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JSW Pacific (5251) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of JSW Pacific TWD 23.56, price TWD 30.55, upside -22.9%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · TW · ISIN TW0005251003

JP Thin data Sep 24, 2026

JSW Pacific

5251 · TWO

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 23.56 TWD · Overvalued (−23%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

60.90 TWD 12.30 TWD Fair Value 23.56 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.30 TWD – 60.90 TWD · fair‑value band 16.55 TWD – 30.56 TWD · the 30.55 TWD price screens above the 23.56 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

JSW Pacific Corporation designs, manufactures and sells security monitoring and smart electronic locks in Taiwan and internationally.

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JSW Pacific Corporation designs, manufactures and sells security monitoring and smart electronic locks in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers IP cameras, such as webRTC 4K outdoor, outdoor, outdoor PT, battery cameras, and indoor PT cameras; video doorbells, including door cameras and battery doorbells; security lighting cameras; security home control products; and smart locks. It also provides hardware and software development services. JSW Pacific Corporation was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

JSW Pacific (5251) currently trades at 30.55 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.56 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 29.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 225.09 TWD per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the 30.55 TWD price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7.00 TWD, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 16.55 TWD (bear) to 30.56 TWD (bull), the price of 30.55 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

JSW Pacific reported revenue of 305M TWD in FY2025 versus 195M TWD in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.0B TWD (≈ $32.4M) · P/E ratio 925.0 · P/S ratio 3.04 · EPS (TTM) 0.0300 TWD · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.2% · Operating margin 5.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −23%, 5251 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 16.55 TWD Fair Value 23.56 TWD Bull 30.56 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0220 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 248.34 TWD 225.09 TWD 150.91 TWD 71
Growth-Adj P/E 16.56 TWD 23.56 TWD 30.56 TWD 67
Graham-Dodd 6.37 TWD 21.65 TWD 29.29 TWD 64
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.37 TWD 21.65 TWD 29.29 TWD 64
Lynch FV 5.09 TWD 7.00 TWD 9.23 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 5.09 TWD 7.00 TWD 9.23 TWD 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple 20.06 TWD 26.43 TWD 33.11 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 12.10 TWD 16.24 TWD 20.06 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 12.10 TWD 16.24 TWD 20.06 TWD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 189.12 TWD 253.43 TWD 378.23 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 248.34 TWD 225.09 TWD 150.91 TWD 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 16.56 TWD 23.56 TWD 30.56 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−32.6% (2020) → −4.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

5251 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −23% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 12.62× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 925.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $82.19 $90.41 +10%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,910 TWD 519.57 TWD −73%
Corning Incorporated GLW $154.48 $34.01 −78%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 250.50 TWD 293.80 TWD +17%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,507,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −89%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥54.84 ¥18.55 −66%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥198.12 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $213.48 $140.75 −34%
Elite Material Co 2383 5,050 TWD 800.51 TWD −84%
Yageo Corporation 2327 580.00 TWD 527.64 TWD −9%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JSW Pacific Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5251

Frequently asked questions

Is JSW Pacific (5251) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.56 TWD versus a price of 30.55 TWD, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5251?
Our model-based fair value for JSW Pacific is 23.56 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 30.55 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5251?
JSW Pacific has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JSW Pacific (5251)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 23.56 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.55 TWD, optimistic scenario 30.56 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JSW Pacific stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 23.56 TWD, about −23% upside versus a price of 30.55 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 16.55 TWD, optimistic scenario 30.56 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JSW Pacific (5251)?
JSW Pacific reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 297M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of JSW Pacific (5251)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JSW Pacific it is 23.56 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 30.55 TWD. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JSW Pacific stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5251 trades above its calculated fair value: price 30.55 TWD, fair value 23.56 TWD, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5251?
No. The price is what the market pays today (30.55 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (23.56 TWD). For JSW Pacific the two are 6.99 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JSW Pacific worth?
The market values JSW Pacific at about 1.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 30.55 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 23.56 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5251?
Our models span a range for JSW Pacific: cautious scenario 16.55 TWD, base 23.56 TWD, optimistic 30.56 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 30.55 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of JSW Pacific (5251)?
Balance-sheet figures for JSW Pacific (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.0%, debt of 12.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5251 from its 52-week high?
JSW Pacific trades at 30.55 TWD, about 33% below its 52-week high of 45.40 TWD and 23% above the low of 24.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 23.56 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JSW Pacific?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JSW Pacific stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 30.55 TWD, calculated fair value 23.56 TWD (−23%), Quality Score 56/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5251 calculated?
We run JSW Pacific through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 23.56 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. JSW Pacific itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 30.55 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 23.56 TWD, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JSW Pacific right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (16.55 TWD to 30.56 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of JSW Pacific

How large is the market capitalisation of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The market capitalisation of JSW Pacific is 1.0B TWD (≈ $32.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of JSW Pacific is 925.0 (as of Jul 21, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JSW Pacific is 3.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JSW Pacific (5251)?
Earnings per share at JSW Pacific are 0.0300 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 925.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The net margin of JSW Pacific is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JSW Pacific is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JSW Pacific (5251)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JSW Pacific is −7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JSW Pacific (5251)?
The operating margin of JSW Pacific is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JSW Pacific (5251)?
Revenue at JSW Pacific is growing −8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JSW Pacific (5251)?
Earnings per share at JSW Pacific are growing −20.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JSW Pacific (5251) generate?
The free cash flow of JSW Pacific is −17.5M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does JSW Pacific (5251) carry?
The net debt of JSW Pacific is 1.8B TWD (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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