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Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd ¥13.86, price ¥13.32, upside +4.1%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE000001G53

SE Some data Sep 24, 2026

Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd

600021 · SHG

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ¥13.86 · Fairly valued (+4%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.1% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
·2.78% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥30.19 ¥6.65 Fair Value ¥13.86 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.65 – ¥30.19 · fair‑value band ¥10.09 – ¥18.01 · the ¥13.32 price screens below the ¥13.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai Electric Power Co., Ltd. engages in the integration of clean energy, new energy, smart energy technology research and development and application, modern energy supply, and services in China and internationally.

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Shanghai Electric Power Co., Ltd. engages in the integration of clean energy, new energy, smart energy technology research and development and application, modern energy supply, and services in China and internationally. It is involved in photovoltaic, wind, gas electric, and thermal power generation and heating; thermal electricity generation; trading of electricity; research and development; technology development; and investment management activities. The company also provides electrical power consulting and power technical services; power supply and engineering construction services; and technology promotion and application services. Shanghai Electric Power Co., Ltd. was founded in 1882 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021) currently trades at ¥13.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.86, implying the stock looks roughly 3.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥23.15 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥13.32 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥5.28, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥10.09 (bear) to ¥18.01 (bull), the price of ¥13.32 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd reported revenue of 41.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 30.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.8B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 42.1B CNY (≈ $6.3B) · P/E ratio 17.3 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7700 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 4%, 600021 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥10.09 Fair Value ¥13.86 Bull ¥18.01
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2926 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥10.05 ¥10.77 ¥11.87 76
EPV ¥1.73 ¥5.28 ¥8.35 68
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥5.28 ¥8.35 68
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.67 ¥23.53 ¥31.66 64
Lynch FV ¥5.51 ¥7.87 ¥10.22 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.51 ¥7.87 ¥10.22 57
EPV ¥1.73 ¥5.28 ¥8.35 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥13.44 ¥26.78 ¥40.56 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥13.44 ¥23.15 ¥28.27 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.24 ¥17.65 ¥22.07 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.50 ¥16.67 ¥20.84 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.50 ¥16.67 ¥20.84 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.19 ¥21.84 ¥32.48 63
EV/EBITDA ¥21.03 ¥34.95 ¥48.87 65
EV/Revenue ¥5.09 ¥16.16 ¥27.23 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.04 ¥8.09 ¥12.07 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.05 ¥10.77 ¥11.87 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.73 ¥5.28 ¥8.35 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.70 ¥13.86 ¥18.01 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 25 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+40.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23% vs 5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 19%
2025 sits 98% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 210 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.01× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.54× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)39 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)56 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.02 ¥30.82 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 142.20 kr 31.40 −78%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,304 ₹169.61 −87%
VERBUND AG VER €62.10 €56.60 −9%
BEP BEP $29.78 $70.40 +136%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600021

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.86 versus a price of ¥13.32, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600021?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is ¥13.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.32.
What is the quality score of 600021?
Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.86 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.09, optimistic scenario ¥18.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.86, about +4% upside versus a price of ¥13.32 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥10.09, optimistic scenario ¥18.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 41.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd it is ¥13.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.32. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600021 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥13.32, fair value ¥13.86, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600021?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.86). For Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd the two are ¥0.5400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd at about 42.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.32; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600021?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥10.09, base ¥13.86, optimistic ¥18.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600021?
Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.86 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of 600021?
The PEG ratio of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 2.54 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 2.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600021 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd trades at ¥13.32, about 56% below its 52-week high of ¥30.19 and at the low of ¥13.30 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.32, calculated fair value ¥13.86 (+4%), Quality Score 40/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600021 calculated?
We run Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥13.32. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.86, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021) come from?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd grew −4.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin −3.7 %, tax rate −2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 42.1B CNY (≈ $6.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd are ¥0.7700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 2.8% (payout 48.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The net margin of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Revenue at Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is growing −5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd are growing −37.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is −4.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd (600021) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Electric Power Co Ltd is 81.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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