OM Holdings (5298) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of OM Holdings stock MYR 0.42, price MYR 0.64, upside -34.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.5950 MYR – 3.66 MYR · fair‑value band 0.3200 MYR – 0.5400 MYR · the 0.6400 MYR price screens above the 0.4200 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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OM Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in mining, smelting, trading, and marketing manganese ores and ferroalloys worldwide. It operates through Mining, Smelting, and Marketing and Trading segments.
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The company produces and markets ferrosilicon, manganese ferroalloys, silicon metal, and manganese sinter ore. OM Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Stock analysis
OM Holdings (5298) currently trades at 0.6400 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4200 MYR, 34.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 1.25 MYR per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the 0.6400 MYR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.0500 MYR, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.3200 MYR (bear) to 0.5400 MYR (bull), the price of 0.6400 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
OM Holdings reported revenue of $636M in FY2025 versus $1.0B in FY2021, a compound −11.6%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3M in FY2025, compounding −58.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 490M MYR (≈ $120M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) −0.0900 MYR · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity −3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 0.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −34%, 5298 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.3200 MYRFair Value 0.4200 MYRBull0.5400 MYR
Price 0.6400 MYR · Upside -34.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−45.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−47.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → −5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.8%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 384 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−34.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)6.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)0.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−14.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.24× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.20× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA5.3× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 76
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)33· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OM Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5298
Frequently asked questions
Is OM Holdings (5298) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4200 MYR versus a price of 0.6400 MYR, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5298?
Our model-based fair value for OM Holdings is 0.4200 MYR (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6400 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5298?
OM Holdings has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OM Holdings (5298)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4200 MYR (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3200 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5400 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OM Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4200 MYR, about −34% upside versus a price of 0.6400 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.3200 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5400 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OM Holdings (5298)?
OM Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $592M (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does OM Holdings pay a dividend?
OM Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of 1.67% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of OM Holdings (5298)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OM Holdings it is 0.4200 MYR per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of 0.6400 MYR. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OM Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, 5298 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.6400 MYR, fair value 0.4200 MYR, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5298?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.6400 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4200 MYR). For OM Holdings the two are 0.2200 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OM Holdings worth?
The market values OM Holdings at about 490M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is 0.6400 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4200 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5298?
Our models span a range for OM Holdings: cautious scenario 0.3200 MYR, base 0.4200 MYR, optimistic 0.5400 MYR per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price 0.6400 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of OM Holdings (5298)?
Balance-sheet figures for OM Holdings (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity −3.4%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5298 from its 52-week high?
OM Holdings trades at 0.6400 MYR, about 27% below its 52-week high of 0.8755 MYR and 8% above the low of 0.5950 MYR (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4200 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OM Holdings?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OM Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price 0.6400 MYR, calculated fair value 0.4200 MYR (−34%), Quality Score 55/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5298 calculated?
We run OM Holdings through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.4200 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. OM Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OM Holdings (5298)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was 0.6400 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.4200 MYR, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OM Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5400 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of OM Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of OM Holdings (5298)?
The market capitalisation of OM Holdings is 490M MYR (≈ $120M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OM Holdings (5298)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OM Holdings is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OM Holdings (5298)?
Earnings per share at OM Holdings are −0.0900 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OM Holdings (5298)?
The dividend yield of OM Holdings is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OM Holdings (5298)?
The net margin of OM Holdings is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OM Holdings (5298)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OM Holdings is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OM Holdings (5298)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OM Holdings is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OM Holdings (5298)?
The operating margin of OM Holdings is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OM Holdings (5298)?
Revenue at OM Holdings is growing −14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OM Holdings (5298)?
Earnings per share at OM Holdings are growing −35.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does OM Holdings (5298) generate?
The free cash flow of OM Holdings is −$23.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does OM Holdings (5298) carry?
The net debt of OM Holdings is $189M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 22, 2026