Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd ¥2.58, price ¥3.36, upside -23.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.84 – ¥6.34 · fair‑value band ¥2.24 – ¥3.58 · the ¥3.36 price screens above the ¥2.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells paper products in China, Europe, the United States, Southeast Asia, South Korea, India, and internationally. It operates through Paper Industry; Chemical Products; Electric Power; and Sewage Treatment segments.
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Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells paper products in China, Europe, the United States, Southeast Asia, South Korea, India, and internationally. It operates through Paper Industry; Chemical Products; Electric Power; and Sewage Treatment segments. The company offers machine-made paper, such as coated, cultural, newsprint, and packaging paper; and pulp products. It also provides chemical products comprising caustic soda, liquid chlorine, hydrogen peroxide, methane chloride, propylene oxide, and chlorine, acetic acid, and aniline; and electric power and sewage treatment services. In addition, it engages in transportation, trading, energy and information technology, industrial investment, and renewable resources businesses. Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co.,Ltd was formerly known as Shandong Huatai Paper Co., LTD. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Dongying, China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308) currently trades at ¥3.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.58, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.99 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥3.36 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.12, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.24 (bear) to ¥3.58 (bull), the price of ¥3.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd reported revenue of 12.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 14.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −66.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1B CNY (≈ $761M) · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0600 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 1.6% · Revenue (TTM) 12.5B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at −23%, 600308 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.24Fair Value ¥2.58Bull ¥3.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.5/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.9% (2020) → 1.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 121 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600308
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.58 versus a price of ¥3.36, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600308?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is ¥2.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.36.
What is the quality score of 600308?
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.24, optimistic scenario ¥3.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.58, about −23% upside versus a price of ¥3.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.24, optimistic scenario ¥3.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd it is ¥2.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.36. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600308 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.36, fair value ¥2.58, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600308?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.58). For Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd the two are ¥0.7800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd at about 5.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.36; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600308?
Our models span a range for Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.24, base ¥2.58, optimistic ¥3.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 600308?
The PEG ratio of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600308 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd trades at ¥3.36, about 25% below its 52-week high of ¥4.50 and 12% above the low of ¥2.99 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.36, calculated fair value ¥2.58 (−23%), Quality Score 46/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600308 calculated?
We run Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.36. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.58, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is 5.1B CNY (≈ $761M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is 0.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd are ¥−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
The net margin of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
The operating margin of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Revenue at Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is −584M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd (600308) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Huatai Paper Industry Shareholding Co Ltd is 1.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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