Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk IDR 243, price IDR 940, upside -74.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 36.80 IDR – 1,000,000 IDR · fair‑value band 182.54 IDR – 304.23 IDR · the 940.00 IDR price screens above the 243.39 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.
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PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and infrastructure company in Indonesia, China, India, rest of South Asia, Korea, and internationally. It operates through Supply of Steam and Electricity; Fertilizer and Chemicals Trading; Rent; and Coal Mining and Trading segments.
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PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and infrastructure company in Indonesia, China, India, rest of South Asia, Korea, and internationally. It operates through Supply of Steam and Electricity; Fertilizer and Chemicals Trading; Rent; and Coal Mining and Trading segments. The company engages in the supply of coal for industrial needs and to independent power producers; developing geothermal projects and renewable energy initiatives; solar panel production and rooftop solar PV solutions; and data center development. It also offers internet services and technology services, including cloud computing, big data, and IT solutions for the business sector; DANA, a digital financial services platform for payment and electronic transaction solutions; SRX and ASIX technology- and AI-based platforms for supply chains and industrial needs; Vidio, an OTT-based video streaming media and entertainment service; and KUPU, a digital platform for recruitment and workforce development services. In addition, the company provides a range of technical chemicals and fertilizers for the plantations and forestry, agriculture and palm oil processing, pulp and paper, textiles, food and beverage manufacturing, mining, oil and gas, and power generation sectors; and logistics, warehousing, and technical support services. Further, it invests in the electricity and health sectors. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sinar Mas Tunggal.
Stock analysis
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) currently trades at 940.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 243.39 IDR, 74.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 356.80 IDR per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the 940.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 140.79 IDR, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 182.54 IDR (bear) to 304.23 IDR (bull), the price of 940.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was $228M in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 163T IDR (≈ $9.1B) · P/E ratio 37.3 · P/S ratio 3.08 · EPS (TTM) 25.20 IDR · Net margin 8.3% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 22.4% · Operating margin 16.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −74%, DSSA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear182.54 IDRFair Value 243.39 IDRBull304.23 IDR
Price 940.00 IDR · Upside -74.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (19.81 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.6% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+26.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.26.3% vs 24.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
Compare Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 85 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Below median
Fair Value upside−74.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.71× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)37.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.01× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)5.22× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA35.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 55
PAST (return on equity)62· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)65· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 243.39 IDR versus a price of 940.00 IDR, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DSSA?
Our model-based fair value for Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 243.39 IDR (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 940.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of DSSA?
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 243.39 IDR (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 182.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 304.23 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 243.39 IDR, about −74% upside versus a price of 940.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 182.54 IDR, optimistic scenario 304.23 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk it is 243.39 IDR per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of 940.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, DSSA trades above its calculated fair value: price 940.00 IDR, fair value 243.39 IDR, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DSSA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (940.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (243.39 IDR). For Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk the two are 696.61 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk worth?
The market values Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk at about 163T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is 940.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 243.39 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DSSA?
Our models span a range for Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk: cautious scenario 182.54 IDR, base 243.39 IDR, optimistic 304.23 IDR per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price 940.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DSSA?
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.3 (as of Oct 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 243.39 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.0, P/S 5.2, EV/EBITDA 35.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity 15.6%, debt of 0.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DSSA from its 52-week high?
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk trades at 940.00 IDR, about 80% below its 52-week high of 4,640 IDR and 118% above the low of 432.00 IDR (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 243.39 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, Yankuang Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price 940.00 IDR, calculated fair value 243.39 IDR (−74%), Quality Score 37/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DSSA calculated?
We run Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 243.39 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was 940.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 243.39 IDR, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (304.23 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) come from?
Earnings per share at Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk grew +32.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +22.9 %, EBIT margin +7.6 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
The market capitalisation of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 163T IDR (≈ $9.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 3.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Earnings per share at Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk are 25.20 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
The net margin of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 22.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
The operating margin of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Revenue at Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is growing −6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Earnings per share at Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk are growing +2.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) generate?
The free cash flow of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is −$126M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) carry?
The net debt of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is $1.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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