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Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co (600789) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.8B CNY

SL Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co 600789 · SHG
Price¥7.51
Fair Value¥2.32
Upside-69.1%
Quality38/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.68% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.39 – ¥2.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +10.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.70 ¥5.17 Fair Value ¥2.32 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.17 – ¥11.70 · fair‑value band ¥1.39 – ¥2.51 · the ¥7.51 price screens above the ¥2.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co (600789) currently trades at ¥7.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.32, implying the stock looks roughly 69.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 5.7B CNY at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.39 (bear case) to ¥2.51 (bull case); at ¥7.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -69%, 600789 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.12 ¥7.43 ¥10.94 80
Residual Income ¥3.44 ¥3.32 ¥2.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.07 ¥5.70 ¥7.68 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.10 ¥7.52 ¥11.25 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.62 ¥5.11 ¥7.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.07 ¥5.69 ¥7.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.82 ¥11.05 ¥16.15 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.60 ¥4.79 ¥6.03 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.33 ¥5.92 ¥8.10 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.15 ¥9.64 ¥14.60 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.11 ¥5.29 ¥6.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7300 ¥2.73 ¥3.68 54
Lynch FV ¥0.6600 ¥0.9400 ¥1.22 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6600 ¥0.9400 ¥1.22 46
EPV ¥3.35 ¥3.69 ¥3.98 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.40 ¥2.78 ¥4.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.40 ¥2.41 ¥2.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.77 ¥2.36 ¥2.95 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.37 ¥1.83 ¥2.28 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.37 ¥1.83 ¥2.28 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.55 ¥5.67 ¥6.79 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.47 ¥10.90 ¥13.32 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.59 ¥4.62 ¥5.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.45 ¥3.28 ¥4.89 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.12 ¥7.43 ¥10.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.07 ¥5.70 ¥7.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.44 ¥3.32 ¥2.63 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.35 ¥3.69 ¥3.98 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.25 ¥1.79 ¥2.32 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥5.70) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.9400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.4%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow 359M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 89.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -44.4%
Net debt 1.8B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 19
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. operates as a pharmaceutical company in China. The company provides analgesics and antipyretics; gastrointestinal; endocrine; cardio-cerebrovascular; anti-infective; and other human formulation products.

Full company description

Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. operates as a pharmaceutical company in China. The company provides analgesics and antipyretics; gastrointestinal; endocrine; cardio-cerebrovascular; anti-infective; and other human formulation products. It offers human and veterinary active pharmaceutical ingredient; veterinary formulation; bio-pesticides; and amino acid. The company also exports its products to European Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, Russia, India, Brazil, Japan, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Jining Antibiotic Factory and changed its name to Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. in October 1993. Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Jining, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥5.8B in FY2025 versus ¥4.9B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥112M in FY2025, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+8.7%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 ¥4.9B
FY22 ¥5.6B
FY23 ¥6.1B
FY24 ¥6.2B
FY25 ¥5.8B
Net income +6.0%/yr
FY21 ¥89.1M
FY22 ¥138M
FY23 ¥246M
FY24 ¥395M
FY25 ¥112M

600789 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600789

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 93.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 7 · sector 23
HEALTH 89 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co (600789) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.32 versus a price of ¥7.51, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600789?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co is ¥2.32 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.51.
What is the quality score of 600789?
Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co (600789)?
Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600789?
The net profit margin of Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Shandong Lukang Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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