The Fertilisers And Chemicals Travancore Limited (590024) Fair Value & Analysis
Other · IN · Market cap ₹30.8B (≈ $323M)
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹106.29 to ₹104.58 (−1.6%) since Aug 11, 2026.
A solid business, but trading 696% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹110.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (₹97.89 to ₹110.07), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹86.96 – ₹1,132 · fair‑value band ₹97.89 – ₹110.07 · the ₹832.90 price screens above the ₹104.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
The Fertilisers And Chemicals Travancore Limited (590024) currently trades at ₹832.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹104.58, implying the stock looks roughly 87.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Net debt stands at ₹37.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹97.89 (bear case) to ₹110.07 (bull case); at ₹832.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -87%, 590024 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹244.91) versus Earnings-Based (₹125.33). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Fertilisers And Chemicals Travancore Limited reported revenue of ₹57.2B in FY2025 versus ₹44.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was −₹396M in FY2025.
590024 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →
Peer Group
Other · 139 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FREJO | $15.58 | $51.90 | +233% |
| Nestl?? India Limited 500790 | ₹1,450 | ₹191.93 | -87% |
| Stifel Financial Corporation SFB | $19.49 | $21.25 | +9% |
| Southern California Gas Company SOCGP | $31.10 | $29.62 | -5% |
| 542772 542772 | ₹1,160 | ₹829.73 | -28% |
| City Developments Limited C70 | 1.01 SGD | 0.8160 SGD | -19% |
| Indiabulls Real Estate Limited 532832 | ₹61.95 | ₹71.71 | +16% |
| 542851 542851 | ₹16.73 | ₹10.49 | -37% |
| Balmer Lawrie Investments Limited BLIL | ₹71.33 | ₹136.62 | +92% |
| 590005 590005 | ₹1,501 | ₹2,551 | +70% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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