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Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Tokyo Plast International Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Tokyo Plast International Limited
500418 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹15.16 · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin (FY2025)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹57.43 – ₹151.75 · fair‑value band ₹11.37 – ₹18.95 · the ₹78.75 price screens above the ₹15.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Tokyo Plast International Limited designs, manufactures, and sells thermo food containers and coolers in India. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1992 is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418) currently trades at ₹78.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹15.16, implying the stock looks roughly 419.5% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹59.41 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹78.75 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹4.97, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹11.37 (bear) to ₹18.95 (bull), the price of ₹78.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Tokyo Plast International Limited reported revenue of ₹793M in FY2025 versus ₹799M in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹748M (≈ $7.9M) · P/E ratio 227.9 · P/S ratio 1.81 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.2572 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Free cash flow −₹143M · Net debt ₹410M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −81%, 500418 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹4.97 to ₹90.87). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹11.37
Fair Value ₹15.16
Bull ₹18.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1811 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹56.87
₹51.48
₹34.38
76
ROIC Compounder
₹27.21
₹31.97
₹35.94
72
EPV
₹27.21
₹31.97
₹35.94
71
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹6.06
₹17.12
₹22.54
65
Lynch FV
₹3.48
₹4.97
₹6.46
61
PEG = 1.0
₹3.48
₹4.97
₹6.46
57
EPV
₹27.21
₹31.97
₹35.94
71
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹11.37
₹15.16
₹18.95
63
P/S Multiple
₹11.37
₹15.16
₹18.95
58
P/B Multiple
₹11.37
₹15.16
₹18.95
55
EV/EBIT
₹50.31
₹69.64
₹88.98
66
EV/EBITDA
₹66.23
₹90.87
₹115.52
67
EV/Revenue
₹42.57
₹64.12
₹85.66
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹44.34
₹59.41
₹88.67
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹56.87
₹51.48
₹34.38
76
ROIC Compounder
₹27.21
₹31.97
₹35.94
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹9.30
₹13.28
₹17.27
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9% vs −22%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 5%
500418 screens 419% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Amcor plc AMCR | $42.32 | $17.87 | −58% |
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| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $169.38 | $113.05 | −33% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$91.99 | C$101.19 | +10% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €10.30 | €9.69 | −6% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 12.91 | CHF 8.22 | −36% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹15.16 versus a price of ₹78.75, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500418?
Our model-based fair value for Tokyo Plast International Limited is ₹15.16 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹78.75.
What is the quality score of 500418?
Tokyo Plast International Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹15.16 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹11.37, optimistic scenario ₹18.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tokyo Plast International Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹15.16, about −81% upside versus a price of ₹78.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹11.37, optimistic scenario ₹18.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tokyo Plast International Limited it is ₹15.16 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹78.75. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tokyo Plast International Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 500418 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹78.75, fair value ₹15.16, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500418?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹78.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹15.16). For Tokyo Plast International Limited the two are ₹63.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tokyo Plast International Limited worth?
The market values Tokyo Plast International Limited at about ₹748M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹78.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹15.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500418?
Our models span a range for Tokyo Plast International Limited: cautious scenario ₹11.37, base ₹15.16, optimistic ₹18.95 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹78.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 500418 from its 52-week high?
Tokyo Plast International Limited trades at ₹78.75, about 44% below its 52-week high of ₹140.75 and 47% above the low of ₹53.75 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹15.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tokyo Plast International Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tokyo Plast International Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹78.75, calculated fair value ₹15.16 (−81%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500418 calculated?
We run Tokyo Plast International Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹15.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Tokyo Plast International Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Tokyo Plast International Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹18.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Tokyo Plast International Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
The market capitalisation of Tokyo Plast International Limited is ₹748M (≈ $7.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Tokyo Plast International Limited is 227.9 (as of Aug 25, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tokyo Plast International Limited is 1.81 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
Earnings per share at Tokyo Plast International Limited are ₹0.2572 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 227.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
The net margin of Tokyo Plast International Limited is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tokyo Plast International Limited is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418) generate?
The free cash flow of Tokyo Plast International Limited is −₹143M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tokyo Plast International Limited (500418) carry?
The net debt of Tokyo Plast International Limited is ₹410M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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