PCL Technologies, Inc (4977) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 11.2B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 33.60 TWD to 42.17 TWD (+25.5%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (62.21 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (31.65 TWD to 62.21 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 62.10 TWD – 270.50 TWD · fair‑value band 31.65 TWD – 62.21 TWD · the 144.50 TWD price screens above the 42.17 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
PCL Technologies, Inc (4977) currently trades at 144.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.17 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PCL Technologies, Inc generated revenue of 1.0B TWD at a net margin of 35.8%. Revenue declined 23.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 206M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 31.65 TWD (bear case) to 62.21 TWD (bull case); at 144.50 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -71%, 4977 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (75.52 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (13.40 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PCL Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells optical transceiver products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers optical transceivers, fiber channels, TO-Can packages, and optical sub-assemblies, as well as sub-assembly and module products. It also offers tooling design services.
Full company description
PCL Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells optical transceiver products in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers optical transceivers, fiber channels, TO-Can packages, and optical sub-assemblies, as well as sub-assembly and module products. It also offers tooling design services. In addition, the company provides reliability and testing support services comprising of design, pilot run, mass production, quality control and process improvement services. Further, it engages in research, manufacture, and sale of optical components; international trade; and provision of related skills and post-sales services. PCL Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PCL Technologies, Inc reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 353M TWD in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −3.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
4977 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 215 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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