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Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited (500365) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹4.6B

WS Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited 500365 · BSE
Price₹48.00
Fair Value₹39.93
Upside-16.8%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Evidence: High Range ₹29.95 – ₹49.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from ₹39.73 to ₹39.93 (+0.5%) since Aug 13, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ₹29.95 (bear) to ₹49.92 (bull), base ₹39.93. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹60.41 ₹9.29 Fair Value ₹39.93 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹9.29 – ₹60.41 · fair‑value band ₹29.95 – ₹49.92 · the ₹48.00 price screens above the ₹39.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited (500365) currently trades at ₹48.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹39.93, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Net debt stands at ₹238M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹29.95 (bear case) to ₹49.92 (bull case); at ₹48.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -17%, 500365 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹105.11 ₹188.03 ₹350.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹60.29 ₹109.76 ₹189.41 74
ROIC Compounder ₹33.53 ₹38.63 ₹43.04 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹111.85 ₹171.58 ₹357.81 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹60.29 ₹95.98 ₹167.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹63.24 ₹102.08 ₹175.76 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹54.06 ₹97.45 ₹152.42 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹74.22 ₹136.88 ₹179.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹77.82 ₹142.85 ₹255.68 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹71.34 ₹124.29 ₹209.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹15.97 ₹111.39 ₹156.33 54
Lynch FV ₹38.61 ₹55.15 ₹71.70 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹38.61 ₹55.15 ₹71.70 46
EPV ₹33.53 ₹38.63 ₹43.04 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹29.95 ₹39.93 ₹49.92 63
P/S Multiple ₹29.95 ₹39.93 ₹49.92 58
P/B Multiple ₹29.95 ₹39.93 ₹49.92 55
EV/EBIT ₹42.69 ₹56.54 ₹70.38 53
EV/EBITDA ₹43.81 ₹58.03 ₹72.25 54
EV/Revenue ₹37.16 ₹52.58 ₹68.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹23.65 ₹31.69 ₹47.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹105.11 ₹188.03 ₹350.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹60.29 ₹109.76 ₹189.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹35.67 ₹35.81 ₹33.54 61
ROIC Compounder ₹33.53 ₹38.63 ₹43.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹46.55 ₹66.49 ₹86.44 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹124.29) versus Asset-Based (₹31.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow ₹672M FY2026
EPS (TTM) ₹-1.96
Net debt ₹238M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

RMG Alloy Steel Limited manufactures and sells steel and steel products in India. The company offers carbon, carbon manganese, plain chrome/chrome manganese, chrome moly, chrome nickel moly, boron, micro alloyed, ball bearing, tool and die, valve, and stainless steel, as well as provides seamless tubes and pipes.

Full company description

RMG Alloy Steel Limited manufactures and sells steel and steel products in India. The company offers carbon, carbon manganese, plain chrome/chrome manganese, chrome moly, chrome nickel moly, boron, micro alloyed, ball bearing, tool and die, valve, and stainless steel, as well as provides seamless tubes and pipes. Its products are used in auto-manufacturing/auto components, oil and gas, energy, and other engineering applications. The company was formerly known as Remi Metals Gujarat Limited and changed its name to RMG Alloy Steel Limited in April 2013. RMG Alloy Steel Limited was founded in 1960 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited reported revenue of ₹8.7B in FY2026 versus ₹1.6B in FY2022, a compound +52.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹227M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹8.7B
Latest YoY
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+56.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue +52.0%/yr
FY22 ₹1.6B
FY23 ₹4.2B
FY24 ₹7.0B
FY25 ₹7.2B
FY26 ₹8.7B
Net income
FY22 −₹324M
FY23 −₹137M
FY24 ₹625M
FY25 −₹40.9M
FY26 ₹227M

500365 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500365

Peer Group

Other · 373 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

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Wipro Limited 507685 ₹183.80 ₹193.38 +5%
540376 540376 ₹4,054 ₹1,542 -62%
540777 540777 ₹537.50 ₹149.72 -72%
Lupin Limited 500257 ₹2,265 ₹1,983 -12%
Dabur India Limited 500096 ₹413.80 ₹122.93 -70%
540719 540719 ₹1,835 ₹872.41 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited (500365) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹39.93 versus a price of ₹48.00, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500365?
Our model-based fair value for Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited is ₹39.93 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹48.00.
What is the quality score of 500365?
Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 500365?
The net profit margin of Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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