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Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 18.3B CNY

XX Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd 600057 · SHG
Price¥6.18
Fair Value¥8.13
Upside+31.5%
Quality42/100
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Strengths

Trades 24% below our fair value of ¥8.13
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 27/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.40% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.23 – ¥10.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 24% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥7.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.49 ¥4.69 Fair Value ¥8.13 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.69 – ¥11.49 · fair‑value band ¥7.23 – ¥10.17 · the ¥6.18 price screens below the ¥8.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) currently trades at ¥6.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.13, implying the stock looks roughly 31.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd generated revenue of 412B CNY at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at 7.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.23 (bear case) to ¥10.17 (bull case); at ¥6.18, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at 31%, 600057 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥55.59 ¥104.00 ¥183.33 80
Residual Income ¥8.42 ¥8.47 ¥7.81 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥36.52 ¥56.24 ¥97.82 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥58.69 ¥88.67 ¥184.11 38
Owner Earnings ¥12.01 ¥19.12 ¥34.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥33.90 ¥49.91 ¥83.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥36.49 ¥55.14 ¥91.54 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥26.16 ¥39.91 ¥56.85 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥40.85 ¥72.54 ¥89.73 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥43.47 ¥78.11 ¥135.01 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥35.94 ¥55.86 ¥84.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.10 ¥21.60 ¥30.31 54
Lynch FV ¥11.16 ¥15.94 ¥20.72 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥11.16 ¥15.94 ¥20.72 46
EPV ¥21.76 ¥24.31 ¥26.55 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.91 ¥14.37 ¥22.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.91 ¥12.12 ¥15.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.17 ¥9.56 ¥11.96 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.81 ¥7.74 ¥9.68 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.81 ¥7.74 ¥9.68 55
EV/EBIT ¥29.23 ¥36.82 ¥44.42 53
EV/EBITDA ¥27.29 ¥34.24 ¥41.19 54
EV/Revenue ¥22.70 ¥29.67 ¥36.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.57 ¥7.47 ¥11.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥55.59 ¥104.00 ¥183.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥36.52 ¥56.24 ¥97.82 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.42 ¥8.47 ¥7.81 76
ROIC Compounder ¥26.78 ¥38.20 ¥53.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.59 ¥20.85 ¥27.10 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥56.24) versus Asset-Based (¥7.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 23.8
P/S ratio 0.04 TTM
Dividend yield 3.4% payout 80.8%
Net margin 0.3% TTM
Return on equity 5.1% TTM
Return on assets 2.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 2.2% TTM
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 412B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0% 3y avg -8.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 8.8B CNY FY2025
Net debt 7.6B CNY FY2024 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd. provides supply chain services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company's supply chain service systems for commodities, such as agricultural products, energy, chemicals, metals, and minerals.

Full company description

Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd. provides supply chain services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company's supply chain service systems for commodities, such as agricultural products, energy, chemicals, metals, and minerals. It also provides integrated procurement and distribution services comprising international procurement and freight consolidation, international delivery, international re-export logistics, supplier inventory management, bonded day tour, and manuals management services; and international multimodal transport services, such as door-to-door sea-land, sea-air, and land-air transport, as well as warehousing, customs declaration, and storage. In addition, the company offers domestic door to door delivery services; and financial logistics services, including pledge and confirmed financing services. Further, it develops, constructs, and operates resource platforms, such as logistics parks, ports and docks, distribution centers, and international shipping centers. Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥410B in FY2025 versus ¥463B in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
410B CNY
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+0.2% (-3.2 + 3.4)
Revenue −3.0%/yr
FY21 ¥463B
FY22 ¥538B
FY23 ¥459B
FY24 ¥367B
FY25 ¥410B
Net income −12.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥1.6B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +17.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +21.8 pp

of which total revenue +28.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.6 pp

EBIT margin −1.9 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600057

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.58× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE75 · sector 40
FUTURE10 · sector 8
PAST20 · sector 26
HEALTH97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND71 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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DSV A/S DSV kr 1,380 kr 712.57 -48%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $274.47 $133.80 -51%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $146.70 $86.56 -41%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $184.47 $115.95 -37%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO $23.14 $28.57 +23%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.13 versus a price of ¥6.18, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600057?
Our model-based fair value for Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is ¥8.13 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.18.
What is the quality score of 600057?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 412B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600057?
The net profit margin of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.40% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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