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Melati Ehsan Holdings (5129) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MY · Market cap 56.6M MYR

ME Melati Ehsan Holdings 5129 · KLSE
Price0.4900 MYR
Fair Value0.2000 MYR
Upside-59.2%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.04% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range 0.1300 MYR – 0.2500 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2500 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.1300 MYR to 0.2500 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.9329 MYR 0.2681 MYR Fair Value 0.2000 MYR Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2681 MYR – 0.9329 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1300 MYR – 0.2500 MYR · the 0.4900 MYR price screens above the 0.2000 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Melati Ehsan Holdings (5129) currently trades at 0.4900 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2000 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 59.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Melati Ehsan Holdings generated revenue of 250M MYR at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 281.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. Net debt stands at 45.4M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.1300 MYR (bear case) to 0.2500 MYR (bull case); at 0.4900 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -59%, 5129 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.29 MYR 2.10 MYR 3.19 MYR 80
Residual Income 1.33 MYR 1.20 MYR 0.7000 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6600 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.54 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.33 MYR 2.27 MYR 3.66 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.0300 MYR 0.1500 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6600 MYR 1.02 MYR 1.48 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.6800 MYR 1.07 MYR 1.52 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.5100 MYR 0.7200 MYR 0.9300 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.9100 MYR 1.33 MYR 1.90 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.9300 MYR 1.35 MYR 1.93 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.8400 MYR 1.13 MYR 1.50 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0700 MYR 0.3200 MYR 0.4500 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1600 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.0900 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1600 MYR 46
EPV 0.0200 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0700 MYR 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0700 MYR 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.1500 MYR 0.2000 MYR 0.2500 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.1200 MYR 0.1600 MYR 0.2100 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.1200 MYR 0.1600 MYR 0.2100 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.3800 MYR 0.5600 MYR 0.7500 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.2900 MYR 0.4400 MYR 0.5900 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.2200 MYR 0.3900 MYR 0.5600 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.09 MYR 1.46 MYR 2.18 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.29 MYR 2.10 MYR 3.19 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6600 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.54 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.33 MYR 1.20 MYR 0.7000 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.0200 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.1300 MYR 0.1900 MYR 0.2500 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1.46 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.1100 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 250M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +281%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 0.5%
Free cash flow 18.2M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 49.0
More key figures
Operating margin 0.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.0100 MYR
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.2%
Net debt 45.4M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Melati Ehsan Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, operates as a turnkey contractor specializing in construction management in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Construction, Property Development, and Trading. The company trades in construction materials, as well as provides machinery on a rental basis.

Full company description

Melati Ehsan Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, operates as a turnkey contractor specializing in construction management in Malaysia. It operates through three segments: Construction, Property Development, and Trading. The company trades in construction materials, as well as provides machinery on a rental basis. It also engages in the development of residential and commercial properties. In addition, the company is involved in the money-lending business. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Melati Ehsan Holdings reported revenue of 152M MYR in FY2025 versus 111M MYR in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1M MYR in FY2025, compounding −16.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
152M MYR
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 111M MYR
FY22 101M MYR
FY23 103M MYR
FY24 36.3M MYR
FY25 152M MYR
Net income −16.4%/yr
FY21 2.3M MYR
FY22 19.0M MYR
FY23 16.8M MYR
FY24 8.2M MYR
FY25 1.1M MYR

5129 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Melati Ehsan Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5129

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 281% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 2 · sector 26
HEALTH 94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Melati Ehsan Holdings (5129) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2000 MYR versus a price of 0.4900 MYR, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5129?
Our model-based fair value for Melati Ehsan Holdings is 0.2000 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4900 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5129?
Melati Ehsan Holdings has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Melati Ehsan Holdings (5129)?
Melati Ehsan Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 250M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5129?
The net profit margin of Melati Ehsan Holdings is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Melati Ehsan Holdings pay a dividend?
Melati Ehsan Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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