PCL Technologies Inc (4977) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PCL Technologies Inc TWD 40.79, price TWD 169, upside -75.8%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 62.10 TWD – 270.50 TWD · fair‑value band 38.55 TWD – 44.10 TWD · the 168.50 TWD price screens above the 40.79 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PCL Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells optical transceiver products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers optical transceivers, fiber channels, TO-Can packages, and optical sub-assemblies, as well as sub-assembly and module products. It also offers tooling design services.
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PCL Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells optical transceiver products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers optical transceivers, fiber channels, TO-Can packages, and optical sub-assemblies, as well as sub-assembly and module products. It also offers tooling design services. In addition, the company provides reliability and testing support services comprising of design, pilot run, mass production, quality control and process improvement services. Further, it engages in research, manufacture, and sale of optical components; international trade; and provision of related skills and post-sales services. PCL Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.
Stock analysis
PCL Technologies Inc (4977) currently trades at 168.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.79 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 313.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 89.67 TWD per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 168.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 12.12 TWD, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 38.55 TWD (bear) to 44.10 TWD (bull), the price of 168.50 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
PCL Technologies Inc reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 353M TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 13.3B TWD (≈ $418M) · P/E ratio 38.1 · P/S ratio 12.5 · EPS (TTM) 4.42 TWD · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 32.9% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −76%, 4977 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (12.12 TWD to 119.65 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 38.55 TWDFair Value 40.79 TWDBull 44.10 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.64 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.6% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs 0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−76% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)38.1× · Pricier than median
P/B3.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)13.16× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is PCL Technologies Inc (4977) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.79 TWD versus a price of 168.50 TWD, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4977?
Our model-based fair value for PCL Technologies Inc is 40.79 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 168.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4977?
PCL Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 40.79 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 38.55 TWD, optimistic scenario 44.10 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PCL Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 40.79 TWD, about −76% upside versus a price of 168.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 38.55 TWD, optimistic scenario 44.10 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
PCL Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PCL Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
PCL Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PCL Technologies Inc it is 40.79 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 168.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PCL Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4977 trades above its calculated fair value: price 168.50 TWD, fair value 40.79 TWD, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4977?
No. The price is what the market pays today (168.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (40.79 TWD). For PCL Technologies Inc the two are 127.71 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PCL Technologies Inc worth?
The market values PCL Technologies Inc at about 13.3B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 168.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 40.79 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4977?
Our models span a range for PCL Technologies Inc: cautious scenario 38.55 TWD, base 40.79 TWD, optimistic 44.10 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 168.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4977?
PCL Technologies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 40.79 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 13.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Balance-sheet figures for PCL Technologies Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4977 from its 52-week high?
PCL Technologies Inc trades at 168.50 TWD, about 38% below its 52-week high of 270.50 TWD and 71% above the low of 98.60 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 40.79 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PCL Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Seagate Technology Holdings, Western Digital Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PCL Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 168.50 TWD, calculated fair value 40.79 TWD (−76%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4977 calculated?
We run PCL Technologies Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 40.79 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PCL Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 168.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 40.79 TWD, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PCL Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (44.10 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (38.55 TWD to 44.10 TWD), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of PCL Technologies Inc (4977) come from?
Earnings per share at PCL Technologies Inc grew −1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.5 %, EBIT margin −9.3 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +16.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of PCL Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The market capitalisation of PCL Technologies Inc is 13.3B TWD (≈ $418M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PCL Technologies Inc is 12.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Earnings per share at PCL Technologies Inc are 4.42 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The dividend yield of PCL Technologies Inc is 1.3% (payout 49.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The net margin of PCL Technologies Inc is 32.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PCL Technologies Inc is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PCL Technologies Inc is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The operating margin of PCL Technologies Inc is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Revenue at PCL Technologies Inc is growing −23.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Earnings per share at PCL Technologies Inc are growing −53.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PCL Technologies Inc (4977) generate?
The free cash flow of PCL Technologies Inc is −82.4M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does PCL Technologies Inc (4977) hold?
PCL Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, 206M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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