Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co (600308) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥1.21 to ¥2.42 (+100.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥1.46 to ¥3.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.84 – ¥6.34 · fair‑value band ¥1.46 – ¥3.36 · the ¥3.18 price screens above the ¥2.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co (600308) currently trades at ¥3.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.42, implying the stock looks roughly 23.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co generated revenue of 12.5B CNY at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.3%. Net debt stands at 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.46 (bear case) to ¥3.36 (bull case); at ¥3.18, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -24%, 600308 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.99) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.25). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells paper products in China, Europe, the United States, Southeast Asia, South Korea, India, and internationally. It operates through Paper Industry; Chemical Products; Electric Power; and Sewage Treatment segments.
Full company description
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells paper products in China, Europe, the United States, Southeast Asia, South Korea, India, and internationally. It operates through Paper Industry; Chemical Products; Electric Power; and Sewage Treatment segments. The company offers machine-made paper, such as coated, cultural, newsprint, and packaging paper; and pulp products. It also provides chemical products comprising caustic soda, liquid chlorine, hydrogen peroxide, methane chloride, propylene oxide, and chlorine, acetic acid, and aniline; and electric power and sewage treatment services. In addition, it engages in transportation, trading, energy and information technology, industrial investment, and renewable resources businesses. Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co.,Ltd was formerly known as Shandong Huatai Paper Co., LTD. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Dongying, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co reported revenue of ¥12.5B in FY2025 versus ¥14.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥66.0M in FY2025.
600308 screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Klabin S.A →
Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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