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538961 (538961) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · IN · Market cap ₹1.3B

5 538961 538961 · BSE
Price₹11.82
Fair Value₹4.68
Upside-60.4%
Quality44/100
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Evidence: Medium Range ₹3.51 – ₹7.36

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹19.77 ₹9.04 Fair Value ₹4.68 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹9.04 – ₹19.77 · fair‑value band ₹3.51 – ₹7.36 · the ₹11.82 price screens above the ₹4.68 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

538961 (538961) currently trades at ₹11.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.68 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Net debt stands at ₹4.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.51 (bear case) to ₹7.36 (bull case); at ₹11.82, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside — at -60%, 538961 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −₹241M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.2
EPS (TTM) ₹0.3461
Net debt ₹4.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

538961 reported revenue of ₹8.6B in FY2025 versus ₹2.9B in FY2021, a compound +31.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹29.3M in FY2025, compounding −21.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +31.8%/yr
FY21 ₹2.9B
FY22 ₹5.8B
FY23 ₹7.2B
FY24 ₹7.1B
FY25 ₹8.6B
Net income −21.4%/yr
FY21 ₹76.9M
FY22 ₹258M
FY23 −₹118M
FY24 ₹34.6M
FY25 ₹29.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "538961 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/538961

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Nestl?? India Limited 500790 ₹1,459 ₹279.60 -81%
540376 540376 ₹3,993 ₹1,806 -55%
540777 540777 ₹567.55 ₹142.69 -75%
Lupin Limited 500257 ₹2,476 ₹2,372 -4%
540719 540719 ₹1,788 ₹850.02 -52%
524804 524804 ₹1,620 ₹1,368 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 538961 (538961) undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4.68 versus a price of ₹11.82 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 538961?
Our model-based fair value for 538961 is ₹4.68 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹11.82.
What is the quality score of 538961?
538961 has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of 538961?
The net profit margin of 538961 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.