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5000 Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 2.1B MYR

5 5000 5000 · KLSE
Price2.88 MYR
Fair Value1.79 MYR
Upside-38.0%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 39.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.50% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 89/100
Evidence: High Range 1.33 MYR – 3.98 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 5.10 MYR to 1.79 MYR (−65.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide (1.33 MYR to 3.98 MYR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.80 MYR 0.6936 MYR Fair Value 1.79 MYR Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6936 MYR – 3.80 MYR · fair‑value band 1.33 MYR – 3.98 MYR · the 2.88 MYR price screens above the 1.79 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

5000 (5000) currently trades at 2.88 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.79 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 38.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 5000 generated revenue of 1.1B MYR at a net margin of 39.9%. Revenue declined 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 47.6%. Net debt stands at 59.8M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.33 MYR (bear case) to 3.98 MYR (bull case); at 2.88 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -38%, 5000 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 6.78 MYR 12.23 MYR 22.88 MYR 80
Residual Income 2.08 MYR 2.86 MYR 20.44 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 3.27 MYR 5.74 MYR 9.67 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 7.23 MYR 11.15 MYR 23.37 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 5.50 MYR 12.23 MYR 25.85 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 3.27 MYR 5.00 MYR 8.45 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 4.82 MYR 8.21 MYR 14.66 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 4.86 MYR 9.85 MYR 16.40 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.38 MYR 7.70 MYR 9.80 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.54 MYR 10.83 MYR 20.27 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 5.57 MYR 10.91 MYR 19.97 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.10 MYR 14.67 MYR 20.58 MYR 54
Lynch FV 5.07 MYR 7.25 MYR 9.42 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 5.07 MYR 7.25 MYR 9.42 MYR 46
EPV 3.38 MYR 3.92 MYR 4.38 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.8800 MYR 1.75 MYR 2.65 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.8800 MYR 1.51 MYR 1.85 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.94 MYR 5.26 MYR 6.57 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 1.74 MYR 2.32 MYR 2.90 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 2.27 MYR 3.03 MYR 3.78 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 4.35 MYR 5.81 MYR 7.27 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 3.85 MYR 5.14 MYR 6.44 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 1.58 MYR 2.28 MYR 2.97 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5000 MYR 0.6800 MYR 1.01 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6.78 MYR 12.23 MYR 22.88 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 3.27 MYR 5.74 MYR 9.67 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2.08 MYR 2.86 MYR 20.44 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 4.17 MYR 5.88 MYR 8.13 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.12 MYR 8.74 MYR 11.36 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (9.85 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.6800 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.1%
Net margin 39.9%
Return on equity 47.6%
Free cash flow 330M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 4.9
More key figures
Operating margin 111%
EPS (TTM) 0.5900 MYR
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +500%
Net debt 59.8M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 83
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hume Cement Industries Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells cement, concrete, and related products in Malaysia. The company also provides precast concrete products and solutions for construction, infrastructure, marine, and riverine works. It sells its cement products under the Panda Cement brand.

Full company description

Hume Cement Industries Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells cement, concrete, and related products in Malaysia. The company also provides precast concrete products and solutions for construction, infrastructure, marine, and riverine works. It sells its cement products under the Panda Cement brand. The company was formerly known as Hume Industries Berhad and changed its name to Hume Cement Industries Berhad in November 2020. Hume Cement Industries Berhad was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia. Hume Cement Industries Berhad is a subsidiary of Hong Leong Manufacturing Group Sdn Bhd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

5000 reported revenue of 1.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 605M MYR in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was 223M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B MYR
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+26.4%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY21 605M MYR
FY22 727M MYR
FY23 1.0B MYR
FY24 1.2B MYR
FY25 1.1B MYR
Net income
FY21 −27.4M MYR
FY22 3.1M MYR
FY23 60.0M MYR
FY24 211M MYR
FY25 223M MYR

5000 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "5000 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5000

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 48% · Top 25%
Return on assets 24% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 111% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.70× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 92 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 90 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 5000 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.79 MYR versus a price of 2.88 MYR, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5000?
Our model-based fair value for 5000 is 1.79 MYR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.88 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5000?
5000 has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of 5000?
5000 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5000?
The net profit margin of 5000 is about 39.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 5000 pay a dividend?
5000 currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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