294M
FY24 HK$591M
FY25 HK$1.5B

3931 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CALB Co. Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3931

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 527 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 71% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.88× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.11× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.83× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.61× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 17 · sector 26
HEALTH 56 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$652.50 HK$394.19 -40%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 269.00 THB 40.28 THB -85%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 365,500 KRW 201,455 KRW -45%
WEG S.A WEGE3 14,900 ARS 4,338 ARS -71%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥117.53 ¥123.83 +5%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 782,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -53%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 208,500 KRW 29,594 KRW -86%
Hyosung Heavy Industries Corporation 298040 2,892,000 KRW 1,013,099 KRW -65%
Hitachi Energy India Limited POWERINDIA ₹35,800 ₹6,106 -83%
Polycab India Limited POLYCAB ₹9,289 ₹3,218 -65%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CALB Co. Ltd. (3931) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$16.46 versus a price of HK$19.69, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3931?
Our model-based fair value for CALB Co. Ltd. is HK$16.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$19.69.
What is the quality score of 3931?
CALB Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CALB Co. Ltd. (3931)?
CALB Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$49.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3931?
The net profit margin of CALB Co. Ltd. is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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