Arex Industries Limited (526851) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Arex Industries Limited ₹70.61, price ₹128, upside -44.8%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹31.50 – ₹301.40 · fair‑value band ₹58.77 – ₹84.41 · the ₹128.00 price screens above the ₹70.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Arex Industries Limited manufactures and sells various woven and printed labels to garment manufacturers in India and internationally. The company offers woven labels in various finishes, including end fold, center fold, miter fold, manhattan fold, starched, coated, self-adhesive, thermo adhesive, laser cut, die cut, filled in, and comfort soft.
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Arex Industries Limited manufactures and sells various woven and printed labels to garment manufacturers in India and internationally. The company offers woven labels in various finishes, including end fold, center fold, miter fold, manhattan fold, starched, coated, self-adhesive, thermo adhesive, laser cut, die cut, filled in, and comfort soft. Arex Industries Limited was founded in 1989 and is based in Gandhinagar, India.
Stock analysis
Arex Industries Limited (526851) currently trades at ₹128.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹70.61, 44.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹103.36 per share, and 4 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹128.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹46.94, and 18 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹58.77 (bear) to ₹84.41 (bull), the price of ₹128.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Arex Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹496M in FY2026 versus ₹538M in FY2022, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹14.8M in FY2026, compounding −20.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹260M (≈ $2.7M) · P/E ratio 21.3 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) ₹2.23 · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% · Operating margin 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −45%, 526851 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹58.77Fair Value ₹70.61Bull ₹84.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.14 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−17.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17.9% vs −12.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.3% a year for the price.
Compare Arex Industries Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textiles · 32 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−68.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−3.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−30.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textiles median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.3× · Pricier than median
P/FCF0.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 10
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Arex Industries Limited (526851) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹70.61 versus a price of ₹128.00, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 526851?
Our model-based fair value for Arex Industries Limited is ₹70.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹128.00.
What is the quality score of 526851?
Arex Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹70.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹58.77, optimistic scenario ₹84.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arex Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹70.61, about −45% upside versus a price of ₹128.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹58.77, optimistic scenario ₹84.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
Arex Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹374M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arex Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +26.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 526851 use?
Our models discount Arex Industries Limited at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arex Industries Limited that is +26.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arex Industries Limited (526851) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Arex Industries Limited grew +4.0 % a year. The price currently implies +26.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arex Industries Limited (526851) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arex Industries Limited (+26.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.08 %: that much free cash flow Arex Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arex Industries Limited it is ₹70.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹128.00. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arex Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 526851 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹128.00, fair value ₹70.61, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 526851?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹128.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹70.61). For Arex Industries Limited the two are ₹57.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arex Industries Limited worth?
The market values Arex Industries Limited at about ₹260M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹128.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹70.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 526851?
Our models span a range for Arex Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹58.77, base ₹70.61, optimistic ₹84.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹128.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 526851?
Arex Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹70.61 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arex Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 526851 from its 52-week high?
Arex Industries Limited trades at ₹128.00, about 18% below its 52-week high of ₹157.00 and 34% above the low of ₹95.50 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹70.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arex Industries Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value RAJPALAYAM, VTMLTD, RNBDENIMS, SURYALA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arex Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹128.00, calculated fair value ₹70.61 (−45%), Quality Score 42/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 526851 calculated?
We run Arex Industries Limited through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹70.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Arex Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹128.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹70.61, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arex Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹84.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Arex Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The market capitalisation of Arex Industries Limited is ₹260M (≈ $2.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arex Industries Limited is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
Earnings per share at Arex Industries Limited are ₹2.23 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The net margin of Arex Industries Limited is 3.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arex Industries Limited is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arex Industries Limited is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
The operating margin of Arex Industries Limited is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arex Industries Limited (526851)?
Revenue at Arex Industries Limited is growing −30.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Arex Industries Limited (526851) carry?
The net debt of Arex Industries Limited is ₹105M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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