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Data-driven stock valuation

JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what JB Hunt Transport Services Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $27.4B · ISIN US4456581077

At a glance

JH JB Hunt Transport Services Inc logo JB Hunt Transport Services Inc JBHT · US
Price$274.78
Fair Value$133.80
Upside−51.3%
Quality68/100

A solid business, but trading 105% above our fair value of $133.80.

As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of JB Hunt Transport Services Inc is $133.80 per share against a price of $274.78, so the fair value sits 51% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.65% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $92.24 to $167.25

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +2.3% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($167.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($92.24 to $167.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$298.41 $123.14 Fair Value $133.80 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $123.14 – $298.41 · fair‑value band $92.24 – $167.25 · the $274.78 price screens above the $133.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT) currently trades at $274.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $133.80, implying the stock looks roughly 105.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $153.44 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $274.78 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.44, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, JB Hunt Transport Services Inc generated revenue of $12.1B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Scenario range: $92.24 (bear) to $167.25 (bull), the price of $274.78 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −51%, JBHT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.52 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $111.36 $187.09 $307.72 76
EPV $59.89 $71.21 $81.11 74
Growth DCF $112.49 $186.76 $304.72 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $111.36 $187.09 $307.72 76
Owner Earnings $65.37 $111.91 $186.04 72
5Y Revenue Exit $85.92 $141.36 $212.72 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $130.06 $226.61 $341.99 72
5Y P/E Exit $92.18 $153.45 $219.08 68
10Y Revenue Exit $91.17 $144.89 $218.94 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $122.32 $205.11 $320.59 65
10Y P/E Exit $97.87 $153.44 $223.93 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $43.33 $156.12 $210.46 62
Lynch FV $36.93 $52.76 $68.58 59
PEG = 1.0 $36.93 $52.76 $68.58 55
EPV $59.89 $71.21 $81.11 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.73 $34.78 $55.17 64
DDM Multi-Stage $16.73 $29.32 $36.50 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $100.35 $133.80 $167.25 63
P/S Multiple $81.24 $108.32 $135.39 58
P/B Multiple $81.24 $108.32 $135.39 55
EV/EBIT $109.48 $148.63 $187.79 66
EV/EBITDA $156.06 $210.74 $265.42 67
EV/Revenue $75.85 $111.78 $147.71 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.98 $25.44 $37.97 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $112.49 $186.76 $304.72 74
Rev-Margin DCF $85.92 $141.51 $208.23 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $42.06 $55.54 $179.30 62
ROIC Compounder $65.63 $88.51 $117.95 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $70.26 $100.37 $130.48 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($153.44) versus Asset-Based ($25.44). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 39.9
P/S ratio 1.99 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.88 price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.9
Dividend yield 0.6% payout 25.9%
Net margin 5.0% FY2025
Return on equity 18.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $12.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.4% 3y avg −6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +45.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $948M FY2025
Net debt $1.9B FY2025 · ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. provides surface transportation, delivery, and logistic services in the United States. It operates through five segments: Intermodal, Dedicated Contract Services, Integrated Capacity Solutions, Final Mile Services, and Truckload. The JBI segment offers intermodal freight solutions.

Full company description

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. provides surface transportation, delivery, and logistic services in the United States. It operates through five segments: Intermodal, Dedicated Contract Services, Integrated Capacity Solutions, Final Mile Services, and Truckload. The JBI segment offers intermodal freight solutions. It operates 124,838 pieces of company-owned trailing equipment; owns and maintains its chassis fleet of 104,474 units; and manages a fleet of 5,880 company-owned tractors, 308 independent contractor trucks, and 8,704 company drivers. The DCS segment designs, develops, and executes supply chain solutions that support various transportation networks. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 11,878 company-owned trucks, 761 customer-owned trucks, and a contractor trucks. It operates 26,767 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 5,218 customer-owned trailers. The ICS segment provides freight brokerage and transportation logistics solutions; flatbed, refrigerated, expedited, and less-than-truckload, as well as dry-van and intermodal solutions; online multimodal marketplace; and logistics management services for customers to outsource their transportation functions. The FMS segment delivers services through 1,085 company-owned trucks, 169 customer-owned trucks, and 39 independent contractor trucks; and 1,091 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 98 customer-owned trailers. The JBT segment provides dry-van freight services by utilizing tractors and trailers operating over roads and highways through two company-owned tractors and 12,658 company-owned trailers. It transports or arranges for the transportation of freight, such as general merchandise, specialty consumer items, appliances, home furnishings, forest, paper, rubber, plastic products, food, beverages, building materials, apparel, accessories, soaps, cosmetics, automotive parts, agricultural products, electronics, and chemicals. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Lowell, Arkansas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

