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Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · ID · Market cap 121T IDR (≈ $12.1B) · ISIN ID1000113400

DS Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk DSSA · JK
Price1,145 IDR
Fair Value352.75 IDR
Upside-69.2%
Quality37/100
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Risks

!Trades 225% ABOVE our fair value of 352.75 IDR
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +12.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +12.8 %/yr)
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range 246.93 IDR – 455.45 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from 0.0200 IDR to 352.75 IDR (+1,763,650.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +38.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 225% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (455.45 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (246.93 IDR to 455.45 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,000,000 IDR 36.80 IDR Fair Value 352.75 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 36.80 IDR – 1,000,000 IDR · fair‑value band 246.93 IDR – 455.45 IDR · the 1,145 IDR price screens above the 352.75 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) currently trades at 1,145 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 352.75 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 69.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk generated revenue of 2.8B IDR at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at 1.1B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 246.93 IDR (bear case) to 455.45 IDR (bull case); at 1,145 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at -69%, DSSA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 72
Growth-Adj P/E 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 68
P/E Multiple 352.75 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 176.38 IDR 705.50 IDR 881.88 IDR 54
Lynch FV 176.38 IDR 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 176.38 IDR 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 46
EPV 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 352.75 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 352.75 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 352.75 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 352.75 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 176.38 IDR 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 352.75 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 176.38 IDR 176.38 IDR 176.38 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 176.38 IDR 176.38 IDR 529.13 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 176.38 IDR 352.75 IDR 529.13 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (352.75 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (176.38 IDR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 45.4
P/S ratio 3.75 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 25.20 IDR price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.4
Net margin 8.3% FY2025
Return on equity 15.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 22.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 16.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.7B IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.0% 3y avg -22.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −126M IDR FY2025
Net debt 1.1B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and infrastructure company in Indonesia, China, India, rest of South Asia, Korea, and internationally. It operates through Supply of Steam and Electricity; Fertilizer and Chemicals Trading; Rent; and Coal Mining and Trading segments.

Full company description

PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and infrastructure company in Indonesia, China, India, rest of South Asia, Korea, and internationally. It operates through Supply of Steam and Electricity; Fertilizer and Chemicals Trading; Rent; and Coal Mining and Trading segments. The company engages in the supply of coal for industrial needs and to independent power producers; developing geothermal projects and renewable energy initiatives; solar panel production and rooftop solar PV solutions; and data center development. It also offers internet services and technology services, including cloud computing, big data, and IT solutions for the business sector; DANA, a digital financial services platform for payment and electronic transaction solutions; SRX and ASIX technology- and AI-based platforms for supply chains and industrial needs; Vidio, an OTT-based video streaming media and entertainment service; and KUPU, a digital platform for recruitment and workforce development services. In addition, the company provides a range of technical chemicals and fertilizers for the plantations and forestry, agriculture and palm oil processing, pulp and paper, textiles, food and beverage manufacturing, mining, oil and gas, and power generation sectors; and logistics, warehousing, and technical support services. Further, it invests in the electricity and health sectors. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sinar Mas Tunggal.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was $228M in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8B IDR
Latest YoY
−8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+26.3% (26.3 + 0.0)
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY21 $2.2B
FY22 $6.0B
FY23 $5.0B
FY24 $3.0B
FY25 $2.8B
Net income +17.3%/yr
FY21 $120M
FY22 $590M
FY23 $426M
FY24 $309M
FY25 $228M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +32.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +22.9 pp

of which total revenue +20.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.1 pp

EBIT margin +7.6 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

DSSA screens 69% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSSA

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST62 · sector 23
HEALTH65 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 ¥44.07 ¥34.97 -21%
PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN 15,325 IDR 3,542 IDR -77%
Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT ₹2,965 ₹891.11 -70%
Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 ¥25.08 ¥23.90 -5%
Yankuang Energy Group 600188 ¥21.60 ¥13.24 -39%
Coal India Limited COALINDIA ₹409.30 ₹464.01 +13%
533278 533278 ₹406.50 ₹660.78 +63%
China Coal Energy Company 601898 ¥13.93 ¥13.91 -0%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 ¥26.48 ¥20.72 -22%
Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 ¥16.27 ¥7.20 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 352.75 IDR versus a price of 1,145 IDR, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DSSA?
Our model-based fair value for Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is 352.75 IDR (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,145 IDR.
What is the quality score of DSSA?
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA)?
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DSSA?
The net profit margin of Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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