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Gujarat Craft Industries Limited (526965) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹191M

GC Gujarat Craft Industries Limited 526965 · BSE
Price₹94.90
Fair Value₹33.73
Upside-64.5%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range ₹25.29 – ₹42.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹42.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹198.73 ₹34.76 Fair Value ₹33.73 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹34.76 – ₹198.73 · fair‑value band ₹25.29 – ₹42.16 · the ₹94.90 price screens above the ₹33.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Gujarat Craft Industries Limited (526965) currently trades at ₹94.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹33.73, implying the stock looks roughly 64.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gujarat Craft Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹1.4B at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at ₹634M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹25.29 (bear case) to ₹42.16 (bull case); at ₹94.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -64%, 526965 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹81.97 ₹74.74 ₹48.97 76
ROIC Compounder ₹48.16 ₹59.80 ₹69.25 72
Gordon GGM ₹6.97 ₹11.67 ₹15.14 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹13.49 ₹38.87 ₹51.29 54
Lynch FV ₹8.01 ₹11.45 ₹14.88 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹8.01 ₹11.45 ₹14.88 46
EPV ₹48.16 ₹59.80 ₹69.25 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹6.97 ₹11.67 ₹15.14 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹6.97 ₹10.14 ₹12.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹25.29 ₹33.73 ₹42.16 63
P/S Multiple ₹25.29 ₹33.73 ₹42.16 58
P/B Multiple ₹25.29 ₹33.73 ₹42.16 55
EV/EBIT ₹109.59 ₹162.41 ₹215.22 53
EV/EBITDA ₹150.10 ₹216.41 ₹282.72 54
EV/Revenue ₹88.47 ₹147.32 ₹206.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹65.56 ₹87.86 ₹131.13 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹81.97 ₹74.74 ₹48.97 76
ROIC Compounder ₹48.16 ₹59.80 ₹69.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹20.84 ₹29.77 ₹38.70 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹87.86) versus Dividend Discount (₹10.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.7%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow −₹53.7M FY2026
P/E ratio 5.5 as of Jul 4, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹4.39
EPS growth (YoY) +343%
Net debt ₹634M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gujarat Craft Industries Limited manufactures, imports, exports, and sells plastic packing materials in India and internationally. It provides FIBC and jumbo asbestos bags, HDPE geo membranes, waterproof and truck tarpaulins, woven sacks, HDPE pipes, vermi beds, agricultural pond liners, and woven fabric rolls, as well as buffle bags.

Full company description

Gujarat Craft Industries Limited manufactures, imports, exports, and sells plastic packing materials in India and internationally. It provides FIBC and jumbo asbestos bags, HDPE geo membranes, waterproof and truck tarpaulins, woven sacks, HDPE pipes, vermi beds, agricultural pond liners, and woven fabric rolls, as well as buffle bags. The company's PP/ HDPE woven sacks are used for making bags for cement, fertilizer, and food grain industries. Gujarat Craft Industries Limited was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Gandhinagar, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Gujarat Craft Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹1.8B in FY2026 versus ₹1.7B in FY2022, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.7M in FY2026, compounding −40.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.8B
Latest YoY
−9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY22 ₹1.7B
FY23 ₹1.6B
FY24 ₹1.8B
FY25 ₹2.0B
FY26 ₹1.8B
Net income −40.2%/yr
FY22 ₹75.8M
FY23 ₹34.7M
FY24 ₹30.3M
FY25 ₹26.9M
FY26 ₹9.7M

526965 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gujarat Craft Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/526965

Peer Group

Other · 373 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 39 · sector 0
HEALTH 81 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gujarat Craft Industries Limited (526965) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹33.73 versus a price of ₹94.90, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 526965?
Our model-based fair value for Gujarat Craft Industries Limited is ₹33.73 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹94.90.
What is the quality score of 526965?
Gujarat Craft Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gujarat Craft Industries Limited (526965)?
Gujarat Craft Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 526965?
The net profit margin of Gujarat Craft Industries Limited is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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