JB Hunt Transport Services Inc reported revenue of $12.0B in FY2025 versus $12.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was $598M in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.0B
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+5.1%
Dividend yield0.6%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 5.1% vs 10Y 5.3%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7.4% (2020) → 7.2% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop40% (2024) · in USD
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY21 $12.2B
FY22 $14.8B
FY23 $12.8B
FY24 $12.1B
FY25 $12.0B
Net income −5.8%/yr
FY21 $761M
FY22 $969M
FY23 $728M
FY24 $571M
FY25 $598M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.3 %

of which total revenue +7.7 % · buybacks/dilution +1.5 %

EBIT margin −4.4 %
Tax rate +2.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

JBHT screens 105% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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JB Hunt Transport Services Inc · Fair Value
$133.80 −105%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JB Hunt Transport Services Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JBHT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 206 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 7.68× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.15× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 28.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.88× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must JB Hunt Transport Services Inc deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+13.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+4.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price3.53 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.9 %

The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 44
FUTURE97 · sector 8
PAST74 · sector 26
HEALTH89 · sector 94
DIVIDEND13 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $102.29 $103.34 +1%
FedEx Corporation FDX $322.52 $347.68 +8%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €56.14 €53.18 −5%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,358 kr 712.57 −48%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 211.30 CHF 147.92 −30%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $147.64 $86.56 −41%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $188.80 $115.95 −39%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO $20.95 $28.67 +37%
Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 196,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +138%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $133.80 versus a price of $274.78, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JBHT?
Our model-based fair value for JB Hunt Transport Services Inc is $133.80 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $274.78.
What is the quality score of JBHT?
JB Hunt Transport Services Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $133.80 (as of Sep 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $92.24, optimistic scenario $167.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JB Hunt Transport Services Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $133.80, about −51% upside versus a price of $274.78 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $92.24, optimistic scenario $167.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT)?
JB Hunt Transport Services Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JBHT?
The net profit margin of JB Hunt Transport Services Inc is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JB Hunt Transport Services Inc pay a dividend?
JB Hunt Transport Services Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JB Hunt Transport Services Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +13.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.9 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JBHT use?
Our models discount JB Hunt Transport Services Inc at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JB Hunt Transport Services Inc it is $133.80 per share (as of Sep 3, 2026), against a price of $274.78. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JB Hunt Transport Services Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 3, 2026, JBHT trades above its calculated fair value: price $274.78, fair value $133.80, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JBHT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($274.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($133.80). For JB Hunt Transport Services Inc the two are $140.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JB Hunt Transport Services Inc worth?
The market values JB Hunt Transport Services Inc at about $27.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 3, 2026). Per share that is $274.78; our models calculate a fair value of $133.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JBHT?
Our models span a range for JB Hunt Transport Services Inc: cautious scenario $92.24, base $133.80, optimistic $167.25 per share (as of Sep 3, 2026, price $274.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JBHT?
JB Hunt Transport Services Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.9 (as of Sep 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $133.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.9, P/B 7.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
What is the PEG ratio of JBHT?
The PEG ratio of JB Hunt Transport Services Inc is 2.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT)?
Balance-sheet figures for JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (as of Sep 3, 2026): return on equity 18.5%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JBHT from its 52-week high?
JB Hunt Transport Services Inc trades at $274.78, about 3% below its 52-week high of $284.04 and 113% above the low of $129.28 (as of Sep 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $133.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JB Hunt Transport Services Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JB Hunt Transport Services Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 3, 2026: price $274.78, calculated fair value $133.80 (−51%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JBHT calculated?
We run JB Hunt Transport Services Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $133.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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