Holy Stone Healthcare Co (4194) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · TW · Market cap 978M TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.09 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (0.5800 TWD to 1.09 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.70 TWD – 46.48 TWD · fair‑value band 0.5800 TWD – 1.09 TWD · the 6.28 TWD price screens above the 0.8700 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Holy Stone Healthcare Co (4194) currently trades at 6.28 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8700 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 47.5M TWD. It earns a return on equity of -46.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 252M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.5800 TWD (bear case) to 1.09 TWD (bull case); at 6.28 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -86%, 4194 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Holy Stone Healthcare Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells hyaluronic acid-related therapeutic products in Taiwan.
Full company description
Holy Stone Healthcare Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells hyaluronic acid-related therapeutic products in Taiwan. The company offers RenehaVis and SportVis, which are injectable medical devices for osteoarthritis and soft tissue injuries; TRUD, a medical device that contains a mixture of hyaluronic acid used for the treatment and prevention of ulcerative colitis in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); and GAF, a gel for anal fissure healing. It also develops IBD98-M, an oral capsule that is in a Phase IIa trial for ulcerative colitis; CA102N, a receptor-targeted chemotherapy that is in a Phase II trial for metastatic colorectal cancer, as well as in a pre-clinical stage for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and a discovery stage for triple-negative breast cancer; ND108E, a CNS-targeted HA conjugate that is in a pre-clinical trial for Alzheimer's disease; AMD112, a non-invasive HA-conjugated small molecule therapy that is in a pre-clinical trial for wet age-related macular degeneration and other neovascular retinal diseases; and HylCaryo, a hyaluronic acid (HA)-derived nanoparticle platform in a discovery stage. In addition, the company engages in general investment; development and sale of medical devices; biotechnology services; and patent application for pharmaceutical products. Holy Stone Healthcare Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Holy Stone Healthcare Co reported revenue of 0 TWD in FY2025 versus 217M TWD in FY2021. Reported net income was −111M TWD in FY2025.
4194 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 601 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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