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Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited ₹1,771, price ₹1,505, upside +17.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited
531978 · BSEUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value ₹1,771 · Undervalued (+17.7%)
✓Quality 60/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓1.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹988.94 – ₹2,501 · fair‑value band ₹1,374 – ₹2,270 · the ₹1,505 price screens below the ₹1,771 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited manufactures and sells specialty cotton yarns, waste cotton, and knitted fabrics in India, other Asian countries, Europe, and North America. The company operates in two segments, Textiles and Windmills.
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Ambika Cotton Mills Limited manufactures and sells specialty cotton yarns, waste cotton, and knitted fabrics in India, other Asian countries, Europe, and North America. The company operates in two segments, Textiles and Windmills. It also operates wind mills with an installed capacity of 27.4 MW in Tirunelveli, Dharapuram, and Theni in the State of Tamilnadu. The company serves the manufacturers of branded shirts and T-shirts. Ambika Cotton Mills Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Coimbatore, India.
Stock analysis
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978) currently trades at ₹1,505, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,771, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹2,091 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹1,505 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹354.28, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹1,374 (bear) to ₹2,270 (bull), the price of ₹1,505 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited reported revenue of ₹7.0B in FY2025 versus ₹6.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹657M in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹4.1B (≈ $42.7M) · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) ₹77.83 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 18%, 531978 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1,374
Fair Value ₹1,771
Bull ₹2,270
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹62.83 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹1,705
₹2,271
₹3,359
78
Growth DCF
₹1,769
₹2,319
₹3,286
76
Owner Earnings
₹1,028
₹1,368
₹2,022
74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹1,705
₹2,271
₹3,359
78
Owner Earnings
₹1,028
₹1,368
₹2,022
74
5Y Revenue Exit
₹1,250
₹1,694
₹2,359
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹1,538
₹2,185
₹3,068
73
5Y P/E Exit
₹1,665
₹2,402
₹3,308
68
10Y Revenue Exit
₹1,393
₹1,781
₹2,202
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹1,591
₹2,091
₹2,638
67
10Y P/E Exit
₹1,667
₹2,228
₹2,785
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹780.86
₹1,183
₹1,409
65
EPV
₹1,053
₹1,217
₹1,360
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹307.39
₹354.28
₹408.86
67
DDM Multi-Stage
₹307.39
₹396.60
₹507.31
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹1,895
₹2,526
₹3,158
63
P/S Multiple
₹1,100
₹1,466
₹1,833
58
P/B Multiple
₹1,464
₹1,952
₹2,440
55
EV/EBIT
₹1,957
₹2,606
₹3,256
66
EV/EBITDA
₹1,660
₹2,211
₹2,761
67
EV/Revenue
₹1,035
₹1,475
₹1,915
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹789.57
₹1,058
₹1,579
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹1,769
₹2,319
₹3,286
76
Rev-Margin DCF
₹1,250
₹1,734
₹2,357
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹1,288
₹1,363
₹1,489
74
ROIC Compounder
₹1,053
₹1,217
₹1,360
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹1,336
₹1,908
₹2,480
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Profitability
41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 12%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 333 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.26 | ¥14.53 | −38% |
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$34.08 | HK$71.99 | +111% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.80 | ¥14.35 | +12% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,106 | ₹901.34 | −19% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥4.65 | ¥2.40 | −48% |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹239.17 | ₹47.77 | −80% |
| Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 | 58.30 TWD | 106.63 TWD | +83% |
| Albany International Corp AIN | $59.61 | $25.00 | −58% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥7.25 | ¥7.87 | +9% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹534.60 | ₹269.96 | −50% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,771 versus a price of ₹1,505, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 531978?
Our model-based fair value for Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is ₹1,771 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,505.
What is the quality score of 531978?
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,771 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,374, optimistic scenario ₹2,270. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ambika Cotton Mills Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,771, about +18% upside versus a price of ₹1,505 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,374, optimistic scenario ₹2,270. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ambika Cotton Mills Limited pay a dividend?
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ambika Cotton Mills Limited it is ₹1,771 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹1,505. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ambika Cotton Mills Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 531978 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹1,505, fair value ₹1,771, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 531978?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,505); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,771). For Ambika Cotton Mills Limited the two are ₹266.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ambika Cotton Mills Limited worth?
The market values Ambika Cotton Mills Limited at about ₹4.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,505; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,771 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 531978?
Our models span a range for Ambika Cotton Mills Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,374, base ₹1,771, optimistic ₹2,270 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹1,505). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 531978?
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,771 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 531978 from its 52-week high?
Ambika Cotton Mills Limited trades at ₹1,505, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹1,902 and 33% above the low of ₹1,129 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,771 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ambika Cotton Mills Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ambika Cotton Mills Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹1,505, calculated fair value ₹1,771 (+18%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 531978 calculated?
We run Ambika Cotton Mills Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,771, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ambika Cotton Mills Limited currently trades 15 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,505. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,771, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ambika Cotton Mills Limited right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The market capitalisation of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is ₹4.1B (≈ $42.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Earnings per share at Ambika Cotton Mills Limited are ₹77.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The dividend yield of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is 1.0% (payout 19.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The net margin of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is 9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is 14.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
The operating margin of Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Revenue at Ambika Cotton Mills Limited is growing −34.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ambika Cotton Mills Limited (531978)?
Earnings per share at Ambika Cotton Mills Limited are growing −63.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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