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TaiMed Biologics (4147) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what TaiMed Biologics is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · TW · ISIN TW0004147004

TB Thin data Sep 13, 2026

TaiMed Biologics

4147 · TWO

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 16.30 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 61/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -20.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

132.00 TWD 47.10 TWD Fair Value 16.30 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 47.10 TWD – 132.00 TWD · fair‑value band 9.04 TWD – 21.40 TWD · the 59.80 TWD price screens above the 16.30 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

TaiMed Biologics Inc., a biotechnology company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes drugs for the treatment and prevention of infectious diseases. The company develops and markets Trogarzo IV infusion and Trogarzo IV push, a monoclonal antibody for HIV treatment.

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TaiMed Biologics Inc., a biotechnology company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes drugs for the treatment and prevention of infectious diseases. The company develops and markets Trogarzo IV infusion and Trogarzo IV push, a monoclonal antibody for HIV treatment. It is also developing TMB-365, a monoclonal antibody used for HIV treatment and prevention which has completed a phase-1 clinical trial; and TMB-365 and TMB-380 combination, a monoclonal antibody combination therapy for HIV that is in phase-1b/2a clinical trial, as well as antibody-drug conjugates for cancer treatment. In addition, the company offers contract development and manufacturing services. It has a research and development agreement with Genentech and Biogen Inc. for Trogarzo TMB-355; and authorizes Samsung Biologics to produce TMB-355. TaiMed Biologics Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

TaiMed Biologics (4147) currently trades at 59.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.30 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 266.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 17.52 TWD per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 59.80 TWD price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 8.47 TWD, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 9.04 TWD (bear) to 21.40 TWD (bull), the price of 59.80 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

TaiMed Biologics reported revenue of 611M TWD in FY2025 versus 413M TWD in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −168M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 16.3B TWD (≈ $515M) · P/S ratio 26.5 · EPS (TTM) −0.6100 TWD · Net margin −27.4% · Return on equity −3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.7% · Operating margin 1.4% · Revenue (TTM) 601M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −73%, 4147 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 9.04 TWD Fair Value 16.30 TWD Bull 21.40 TWD
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 12.16 TWD 18.17 TWD 37.28 TWD 72
Growth DCF 11.54 TWD 21.24 TWD 37.13 TWD 71
5Y Revenue Exit 8.40 TWD 12.83 TWD 22.07 TWD 66
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 12.16 TWD 18.17 TWD 37.28 TWD 72
5Y Revenue Exit 8.40 TWD 12.83 TWD 22.07 TWD 66
10Y Revenue Exit 9.40 TWD 17.52 TWD 22.35 TWD 63
Multiples
EV/Revenue 6.44 TWD 8.47 TWD 10.50 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.13 TWD 9.55 TWD 14.25 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.54 TWD 21.24 TWD 37.13 TWD 71
Rev-Margin DCF 9.07 TWD 14.44 TWD 25.72 TWD 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Revenue growth 16 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.1%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.4% (2020) → −31.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+46.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

4147 screens 267% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 645 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −21% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 3.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $515.44 $566.98 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $781.49 $1,241 +59%
argenx SE ARGX €853.80 €752.12 −12%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥247.30 ¥124.62 −50%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,415,000 KRW 1,556,500 KRW +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $248.68 $211.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.61 $24.22 −59%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 178,200 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $96.73 $63.31 −35%
Incyte Corporation INCY $121.47 $204.93 +69%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TaiMed Biologics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4147

Frequently asked questions

Is TaiMed Biologics (4147) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.30 TWD versus a price of 59.80 TWD, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4147?
Our model-based fair value for TaiMed Biologics is 16.30 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59.80 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4147?
TaiMed Biologics has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.30 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.04 TWD, optimistic scenario 21.40 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TaiMed Biologics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.30 TWD, about −73% upside versus a price of 59.80 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.04 TWD, optimistic scenario 21.40 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
TaiMed Biologics reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 601M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TaiMed Biologics would have to grow free cash flow by +46.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4147 use?
Our models discount TaiMed Biologics at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TaiMed Biologics that is +46.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TaiMed Biologics (4147) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TaiMed Biologics grew -3.3 % a year. The price currently implies +46.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TaiMed Biologics (4147) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TaiMed Biologics (+46.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.03 %: that much free cash flow TaiMed Biologics produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TaiMed Biologics it is 16.30 TWD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 59.80 TWD. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TaiMed Biologics stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4147 trades above its calculated fair value: price 59.80 TWD, fair value 16.30 TWD, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4147?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59.80 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.30 TWD). For TaiMed Biologics the two are 43.50 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TaiMed Biologics worth?
The market values TaiMed Biologics at about 16.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 59.80 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 16.30 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4147?
Our models span a range for TaiMed Biologics: cautious scenario 9.04 TWD, base 16.30 TWD, optimistic 21.40 TWD per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 59.80 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
Balance-sheet figures for TaiMed Biologics (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −3.2%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4147 from its 52-week high?
TaiMed Biologics trades at 59.80 TWD, about 39% below its 52-week high of 98.50 TWD and 27% above the low of 47.00 TWD (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.30 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TaiMed Biologics?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TaiMed Biologics stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 59.80 TWD, calculated fair value 16.30 TWD (−73%), Quality Score 61/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4147 calculated?
We run TaiMed Biologics through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.30 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. TaiMed Biologics itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with TaiMed Biologics right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.40 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (9.04 TWD to 21.40 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TaiMed Biologics

How large is the market capitalisation of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
The market capitalisation of TaiMed Biologics is 16.3B TWD (≈ $515M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TaiMed Biologics is 26.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
Earnings per share at TaiMed Biologics are −0.6100 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
The net margin of TaiMed Biologics is −27.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TaiMed Biologics is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TaiMed Biologics is −5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
The operating margin of TaiMed Biologics is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TaiMed Biologics (4147)?
Revenue at TaiMed Biologics is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does TaiMed Biologics (4147) carry?
The net debt of TaiMed Biologics is 471M TWD (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 2.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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