Hume Industries Berhad (5000) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hume Industries Berhad MYR 8.74, price MYR 2.63, upside +232.3%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.6936 MYR – 3.80 MYR · fair‑value band 4.65 MYR – 11.36 MYR · the 2.63 MYR price screens below the 8.74 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Hume Cement Industries Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells cement, concrete, and related products in Malaysia. The company also provides precast concrete products and solutions for construction, infrastructure, marine, and riverine works. It sells its cement products under the Panda Cement brand.
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Hume Cement Industries Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells cement, concrete, and related products in Malaysia. The company also provides precast concrete products and solutions for construction, infrastructure, marine, and riverine works. It sells its cement products under the Panda Cement brand. The company was formerly known as Hume Industries Berhad and changed its name to Hume Cement Industries Berhad in November 2020. Hume Cement Industries Berhad was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia. Hume Cement Industries Berhad is a subsidiary of Hong Leong Manufacturing Group Sdn Bhd.
Stock analysis
Hume Industries Berhad (5000) currently trades at 2.63 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.74 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 9.34 MYR per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the 2.63 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.28 MYR, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4.65 MYR (bear) to 11.36 MYR (bull), the price of 2.63 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hume Industries Berhad reported revenue of 1.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 605M MYR in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was 223M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B MYR (≈ $530M) · P/E ratio 4.5 · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) 0.5900 MYR · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 20.0% · Return on equity 47.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 232%, 5000 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 4.65 MYRFair Value 8.74 MYRBull 11.36 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4600 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +75.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+70.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → 27%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 163% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 248 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)47.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets23.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)39.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)111.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−15.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Hume Industries Berhad (5000) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.74 MYR versus a price of 2.63 MYR, about +232% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5000?
Our model-based fair value for Hume Industries Berhad is 8.74 MYR (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.63 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5000?
Hume Industries Berhad has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.74 MYR (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.65 MYR, optimistic scenario 11.36 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hume Industries Berhad stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.74 MYR, about +232% upside versus a price of 2.63 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4.65 MYR, optimistic scenario 11.36 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Hume Industries Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Hume Industries Berhad pay a dividend?
Hume Industries Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hume Industries Berhad would have to grow free cash flow by -10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.8 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5000 use?
Our models discount Hume Industries Berhad at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hume Industries Berhad that is -10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hume Industries Berhad (5000) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hume Industries Berhad grew +13.8 % a year. The price currently implies -10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hume Industries Berhad (5000) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hume Industries Berhad (-10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.37 %: that much free cash flow Hume Industries Berhad produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hume Industries Berhad it is 8.74 MYR per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of 2.63 MYR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hume Industries Berhad stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 5000 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.63 MYR, fair value 8.74 MYR, a gap of about +232% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5000?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.63 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.74 MYR). For Hume Industries Berhad the two are 6.11 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hume Industries Berhad worth?
The market values Hume Industries Berhad at about 2.2B MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is 2.63 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 8.74 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5000?
Our models span a range for Hume Industries Berhad: cautious scenario 4.65 MYR, base 8.74 MYR, optimistic 11.36 MYR per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price 2.63 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5000?
Hume Industries Berhad trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.5 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.74 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hume Industries Berhad (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 47.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5000 from its 52-week high?
Hume Industries Berhad trades at 2.63 MYR, about 31% below its 52-week high of 3.80 MYR and at the low of 2.63 MYR (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.74 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hume Industries Berhad?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hume Industries Berhad stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price 2.63 MYR, calculated fair value 8.74 MYR (+232%), Quality Score 72/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5000 calculated?
We run Hume Industries Berhad through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8.74 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hume Industries Berhad currently trades 70 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 2.63 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 8.74 MYR, about +232% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hume Industries Berhad right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (4.65 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (4.65 MYR to 11.36 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hume Industries Berhad
How large is the market capitalisation of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The market capitalisation of Hume Industries Berhad is 2.2B MYR (≈ $530M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hume Industries Berhad is 0.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Earnings per share at Hume Industries Berhad are 0.5900 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The dividend yield of Hume Industries Berhad is 4.9% (payout 22.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The net margin of Hume Industries Berhad is 20.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hume Industries Berhad is 47.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hume Industries Berhad is 11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
The operating margin of Hume Industries Berhad is 111% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Revenue at Hume Industries Berhad is growing −15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hume Industries Berhad (5000)?
Earnings per share at Hume Industries Berhad are growing +500% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hume Industries Berhad (5000) carry?
The net debt of Hume Industries Berhad is 59.8M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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