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SaudiGold Group (5157) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · MY · Market cap 12.5M MYR

SG SaudiGold Group 5157 · KLSE
Price0.0750 MYR
Fair Value0.1520 MYR
Upside+102.7%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -19.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.1200 MYR – 0.2000 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from 0.1333 MYR to 0.1520 MYR (+14.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −6.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 103% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1200 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9.03 MYR 0.0500 MYR Fair Value 0.1520 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0500 MYR – 9.03 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1200 MYR – 0.2000 MYR · the 0.0750 MYR price screens below the 0.1520 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

SaudiGold Group (5157) currently trades at 0.0750 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1520 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 102.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SaudiGold Group generated revenue of 89.0M MYR at a net margin of -21.8%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.8%. Net debt stands at 25.6M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.1200 MYR (bear case) to 0.2000 MYR (bull case); at 0.0750 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 103%, 5157 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1500 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 0.1900 MYR 74
NCAV (Graham) 0.3800 MYR 0.5100 MYR 0.7600 MYR 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1600 MYR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 0.2000 MYR 39
10Y Revenue Exit 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1500 MYR 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 0.1300 MYR 0.1700 MYR 0.2000 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.3800 MYR 0.5100 MYR 0.7600 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1100 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1500 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.1200 MYR 0.1500 MYR 0.1900 MYR 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.5100 MYR) versus DCF Models (0.1300 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 88.4M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.0%
Net margin -19.3%
Return on equity -12.8%
Free cash flow 1.5M MYR FY2025
Operating margin 11.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.1400 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) +1,101%
Net debt 25.6M MYR FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SaudiGold Group Berhad, an investment holding company, produces and sells processed poultry, beef products, frozen food, and bakery products in Malaysia.

Full company description

SaudiGold Group Berhad, an investment holding company, produces and sells processed poultry, beef products, frozen food, and bakery products in Malaysia. The company offers burger patties, nuggets, sausages, meatball, and other products under the Saudi Gold and Farm's Gold brands.It also engages in the wholesale and dealership of fresh and frozen foods; and fast food restaurant operations. The company was formerly known as Saudee Group Berhad and changed its name to SaudiGold Group Berhad in October 2024. SaudiGold Group Berhad was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Sungai Petani, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SaudiGold Group reported revenue of 87.6M MYR in FY2025 versus 80.8M MYR in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −21.8M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
87.6M MYR
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.9%
Revenue +2.0%/yr
FY21 80.8M MYR
FY22 96.9M MYR
FY23 96.4M MYR
FY24 83.5M MYR
FY25 87.6M MYR
Net income
FY21 −4.4M MYR
FY22 −4.4M MYR
FY23 −7.3M MYR
FY24 −6.1M MYR
FY25 −21.8M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SaudiGold Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5157

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SaudiGold Group (5157) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1520 MYR versus a price of 0.0750 MYR, about +103% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5157?
Our model-based fair value for SaudiGold Group is 0.1520 MYR (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.0750 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5157?
SaudiGold Group has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SaudiGold Group (5157)?
SaudiGold Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 89.0M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5157?
The net profit margin of SaudiGold Group is about -21.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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