Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co (600320) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 21.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥2.80 to ¥2.92 (+4.3%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.93 – ¥5.61 · fair‑value band ¥2.19 – ¥3.65 · the ¥4.17 price screens above the ¥2.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co (600320) currently trades at ¥4.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.92, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co generated revenue of 36.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at 12.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.19 (bear case) to ¥3.65 (bull case); at ¥4.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -30%, 600320 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.44) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of heavy-duty equipment in Chinese Mainland, rest of Asia, Africa, North America, Europe, South America, Oceania, and internationally.
Full company description
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of heavy-duty equipment in Chinese Mainland, rest of Asia, Africa, North America, Europe, South America, Oceania, and internationally. The company offers port machinery, including STS crane, RMG/RTG crane, bulk-cargo machinery, port mobile handling machinery, and automated terminal; offshore engineering equipment, such as heavy lift vessel, dredger vessel, wind power equipment, pipe-laying vessel, special purpose engineering, and jack-up rig; and steel structure comprising bridge, wind power equipment, and building construction steel structure. It also is involved in the provision of installation of heavy port equipment, engineering vessels, and heavy metal structure and its parts; manufacturing and installation of gearbox, container yard crane, super heavy duty bridge steel structure, and heavy marine machinery equipment; leasing of cranes; and contracting of steel structures. In addition, the company sells port loading and unloading machine, bulk cargo and container machine, port engineering vessels, and material handling mechanical products and parts; provides sales and technical services, installation and maintenance, and technical consultation services; marine transport and finance lease business; construction of port, waterway, highway, and bridge; and fabrication and installation of steel structure. Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Co reported revenue of ¥36.3B in FY2025 versus ¥26.0B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥732M in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021.
600320 screens 30% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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