Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. KRW 9,532, price KRW 40,250, upside -76.3%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range 9,280 KRW – 53,000 KRW · fair‑value band 6,265 KRW – 14,436 KRW · the 40,250 KRW price screens above the 9,532 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sapien Semiconductors Inc. engages in the provision of customized ASIC products and solutions for micro-LED. The company provides silicon CMOS backplane for AR/XR displays, and micro pixel driver products for large displays and related driving chip sets The company is based in Seongnam-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430) currently trades at 40,250 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,532 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 322.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 10,376 KRW per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 40,250 KRW price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,049 KRW, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6,265 KRW (bear) to 14,436 KRW (bull), the price of 40,250 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sapien Semiconductors Inc. reported revenue of 17.3B KRW in FY2025 versus 1.4B KRW in FY2021, a compound +88.4%/yr. Reported net income was −4.8B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 331B KRW (≈ $243M) · P/S ratio 9.57 · Net margin −27.7% · Return on equity −19.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −32.0% · Operating margin 1.4% · Revenue (TTM) 22.8B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) +333%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −76%, 452430 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1,049 KRW to 11,963 KRW). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 6,265 KRWFair Value 9,532 KRWBull 14,436 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+116.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−90.5% (2021) → −26.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.3% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 219 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sapien Semiconductors Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/452430
Frequently asked questions
Is Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,532 KRW versus a price of 40,250 KRW, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 452430?
Our model-based fair value for Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is 9,532 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 40,250 KRW.
What is the quality score of 452430?
Sapien Semiconductors Inc. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9,532 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6,265 KRW, optimistic scenario 14,436 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sapien Semiconductors Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9,532 KRW, about −76% upside versus a price of 40,250 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6,265 KRW, optimistic scenario 14,436 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
Sapien Semiconductors Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.8B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sapien Semiconductors Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +48.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +88.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 452430 use?
Our models discount Sapien Semiconductors Inc. at 13.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sapien Semiconductors Inc. that is +48.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Sapien Semiconductors Inc. grew +88.5 % a year. The price currently implies +48.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (+48.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.20 %: that much free cash flow Sapien Semiconductors Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sapien Semiconductors Inc. it is 9,532 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 40,250 KRW. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sapien Semiconductors Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 452430 trades above its calculated fair value: price 40,250 KRW, fair value 9,532 KRW, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 452430?
No. The price is what the market pays today (40,250 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9,532 KRW). For Sapien Semiconductors Inc. the two are 30,718 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sapien Semiconductors Inc. worth?
The market values Sapien Semiconductors Inc. at about 331B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 40,250 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 9,532 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 452430?
Our models span a range for Sapien Semiconductors Inc.: cautious scenario 6,265 KRW, base 9,532 KRW, optimistic 14,436 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 40,250 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −19.0%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 452430 from its 52-week high?
Sapien Semiconductors Inc. trades at 40,250 KRW, about 24% below its 52-week high of 53,000 KRW and 101% above the low of 20,000 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9,532 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sapien Semiconductors Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sapien Semiconductors Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 40,250 KRW, calculated fair value 9,532 KRW (−76%), Quality Score 58/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 452430 calculated?
We run Sapien Semiconductors Inc. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9,532 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sapien Semiconductors Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 40,250 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 9,532 KRW, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sapien Semiconductors Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14,436 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (6,265 KRW to 14,436 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sapien Semiconductors Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The market capitalisation of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is 331B KRW (≈ $243M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is 9.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The net margin of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is −27.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is −19.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is −32.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
The operating margin of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
Revenue at Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is growing +333% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430)?
Earnings per share at Sapien Semiconductors Inc. are growing −94.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sapien Semiconductors Inc. (452430) carry?
The net debt of Sapien Semiconductors Inc. is 1.4B KRW (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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