SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. stock TWD 5.31, price TWD 18.05, upside -70.6%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.72 TWD – 35.30 TWD · fair‑value band 4.47 TWD – 6.77 TWD · the 18.05 TWD price screens above the 5.31 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.
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SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells EMI shielding laminating materials in Taiwan and internationally.
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The company offers wire and cable packaging materials, single-sided aluminum foil polyester tapes, double-sided aluminum foil polyester tapes, single-sided low-temperature hot-melt aluminum foil tapes, single-sided hot melt aluminum foil tapes, double-sided hot melt aluminum foil polyester tapes, double layer hot melt aluminum foil polyester tapes, polyester tapes, tissue paper tapes, non-woven tapes, foam PP tapes, soft packaging materials, special purpose composite materials, composite film for industrial use, other special tapes, other types of plastic films, and EMI electromagnetic wave barrier materials and ESD packaging materials.
Its products are used in the wires and cables; computers, communications, and consumer electronics; food packaging; and medical equipment. The company was formerly known as Taipei Lamination Industries Inc. and changed its name to SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2007.
The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304) currently trades at 18.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.31 TWD, 70.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 6.34 TWD per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 18.05 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3.45 TWD, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4.47 TWD (bear) to 6.77 TWD (bull), the price of 18.05 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 341M TWD in FY2025 versus 383M TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −43.7M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1B TWD (≈ $33.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.95 · EPS (TTM) −0.3800 TWD · Net margin −4.1% · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin 10.0% · Revenue (TTM) 362M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −71%, 4304 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear4.47 TWDFair Value 5.31 TWDBull6.77 TWD
Price 18.05 TWD · Upside -70.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF5.72 TWD6.92 TWD8.98 TWD82
Growth DCF5.85 TWD7.00 TWD8.81 TWD80
5Y Revenue Exit5.07 TWD6.25 TWD7.96 TWD74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF5.72 TWD6.92 TWD8.98 TWD82
5Y Revenue Exit5.07 TWD6.25 TWD7.96 TWD74
10Y Revenue Exit5.26 TWD6.12 TWD7.02 TWD68
Multiples
EV/Revenuen/a0.2300 TWD>0.9200 TWD50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)2.57 TWD3.45 TWD5.15 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF5.85 TWD7.00 TWD8.81 TWD80
Rev-Margin DCF5.07 TWD6.34 TWD7.92 TWD74
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.5% (2020) → −12.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.1% a year for the price.
Compare SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−70.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−6.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)10.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.51× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.05× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow59.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 43
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.31 TWD versus a price of 18.05 TWD, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4304?
Our model-based fair value for SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is 5.31 TWD (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4304?
SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.31 TWD (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.47 TWD, optimistic scenario 6.77 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.31 TWD, about −71% upside versus a price of 18.05 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.47 TWD, optimistic scenario 6.77 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 362M TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +32.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.8 % per year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4304 use?
Our models discount SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. that is +32.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. grew -2.8 % a year. The price currently implies +32.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (+32.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.68 %: that much free cash flow SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. it is 5.31 TWD per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 18.05 TWD. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 4304 trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.05 TWD, fair value 5.31 TWD, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4304?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.05 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.31 TWD). For SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. the two are 12.74 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. at about 1.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 18.05 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 5.31 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4304?
Our models span a range for SunVic Technology Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario 4.47 TWD, base 5.31 TWD, optimistic 6.77 TWD per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 18.05 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
Balance-sheet figures for SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4304 from its 52-week high?
SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. trades at 18.05 TWD, about 49% below its 52-week high of 35.30 TWD and 33% above the low of 13.60 TWD (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.31 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SunVic Technology Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Packaging Corporation, Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 18.05 TWD, calculated fair value 5.31 TWD (−71%), Quality Score 35/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4304 calculated?
We run SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.31 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 18.05 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 5.31 TWD, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.77 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The market capitalisation of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is 1.1B TWD (≈ $33.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is 2.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
Earnings per share at SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. are −0.3800 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The net margin of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is −4.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
The operating margin of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304)?
Revenue at SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is growing +28.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. (4304) carry?
The net debt of SunVic Technology Co., Ltd. is 228M TWD (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 12.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 29, 2026