Ningxia Building Materials Group (600449) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +20.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.10 – ¥21.79 · fair‑value band ¥4.86 – ¥8.22 · the ¥15.50 price screens above the ¥6.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Ningxia Building Materials Group (600449) currently trades at ¥15.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.47, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningxia Building Materials Group generated revenue of 4.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 47.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.86 (bear case) to ¥8.22 (bull case); at ¥15.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -58%, 600449 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥26.77) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ningxia Building Materials Group Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells cement, cement clinkers, concrete, and aggregates in China. It also provides ordinary silicate, silicate cement, low- and medium-heat cement, road silicate cement, heat cement, oil well cement, dam cement, etc.
Full company description
Ningxia Building Materials Group Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells cement, cement clinkers, concrete, and aggregates in China. It also provides ordinary silicate, silicate cement, low- and medium-heat cement, road silicate cement, heat cement, oil well cement, dam cement, etc. under the Saima, Shuanglu, Qingtongxia, Shuanglu, Ningzhongning, and Caoyuan brand names. In addition, the company is involved in the digital logistics business. Its products are mainly used in roads, railways, bridges, other infrastructure, and real estate construction. The company was formerly known as Ningxia Saima Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ningxia Building Materials Group Co.,Ltd in December 2011. Ningxia Building Materials Group Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Yinchuan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningxia Building Materials Group reported revenue of ¥5.2B in FY2025 versus ¥5.8B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥182M in FY2025, compounding −31.0%/yr from FY2021.
600449 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 254 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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