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Data-driven stock valuation

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd stock ¥15.68, price ¥6.15, upside +155.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000QN5

XX Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 19, 2026

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd

600057 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

The stock costs 61% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ¥15.68 · Strongly undervalued (+155.0%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
3.6% dividend yield · Sustainable
Quality 42/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +11.9 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 25/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥11.49 ¥4.69 Fair Value ¥15.68 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.69 – ¥11.49 · fair‑value band ¥10.97 – ¥20.38 · the ¥6.15 price screens below the ¥15.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 19, 2026.

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Company profile

Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd. provides supply chain services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company's supply chain service systems for commodities, such as agricultural products, energy, chemicals, metals, and minerals.

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It also provides integrated procurement and distribution services comprising international procurement and freight consolidation, international delivery, international re-export logistics, supplier inventory management, bonded day tour, and manuals management services; and international multimodal transport services, such as door-to-door sea-land, sea-air, and land-air transport, as well as warehousing, customs declaration, and storage.

In addition, the company offers domestic door to door delivery services; and financial logistics services, including pledge and confirmed financing services.

Further, it develops, constructs, and operates resource platforms, such as logistics parks, ports and docks, distribution centers, and international shipping centers. Xiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) currently trades at ¥6.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.68, implying the stock looks roughly 60.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥37.84 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥6.15 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.48, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥10.97 (bear) to ¥20.38 (bull), the price of ¥6.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd reported revenue of 410B CNY in FY2025 versus 463B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 17.5B CNY (≈ $2.6B) Mid · P/E ratio 22.8 · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 155%, 600057 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥10.97 Fair Value ¥15.68 Bull ¥20.38
Price ¥6.15 · Upside +155.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0401 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥14.19 ¥15.84 ¥17.27 73
Residual Income ¥8.39 ¥8.44 ¥8.76 72
FCF DCF ¥40.87 ¥61.60 ¥127.29 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥40.87 ¥61.60 ¥127.29 70
Owner Earnings ¥18.13 ¥35.68 ¥72.20 66
5Y Revenue Exit ¥22.96 ¥33.57 ¥55.50 66
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥24.66 ¥36.99 ¥61.04 69
5Y P/E Exit ¥19.75 ¥31.92 ¥47.32 65
10Y Revenue Exit ¥28.05 ¥49.33 ¥60.62 62
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥29.76 ¥52.95 ¥90.80 61
10Y P/E Exit ¥26.19 ¥42.44 ¥66.38 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.10 ¥21.60 ¥30.31 59
Lynch FV ¥11.16 ¥15.94 ¥20.72 57
PEG = 1.0 ¥11.16 ¥15.94 ¥20.72 54
EPV ¥14.19 ¥15.84 ¥17.27 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.50 ¥9.26 ¥14.53 62
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.50 ¥7.85 ¥9.73 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.17 ¥9.56 ¥11.96 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.81 ¥7.74 ¥9.68 57
P/B Multiple ¥35.01 ¥46.69 ¥58.36 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.22 ¥18.21 ¥23.20 65
EV/EBITDA ¥11.94 ¥16.51 ¥21.08 66
EV/Revenue ¥8.93 ¥13.51 ¥18.09 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.28 ¥6.48 ¥8.10 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥38.68 ¥71.95 ¥126.25 70
Rev-Margin DCF ¥24.73 ¥37.84 ¥65.52 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.39 ¥8.44 ¥8.76 72
ROIC Compounder ¥17.39 ¥23.36 ¥28.13 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.59 ¥20.85 ¥27.10 64

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 35
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 58
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 55
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 60
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 78
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 29
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 20
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Per share before 2018divided by the spin-off factor 1.48
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.2% vs 12.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 202 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +155.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.8% · Below median
Return on assets 1.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 2.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 22.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.55× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow 3.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)15 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)72 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.19 ¥109.70 +252% vs 600057
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.70 €137.08 +138% vs 600057
FedEx Corporation FDX $291.71 $349.54 +20% vs 600057
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $95.78 $107.34 +12% vs 600057
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 231.80 CHF 147.92 −36% vs 600057
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $142.31 $87.31 −39% vs 600057
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $193.24 $116.66 −40% vs 600057
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $228.31 $133.80 −41% vs 600057
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €24.34 €14.24 −41% vs 600057
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,233 kr 711.95 −42% vs 600057

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Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥15.68 +61%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600057

Frequently asked questions

Is Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.68 versus a price of ¥6.15, about +155% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600057?
Our model-based fair value for Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is ¥15.68 (as of Oct 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.15.
What is the quality score of 600057?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥15.68 (as of Oct 19, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.97, optimistic scenario ¥20.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥15.68, about +155% upside versus a price of ¥6.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.97, optimistic scenario ¥20.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 415B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 19, 2026).
Does Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.58% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 19, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd it is ¥15.68 per share (as of Oct 19, 2026), against a price of ¥6.15. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 19, 2026, 600057 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥6.15, fair value ¥15.68, a gap of about +155% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600057?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥15.68). For Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd the two are ¥9.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd at about 17.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 19, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥15.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600057?
Our models span a range for Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥10.97, base ¥15.68, optimistic ¥20.38 per share (as of Oct 19, 2026, price ¥6.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600057?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.8 (as of Oct 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥15.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (as of Oct 19, 2026): return on equity 5.8%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600057 from its 52-week high?
Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd trades at ¥6.15, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥9.11 and 13% above the low of ¥5.42 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥15.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 19, 2026: price ¥6.15, calculated fair value ¥15.68 (+155%), Quality Score 42/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600057 calculated?
We run Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥15.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ¥6.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥15.68, about +155% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥10.97). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥10.97 to ¥20.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) come from?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd grew +17.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +21.8 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The market capitalisation of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 17.5B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd are ¥0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The dividend yield of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 3.6% (payout 81.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The net margin of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
The operating margin of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Revenue at Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is growing +2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057)?
Earnings per share at Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd are growing +5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) generate?
The free cash flow of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 8.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd (600057) carry?
The net debt of Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd is 7.6B CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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