Narendra Properties Limited (531416) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Narendra Properties Limited ₹47.20, price ₹32.85, upside +43.7%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹7.17 – ₹63.01 · fair‑value band ₹36.45 – ₹56.30 · the ₹32.85 price screens below the ₹47.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Narendra Properties Limited engages in the property development and civil construction activities in and around Chennai and its suburbs. It primarily develops residential and commercial multi-storied apartment complexes. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Chennai, India.
Stock analysis
Narendra Properties Limited (531416) currently trades at ₹32.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹47.20, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹51.84 per share, and 10 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹32.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹9.57, and 7 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹36.45 (bear) to ₹56.30 (bull), the price of ₹32.85 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Narendra Properties Limited reported revenue of ₹63.8M in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹19.7M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹67.2M (≈ $697K) · EPS (TTM) ₹−1.46 · Dividend yield 10.6% · Net margin 30.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Free cash flow ₹35.4M · Net debt ₹47.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 44%, 531416 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹36.45Fair Value ₹47.20Bull ₹56.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.5%
’14
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26.1% vs 20.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2014 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4,328% → −13%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.3% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other · 114 stocks
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Is Narendra Properties Limited (531416) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹47.20 versus a price of ₹32.85, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 531416?
Our model-based fair value for Narendra Properties Limited is ₹47.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹32.85.
What is the quality score of 531416?
Narendra Properties Limited has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹47.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹36.45, optimistic scenario ₹56.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Narendra Properties Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹47.20, about +44% upside versus a price of ₹32.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹36.45, optimistic scenario ₹56.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Narendra Properties Limited pay a dividend?
Narendra Properties Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Narendra Properties Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -8.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 12 years revenue grew +64.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 531416 use?
Our models discount Narendra Properties Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Narendra Properties Limited that is -8.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Narendra Properties Limited (531416) delivered so far?
Over the past 12 years revenue at Narendra Properties Limited grew +64.5 % a year. The price currently implies -8.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Narendra Properties Limited (531416) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Narendra Properties Limited (-8.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.17 %: that much free cash flow Narendra Properties Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Narendra Properties Limited it is ₹47.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹32.85. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Narendra Properties Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 531416 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹32.85, fair value ₹47.20, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 531416?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹32.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹47.20). For Narendra Properties Limited the two are ₹14.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Narendra Properties Limited worth?
The market values Narendra Properties Limited at about ₹67.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹32.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹47.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 531416?
Our models span a range for Narendra Properties Limited: cautious scenario ₹36.45, base ₹47.20, optimistic ₹56.30 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹32.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 531416 from its 52-week high?
Narendra Properties Limited trades at ₹32.85, about 19% below its 52-week high of ₹40.42 and 9% above the low of ₹30.13 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹47.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Narendra Properties Limited?
From the same area (Other) we also value 542772, 590024, Indiabulls Real Estate Limited, 542851, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Narendra Properties Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹32.85, calculated fair value ₹47.20 (+44%), Quality Score 71/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 531416 calculated?
We run Narendra Properties Limited through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹47.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Narendra Properties Limited currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹32.85. Our model-based fair value is ₹47.20, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Narendra Properties Limited right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹36.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Narendra Properties Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
The market capitalisation of Narendra Properties Limited is ₹67.2M (≈ $697K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
Earnings per share at Narendra Properties Limited are ₹−1.46. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
The dividend yield of Narendra Properties Limited is 10.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
The net margin of Narendra Properties Limited is 30.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Narendra Properties Limited (531416)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Narendra Properties Limited is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Narendra Properties Limited (531416) carry?
The net debt of Narendra Properties Limited is ₹47.0M (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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