Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Calin Technology Co Ltd TWD 8.82, price TWD 35.20, upside -74.9%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 23.00 TWD – 100.00 TWD · fair‑value band 5.82 TWD – 11.03 TWD · the 35.20 TWD price screens above the 8.82 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Calin Technology Co., Ltd. manufacturing and surface treatment of optical instruments, electronic components, industrial plastic products, molds, and automobiles and their parts in Taiwan.
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Calin Technology Co., Ltd. manufacturing and surface treatment of optical instruments, electronic components, industrial plastic products, molds, and automobiles and their parts in Taiwan. The company offers automotive lens, such as side view camera, around view monitoring, rear view camera; optical lenses, includes prisms, cylindrical lenses, aspherical glass molded; lidar optical components and lenses, customized r&d design and manufacturing, providing high-quality lidar application parts; and plastic components, such as pmo optical plastic lens, injection molding. The company also offers realy lens, camera lenses, CCTV surveillance lenses, video lenses, projector lenses; customized optical communication; and mold design, ultra-precision machining. The company's products are used for automotive lens, LiDAR, consumer lens, and optical communication applications. Calin Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976) currently trades at 35.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.82 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 299.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 5.82 TWD (bear) to 11.03 TWD (bull), the price of 35.20 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Calin Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was −261M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.9B TWD (≈ $154M) · P/S ratio 4.36 · EPS (TTM) −1.88 TWD · Net margin −25.6% · Return on equity −13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% · Operating margin −33.8% · Revenue (TTM) 1.0B TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −75%, 4976 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5.82 TWDFair Value 8.82 TWDBull 11.03 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.2% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.2% (2020) → −26.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Calin Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−75% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−34% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.15× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)5· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Calin Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4976
Frequently asked questions
Is Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.82 TWD versus a price of 35.20 TWD, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4976?
Our model-based fair value for Calin Technology Co Ltd is 8.82 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 35.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4976?
Calin Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.82 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.82 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.03 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Calin Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.82 TWD, about −75% upside versus a price of 35.20 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.82 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.03 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
Calin Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Calin Technology Co Ltd it is 8.82 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 35.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Calin Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4976 trades above its calculated fair value: price 35.20 TWD, fair value 8.82 TWD, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4976?
No. The price is what the market pays today (35.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.82 TWD). For Calin Technology Co Ltd the two are 26.38 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Calin Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Calin Technology Co Ltd at about 4.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 35.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 8.82 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4976?
Our models span a range for Calin Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 5.82 TWD, base 8.82 TWD, optimistic 11.03 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 35.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
Balance-sheet figures for Calin Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −13.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4976 from its 52-week high?
Calin Technology Co Ltd trades at 35.20 TWD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 43.90 TWD and 30% above the low of 27.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.82 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Calin Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Calin Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 35.20 TWD, calculated fair value 8.82 TWD (−75%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4976 calculated?
We run Calin Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.82 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Calin Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 35.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 8.82 TWD, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Calin Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.03 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (5.82 TWD to 11.03 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Calin Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
The market capitalisation of Calin Technology Co Ltd is 4.9B TWD (≈ $154M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Calin Technology Co Ltd is 4.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
Earnings per share at Calin Technology Co Ltd are −1.88 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
The net margin of Calin Technology Co Ltd is −25.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Calin Technology Co Ltd is −13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Calin Technology Co Ltd is −5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
The operating margin of Calin Technology Co Ltd is −33.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976)?
Revenue at Calin Technology Co Ltd is growing +0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976) generate?
The free cash flow of Calin Technology Co Ltd is −103M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Calin Technology Co Ltd (4976) hold?
Calin Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 829M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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