J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc (JBHT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $27.4B

A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($167.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $123.14 – $298.41 · fair‑value band $93.73 – $167.25 · the $267.25 price screens above the $133.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc (JBHT) currently trades at $267.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $133.80, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc generated revenue of $12.1B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $93.73 (bear case) to $167.25 (bull case); at $267.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -50%, JBHT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($147.96) versus Asset-Based ($25.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. provides surface transportation, delivery, and logistic services in the United States. It operates through five segments: Intermodal, Dedicated Contract Services, Integrated Capacity Solutions, Final Mile Services, and Truckload. The JBI segment offers intermodal freight solutions.

Full company description

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. provides surface transportation, delivery, and logistic services in the United States. It operates through five segments: Intermodal, Dedicated Contract Services, Integrated Capacity Solutions, Final Mile Services, and Truckload. The JBI segment offers intermodal freight solutions. It operates 124,838 pieces of company-owned trailing equipment; owns and maintains its chassis fleet of 104,474 units; and manages a fleet of 5,880 company-owned tractors, 308 independent contractor trucks, and 8,704 company drivers. The DCS segment designs, develops, and executes supply chain solutions that support various transportation networks. As of December 31, 2025, it operated 11,878 company-owned trucks, 761 customer-owned trucks, and a contractor trucks. It operates 26,767 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 5,218 customer-owned trailers. The ICS segment provides freight brokerage and transportation logistics solutions; flatbed, refrigerated, expedited, and less-than-truckload, as well as dry-van and intermodal solutions; online multimodal marketplace; and logistics management services for customers to outsource their transportation functions. The FMS segment delivers services through 1,085 company-owned trucks, 169 customer-owned trucks, and 39 independent contractor trucks; and 1,091 owned pieces of trailing equipment and 98 customer-owned trailers. The JBT segment provides dry-van freight services by utilizing tractors and trailers operating over roads and highways through two company-owned tractors and 12,658 company-owned trailers. It transports or arranges for the transportation of freight, such as general merchandise, specialty consumer items, appliances, home furnishings, forest, paper, rubber, plastic products, food, beverages, building materials, apparel, accessories, soaps, cosmetics, automotive parts, agricultural products, electronics, and chemicals. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Lowell, Arkansas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc reported revenue of $12.0B in FY2025 versus $12.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was $598M in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.

JBHT screens 50% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.