HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd ¥45.45, price ¥15.15, upside +200.0%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.30 – ¥27.36 · fair‑value band ¥27.09 – ¥59.31 · the ¥15.15 price screens below the ¥45.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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HUAYU Automotive Systems Company Limited researches and develops, manufactures, and sells automotive parts worldwide.
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HUAYU Automotive Systems Company Limited researches and develops, manufactures, and sells automotive parts worldwide. The company offers advanced driving assist systems and autonomous driving systems; intelligent vision perception system solutions; Smart Cabins; e-drive solutions; thermal and battery management systems; chassis systems, such as suspension, steering, braking, and transmission systems; interior and exterior parts, seats, and passive safety systems; and automotive fuel systems. It also provides electronic cooling water pump, electronic vacuum pump, electronic vapour pump, variable oil pump and mechanical water pump, covering systems of thermal management, turbocharger cooling, battery cooling, oil supply cooling, exhaust gas recirculation cooling, canister purging, engine and transmission lubrication, cooling, and hydraulic drives. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Bus Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. and changed its name to HUAYU Automotive Systems Company Limited on April 20, 2009. HUAYU Automotive Systems Company Limited was founded in 1992 and is based in Shanghai, China. HUAYU Automotive Systems Company Limited is a subsidiary of SAIC Motor Corporation Limited.
Stock analysis
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) currently trades at ¥15.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥45.45, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥75.21 per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥15.15 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥14.27, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥27.09 (bear) to ¥59.31 (bull), the price of ¥15.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd reported revenue of 184B CNY in FY2025 versus 140B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 7.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 47.8B CNY (≈ $7.1B) · P/E ratio 6.9 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.21 · Dividend yield 6.6% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 200%, 600741 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥27.09Fair Value ¥45.45Bull ¥59.31
Price ¥15.15 · Upside +200.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.9348 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF¥36.67¥53.98¥100.4477
Growth DCF¥35.58¥58.08¥98.5676
Residual Income¥18.83¥21.06¥27.0776
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥36.67¥53.98¥100.4477
Owner Earnings¥54.86¥105.16¥204.7672
5Y Revenue Exit¥33.90¥53.54¥88.2671
5Y EBITDA Exit¥44.90¥77.72¥132.3173
5Y P/E Exit¥44.60¥80.86¥127.0669
10Y Revenue Exit¥33.84¥55.97¥85.4966
10Y EBITDA Exit¥42.14¥75.74¥136.3965
10Y P/E Exit¥41.93¥75.21¥131.5361
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥15.55¥104.21¥145.9963
Lynch FV¥30.50¥43.57¥56.6461
PEG = 1.0¥30.50¥43.57¥56.6457
EPV¥29.62¥32.49¥34.9674
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥8.45¥16.84¥25.5067
DDM Multi-Stage¥8.45¥14.55¥17.7867
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥37.72¥50.29¥62.8763
P/S Multiple¥29.15¥38.86¥48.5858
P/B Multiple¥29.15¥38.86¥48.5855
EV/EBIT¥41.88¥52.01¥62.1566
EV/EBITDA¥49.63¥62.34¥75.0667
EV/Revenue¥31.97¥40.75¥49.5354
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥10.65¥14.27¥21.3054
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥35.58¥58.08¥98.5676
Rev-Margin DCF¥33.90¥54.79¥85.4471
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥18.83¥21.06¥27.0776
ROIC Compounder¥33.63¥43.29¥55.8672
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥43.24¥61.77¥80.3067
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.6%
Per share before 2000divided by the spin-off factor 1.1365
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.2% vs 1.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.5% a year for the price and +2.8% for the forecasts.
Compare HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 662 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.5% · Above median
Return on assets2.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600741
Frequently asked questions
Is HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥45.45 versus a price of ¥15.15, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600741?
Our model-based fair value for HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is ¥45.45 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.15.
What is the quality score of 600741?
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥45.45 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥27.09, optimistic scenario ¥59.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥45.45, about +200% upside versus a price of ¥15.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥27.09, optimistic scenario ¥59.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 183B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd pay a dividend?
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -15.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600741 use?
Our models discount HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd that is -15.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd grew +6.6 % a year. The price currently implies -15.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (-15.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.99 %: that much free cash flow HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd it is ¥45.45 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥15.15. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 600741 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥15.15, fair value ¥45.45, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600741?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥45.45). For HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd the two are ¥30.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd worth?
The market values HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd at about 47.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥45.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600741?
Our models span a range for HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥27.09, base ¥45.45, optimistic ¥59.31 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥15.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600741?
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥45.45 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
Balance-sheet figures for HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 11.5%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600741 from its 52-week high?
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd trades at ¥15.15, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥21.28 and 3% above the low of ¥14.70 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥45.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥15.15, calculated fair value ¥45.45 (+200%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600741 calculated?
We run HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥45.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was ¥15.15. Our model-based fair value is ¥45.45, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥27.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (¥27.09 to ¥59.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) come from?
Earnings per share at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd grew +3.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.6 %, EBIT margin −5.3 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The market capitalisation of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 47.8B CNY (≈ $7.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 0.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
Earnings per share at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd are ¥2.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The dividend yield of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 6.6% (payout 45.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The net margin of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
The operating margin of HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
Revenue at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd is growing −1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741)?
Earnings per share at HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd are growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd (600741) hold?
HUAYU Automotive Systems Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 17.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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