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Shanghai Bright Meat Group (600073) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY

SB Shanghai Bright Meat Group 600073 · SHG
Price¥5.09
Fair Value¥8.03
Upside+57.8%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -1.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.97 – ¥10.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 58% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.97). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.61 ¥4.63 Fair Value ¥8.03 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.63 – ¥8.61 · fair‑value band ¥5.97 – ¥10.09 · the ¥5.09 price screens below the ¥8.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Bright Meat Group (600073) currently trades at ¥5.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.03, implying the stock looks roughly 57.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Bright Meat Group generated revenue of 22.1B CNY at a net margin of -1.1%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.8%. Net debt stands at 203M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.97 (bear case) to ¥10.09 (bull case); at ¥5.09, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 58%, 600073 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥7.46 ¥8.60 ¥9.99 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.77 ¥3.52 ¥5.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.77 ¥3.04 ¥3.72 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.13 ¥4.44 ¥4.97 31
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥7.04 ¥7.56 ¥8.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.77 ¥3.52 ¥5.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.77 ¥3.04 ¥3.72 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥9.92 ¥11.98 ¥14.04 53
EV/EBITDA ¥14.72 ¥18.38 ¥22.04 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.15 ¥10.04 ¥11.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.50 ¥3.35 ¥5.00 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥7.46 ¥8.60 ¥9.99 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥11.98) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.04). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 22.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin -1.1%
Return on equity -13.8%
Free cash flow −627M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 0.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2700
EPS growth (YoY) -72.2%
Net debt 203M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Bright Meat Group Co., Ltd. engages in the production, manufacture, and distribution of food products in China. The company offers pork, beef, mutton, canned foods, and meat products, as well as candy, honey, and drinking water. It also engages in the breeding and slaughtering activities.

Full company description

Shanghai Bright Meat Group Co., Ltd. engages in the production, manufacture, and distribution of food products in China. The company offers pork, beef, mutton, canned foods, and meat products, as well as candy, honey, and drinking water. It also engages in the breeding and slaughtering activities. In addition, the company provides semi-finished meat preparation products, including various marinated and pre-cooked deep-processed products. It offers its products under the Meilin B2, Silver Fern, Su Shi, Aisen, Lianhao; Guanshengyuan, White Rabbit, and Zhengguanghe brands. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Maling Aquarius Co.,Ltd. Shanghai Bright Meat Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Bright Meat Group reported revenue of ¥22.1B in FY2025 versus ¥23.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥132M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 7/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
22.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+15.9%
Revenue −1.6%/yr
FY21 ¥23.6B
FY22 ¥25.0B
FY23 ¥22.4B
FY24 ¥22.0B
FY25 ¥22.1B
Net income
FY21 ¥303M
FY22 ¥503M
FY23 ¥226M
FY24 ¥216M
FY25 −¥132M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Bright Meat Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600073

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +58% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 1 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Bright Meat Group (600073) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.03 versus a price of ¥5.09, about +58% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600073?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Bright Meat Group is ¥8.03 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.09.
What is the quality score of 600073?
Shanghai Bright Meat Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Bright Meat Group (600073)?
Shanghai Bright Meat Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600073?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Bright Meat Group is about -1.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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