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Ledlink Optics (5230) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 1.0B TWD (≈ $31.7M) · ISIN TW0005230007

What is Ledlink Optics really worth?

LO Ledlink Optics 5230 · TWO
Price17.70 TWD
Fair Value39.27 TWD
Upside+121.9%
Quality38/100

Below-average quality, trading 55% below our fair value of 39.27 TWD.

As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Ledlink Optics is 39.27 TWD per share against a price of 17.70 TWD, so the fair value sits 122% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.8% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100

For context

·2.82% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range 28.04 TWD – 50.49 TWD

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (28.04 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (28.04 TWD to 50.49 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

43.80 TWD 15.30 TWD Fair Value 39.27 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.30 TWD – 43.80 TWD · fair‑value band 28.04 TWD – 50.49 TWD · the 17.70 TWD price screens below the 39.27 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Ledlink Optics (5230) currently trades at 17.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.27 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 54.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 15.62 TWD per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the 17.70 TWD price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 12.35 TWD, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ledlink Optics generated revenue of 1.3B TWD at a net margin of −4.8%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −4.7%. Net debt stands at 309M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 28.04 TWD (bear case) to 50.49 TWD (bull case); at 17.70 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 122%, 5230 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 9.20 TWD 12.33 TWD 16.61 TWD 81
Growth DCF 9.43 TWD 12.35 TWD 16.15 TWD 80
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.04 TWD 32.64 TWD 47.44 TWD 74
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 9.20 TWD 12.33 TWD 16.61 TWD 81
5Y Revenue Exit 9.10 TWD 13.71 TWD 19.64 TWD 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.04 TWD 32.64 TWD 47.44 TWD 74
10Y Revenue Exit 8.80 TWD 12.61 TWD 17.07 TWD 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 15.24 TWD 24.14 TWD 34.74 TWD 68
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 32.49 TWD 43.72 TWD 54.95 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 9.82 TWD 14.54 TWD 19.25 TWD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 11.65 TWD 15.62 TWD 23.31 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 9.43 TWD 12.35 TWD 16.15 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 9.10 TWD 13.89 TWD 19.23 TWD 73

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (15.62 TWD) versus Growth DCF (12.35 TWD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.76 TTM
EPS (TTM) −1.35 TWD
Dividend yield 2.8%
Net margin −5.8% FY2025
Return on equity −4.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −4.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.3B TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2% 3y avg +3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −81.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 66.2M TWD FY2025
Net debt 309M TWD FY2025 · ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Ledlink Optics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells optics for lighting companies and other LED manufacturers in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers socket, holder, connector, tape, waterproof gasket, diffusion sheet, and silicon related materials.

Full company description

Ledlink Optics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells optics for lighting companies and other LED manufacturers in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers socket, holder, connector, tape, waterproof gasket, diffusion sheet, and silicon related materials. It also provides lens comprising, dim-to-warm, single lens, COB, backlight, multi lens, anti-glare, V-CUT, hybrid, linear, and zoom lens. In addition, the company provides light manufacturing and optical related services. Its products are used in architectural, landscape, commercial, industrial, street, color mixing, indoor, and industrial sectors. Ledlink Optics, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ledlink Optics reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was −76.1M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B TWD
Latest YoY
−14.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.5% (2020) → −5.7% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +3.0%/yr
FY21 1.2B TWD
FY22 1.2B TWD
FY23 1.3B TWD
FY24 1.5B TWD
FY25 1.3B TWD
Net income
FY21 59.9M TWD
FY22 −14.9M TWD
FY23 3.5M TWD
FY24 32.7M TWD
FY25 −76.1M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ledlink Optics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5230.TWO

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +122% · Top 25%
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE6 · sector 40
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND56 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ledlink Optics (5230) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.27 TWD versus a price of 17.70 TWD, about +122% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5230?
Our model-based fair value for Ledlink Optics is 39.27 TWD (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17.70 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5230?
Ledlink Optics has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ledlink Optics (5230)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 39.27 TWD (as of Aug 20, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28.04 TWD, optimistic scenario 50.49 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ledlink Optics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 39.27 TWD, about +122% upside versus a price of 17.70 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 28.04 TWD, optimistic scenario 50.49 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ledlink Optics (5230)?
Ledlink Optics reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5230?
The net profit margin of Ledlink Optics is about −4.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ledlink Optics pay a dividend?
Ledlink Optics currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.82% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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