PCL Technologies Inc (4977) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PCL Technologies Inc stock TWD 26.39, price TWD 178, that is 85.2% below the price, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 62.10 TWD – 270.50 TWD · fair‑value band 21.79 TWD – 33.91 TWD · the 178.00 TWD price screens above the 26.39 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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PCL Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells optical transceiver products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers optical transceivers, fiber channels, TO-Can packages, and optical sub-assemblies, as well as sub-assembly and module products.
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It also offers tooling design services. In addition, the company provides reliability and testing support services comprising of design, pilot run, mass production, quality control and process improvement services.
Further, it engages in research, manufacture, and sale of optical components; international trade; and provision of related skills and post-sales services. PCL Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.
Stock analysis
PCL Technologies Inc (4977) currently trades at 178.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 26.39 TWD, 85% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 74.68 TWD per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 178.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 15.00 TWD, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 21.79 TWD (bear) to 33.91 TWD (bull), the price of 178.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
PCL Technologies Inc reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 353M TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 17.7B TWD (≈ $538M) Small · P/E ratio 53.8 · P/S ratio 18.4 · EPS (TTM) 3.31 TWD · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 28.6% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −85%, 4977 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (9.77 TWD to 112.80 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear21.79 TWDFair Value 26.39 TWDBull33.91 TWD
Price 178.00 TWD · Downside -85.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9673 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Per share before 2022divided by the spin-off factor 1.016
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.9% vs 0.3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 213 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−85.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.1% · Below median
Return on assets7.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)28.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−9.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−17.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)53.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.40× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)18.37× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 84
PAST (return on equity)28· sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)25· sector 50
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is PCL Technologies Inc (4977) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 26.39 TWD versus a price of 178.00 TWD, about 85% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4977?
Our model-based fair value for PCL Technologies Inc is 26.39 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 178.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4977?
PCL Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 26.39 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21.79 TWD, optimistic scenario 33.91 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PCL Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 26.39 TWD, about 85% lower versus a price of 178.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 21.79 TWD, optimistic scenario 33.91 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
PCL Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 962M TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does PCL Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
PCL Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of PCL Technologies Inc (4977) and when is the ex-dividend date?
PCL Technologies Inc pays a dividend of 2.18 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 22, 2026. The payout ratio is 65.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PCL Technologies Inc it is 26.39 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 178.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is PCL Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 4977 trades above its calculated fair value: price 178.00 TWD, fair value 26.39 TWD, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4977?
No. The price is what the market pays today (178.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (26.39 TWD). For PCL Technologies Inc the two are 151.61 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PCL Technologies Inc worth?
The market values PCL Technologies Inc at about 17.7B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 178.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 26.39 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4977?
Our models span a range for PCL Technologies Inc: cautious scenario 21.79 TWD, base 26.39 TWD, optimistic 33.91 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 178.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4977?
PCL Technologies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 53.8 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 26.39 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings: 23.5. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 18.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Balance-sheet figures for PCL Technologies Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 7.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4977 from its 52-week high?
PCL Technologies Inc trades at 178.00 TWD, about 34% below its 52-week high of 270.50 TWD and 81% above the low of 98.60 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 26.39 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PCL Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PCL Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 178.00 TWD, calculated fair value 26.39 TWD (−85%), Quality Score 58/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4977 calculated?
We run PCL Technologies Inc through 15 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 26.39 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. PCL Technologies Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 178.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 26.39 TWD, about 85% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PCL Technologies Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (33.91 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of PCL Technologies Inc (4977) come from?
Earnings per share at PCL Technologies Inc grew −1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.5 %, EBIT margin −9.3 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +16.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of PCL Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The market capitalisation of PCL Technologies Inc is 17.7B TWD (≈ $538M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PCL Technologies Inc is 18.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Earnings per share at PCL Technologies Inc are 3.31 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The dividend yield of PCL Technologies Inc is 1.2% (payout 65.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The net margin of PCL Technologies Inc is 28.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PCL Technologies Inc is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PCL Technologies Inc is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
The operating margin of PCL Technologies Inc is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Revenue at PCL Technologies Inc is growing −17.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PCL Technologies Inc (4977)?
Earnings per share at PCL Technologies Inc are growing −30.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PCL Technologies Inc (4977) generate?
The free cash flow of PCL Technologies Inc is −82.4M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does PCL Technologies Inc (4977) hold?
PCL Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, 206M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026