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Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd ¥9.70, price ¥4.77, upside +103.4%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000000KF4

WZ Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd

600704 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value ¥9.70 · Strongly undervalued (+103%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·4.61% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 4 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥10.94 ¥3.95 Fair Value ¥9.70 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.95 – ¥10.94 · fair‑value band ¥5.65 – ¥13.80 · the ¥4.77 price screens below the ¥9.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Wuchan Zhongda Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides bulk commodity supply chain integration services in China and internationally. It operates through Supply chain integration services, Financial Services Business, and High-end industrial business segments.

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Wuchan Zhongda Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides bulk commodity supply chain integration services in China and internationally. It operates through Supply chain integration services, Financial Services Business, and High-end industrial business segments. The company offers metal materials, car, energy, rubber, and chemical industry; financial leasing, futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage, futures investment consulting, asset management, wealth management, and risk management, as well as trading platform. It also provides thermoelectric, medical services, utilities, wire and cables, stainless steel, motor core, and construction services. Wuchan Zhongda Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704) currently trades at ¥4.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.70, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥30.63 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥4.77 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.68, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥5.65 (bear) to ¥13.80 (bull), the price of ¥4.77 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 596B CNY in FY2025 versus 563B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 24.7B CNY (≈ $3.7B) · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.6900 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 103%, 600704 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.65 Fair Value ¥9.70 Bull ¥13.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3451 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.07 ¥7.59 ¥8.43 76
Owner Earnings ¥15.68 ¥30.63 ¥60.86 72
Gordon GGM ¥4.41 ¥8.79 ¥13.30 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥15.68 ¥30.63 ¥60.86 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.76 ¥33.23 ¥46.63 63
Lynch FV ¥12.33 ¥17.61 ¥22.90 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.41 ¥8.79 ¥13.30 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.41 ¥7.59 ¥9.27 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.56 ¥15.41 ¥19.27 63
P/B Multiple ¥8.93 ¥11.91 ¥14.89 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.24 ¥5.68 ¥8.48 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.07 ¥7.59 ¥8.43 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs 8%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 377 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +103% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.25× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)4 · sector 17
PAST (return on equity)35 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)92 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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SK Inc 034730 611,000 KRW 351,594 KRW −42%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $57.30 $79.11 +38%
Kingboard Holdings 0148 HK$55.55 HK$85.25 +53%
SGH Limited SGH A$36.69 A$42.47 +16%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600704

Frequently asked questions

Is Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.70 versus a price of ¥4.77, about +103% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600704?
Our model-based fair value for Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is ¥9.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.77.
What is the quality score of 600704?
Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.65, optimistic scenario ¥13.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.70, about +103% upside versus a price of ¥4.77 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.65, optimistic scenario ¥13.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 598B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.61% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd it is ¥9.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥4.77. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600704 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥4.77, fair value ¥9.70, a gap of about +103% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600704?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥9.70). For Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd the two are ¥4.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd at about 24.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.77; our models calculate a fair value of ¥9.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600704?
Our models span a range for Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.65, base ¥9.70, optimistic ¥13.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥4.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600704?
Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥9.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 1.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600704 from its 52-week high?
Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd trades at ¥4.77, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥6.17 and 2% above the low of ¥4.67 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥9.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥4.77, calculated fair value ¥9.70 (+103%), Quality Score 44/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600704 calculated?
We run Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥9.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd currently trades 103 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥4.77. Our model-based fair value is ¥9.70, about +103% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥5.65 to ¥13.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704) come from?
Earnings per share at Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd grew +8.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.4 %, EBIT margin +1.3 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The market capitalisation of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 24.7B CNY (≈ $3.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
Earnings per share at Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd are ¥0.6900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The dividend yield of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 4.6% (payout 31.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The net margin of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
The operating margin of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704)?
Revenue at Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is growing +0.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is −10.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd (600704) carry?
The net debt of Wuchan Zhongda Group Co Ltd is 19.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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