J.D Development Co (4402) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.1B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +4.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.86 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (2.56 TWD to 4.86 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.87 TWD – 55.40 TWD · fair‑value band 2.56 TWD – 4.86 TWD · the 16.70 TWD price screens above the 3.89 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
J.D Development Co (4402) currently trades at 16.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.89 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, J.D Development Co generated revenue of 21.8M TWD at a net margin of -47.7%. Revenue declined 27.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.7%. Net debt stands at 201M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.56 TWD (bear case) to 4.86 TWD (bull case); at 16.70 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -77%, 4402 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
J.D Development Co., LTD, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of textile products in Taiwan and internationally. It offers nylon and polyester cloth, high tensile fishnet yarn, and nylon products; and epidemic prevention products, such as mask cleaning pads, gowns, flying suits, and face masks.
Full company description
J.D Development Co., LTD, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of textile products in Taiwan and internationally. It offers nylon and polyester cloth, high tensile fishnet yarn, and nylon products; and epidemic prevention products, such as mask cleaning pads, gowns, flying suits, and face masks. The company also engages in solar energy generation; and provides engineering, procurement, and construction services for small and medium solar stations and related equipment; and solar station management, maintenance, and cleaning services. The company was formerly known as Fu Ta Material Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name J.D Development Co., LTD in June 2024. J.D Development Co., LTD was founded in 1959 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
J.D Development Co reported revenue of 23.7M TWD in FY2025 versus 153M TWD in FY2021, a compound −37.3%/yr. Reported net income was −8.8M TWD in FY2025.
4402 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥78.00 | ¥11.85 | -85% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 | ¥16.75 | ¥6.42 | -62% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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