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J.D Development Co., LTD (4402) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of J.D Development Co., LTD TWD 3.89, price TWD 14.10, upside -72.4%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · TW

JD Thin data Sep 24, 2026

J.D Development Co., LTD

4402 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 3.89 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −48.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -49.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

55.40 TWD 6.09 TWD Fair Value 3.89 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.09 TWD – 55.40 TWD · fair‑value band 2.56 TWD – 4.86 TWD · the 14.10 TWD price screens above the 3.89 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

J.D Development Co., LTD, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of textile products in Taiwan and internationally. It offers nylon and polyester cloth, high tensile fishnet yarn, and nylon products; and epidemic prevention products, such as mask cleaning pads, gowns, flying suits, and face masks.

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J.D Development Co., LTD, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of textile products in Taiwan and internationally. It offers nylon and polyester cloth, high tensile fishnet yarn, and nylon products; and epidemic prevention products, such as mask cleaning pads, gowns, flying suits, and face masks. The company also engages in solar energy generation; and provides engineering, procurement, and construction services for small and medium solar stations and related equipment; and solar station management, maintenance, and cleaning services. The company was formerly known as Fu Ta Material Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name J.D Development Co., LTD in June 2024. J.D Development Co., LTD was founded in 1959 and is based in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

J.D Development Co., LTD (4402) currently trades at 14.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.89 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 262.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2.56 TWD (bear) to 4.86 TWD (bull), the price of 14.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

J.D Development Co., LTD reported revenue of 23.7M TWD in FY2025 versus 153M TWD in FY2021, a compound −37.3%/yr. Reported net income was −8.8M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 959M TWD (≈ $30.2M) · P/S ratio 44.3 · EPS (TTM) −0.1600 TWD · Net margin −36.9% · Return on equity −1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.6% · Operating margin −104% · Revenue (TTM) 22.3M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −72%, 4402 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.56 TWD Fair Value 3.89 TWD Bull 4.86 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 4.39 TWD 5.88 TWD 8.78 TWD 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.39 TWD 5.88 TWD 8.78 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−48.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−24.5% (2021) → −74.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

4402 screens 262% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −49% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −104% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.36× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$34.74 HK$71.90 +107%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥24.08 ¥14.53 −40%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.84 ¥14.35 +12%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,137 ₹901.34 −21%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.70 ¥2.40 −49%
Albany International Corp AIN $60.22 $24.73 −59%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹561.45 ₹267.33 −52%
Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 ¥7.20 ¥7.87 +9%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 60.00 TWD 106.63 TWD +78%
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co 000949 ¥6.93 ¥2.00 −71%

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J.D Development Co., LTD · Fair Value
3.89 TWD −262%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "J.D Development Co., LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4402

Frequently asked questions

Is J.D Development Co., LTD (4402) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.89 TWD versus a price of 14.10 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4402?
Our model-based fair value for J.D Development Co., LTD is 3.89 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4402?
J.D Development Co., LTD has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.89 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.56 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.86 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the J.D Development Co., LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.89 TWD, about −72% upside versus a price of 14.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.56 TWD, optimistic scenario 4.86 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
J.D Development Co., LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.3M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For J.D Development Co., LTD it is 3.89 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 14.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is J.D Development Co., LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4402 trades above its calculated fair value: price 14.10 TWD, fair value 3.89 TWD, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4402?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.89 TWD). For J.D Development Co., LTD the two are 10.21 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is J.D Development Co., LTD worth?
The market values J.D Development Co., LTD at about 959M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 14.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 3.89 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4402?
Our models span a range for J.D Development Co., LTD: cautious scenario 2.56 TWD, base 3.89 TWD, optimistic 4.86 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 14.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
Balance-sheet figures for J.D Development Co., LTD (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4402 from its 52-week high?
J.D Development Co., LTD trades at 14.10 TWD, about 31% below its 52-week high of 20.35 TWD and 24% above the low of 11.40 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.89 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to J.D Development Co., LTD?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is J.D Development Co., LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 14.10 TWD, calculated fair value 3.89 TWD (−72%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4402 calculated?
We run J.D Development Co., LTD through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.89 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. J.D Development Co., LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 14.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 3.89 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with J.D Development Co., LTD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.86 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (2.56 TWD to 4.86 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of J.D Development Co., LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
The market capitalisation of J.D Development Co., LTD is 959M TWD (≈ $30.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
The price-to-sales ratio of J.D Development Co., LTD is 44.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
Earnings per share at J.D Development Co., LTD are −0.1600 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
The net margin of J.D Development Co., LTD is −36.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
The return on equity (ROE) of J.D Development Co., LTD is −1.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of J.D Development Co., LTD is −4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
The operating margin of J.D Development Co., LTD is −104% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at J.D Development Co., LTD (4402)?
Revenue at J.D Development Co., LTD is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −48.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does J.D Development Co., LTD (4402) generate?
The free cash flow of J.D Development Co., LTD is −8.6M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does J.D Development Co., LTD (4402) carry?
The net debt of J.D Development Co., LTD is 201M TWD (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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