Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chongqing Constr Engineering ¥3.67, price ¥2.61, upside +40.6%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.14 – ¥6.40 · fair‑value band ¥3.39 – ¥4.09 · the ¥2.61 price screens below the ¥3.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Chongqing Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited engages in construction activities in China. The company engages in housing and infrastructure construction activities. It is also involved in building material production, engineering design, machinery manufacturing, franchising, logistics, and distribution services.
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Chongqing Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited engages in construction activities in China. The company engages in housing and infrastructure construction activities. It is also involved in building material production, engineering design, machinery manufacturing, franchising, logistics, and distribution services. In addition, the company engages in the public and civil housing construction, electromechanical installation engineering construction, and building decoration; construction and investment of highways and highway subgrades, pavements, bridges, water conservancy, ports, and tunnels; production, sales, logistics, engineering design, technical consultation, and technical services of construction machinery, equipment, components, steel structures, and building materials. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.
Stock analysis
Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) currently trades at ¥2.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.67, implying the stock looks roughly 28.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.10 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥2.61 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.6500, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.39 (bear) to ¥4.09 (bull), the price of ¥2.61 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chongqing Constr Engineering reported revenue of 22.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 57.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −1.2B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.0B CNY (≈ $741M) · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.6300 · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity −15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 2.1% · Revenue (TTM) 21.3B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 41%, 600939 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.39Fair Value ¥3.67Bull ¥4.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.9% (2020) → 0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.7% a year for the price.
Compare Chongqing Constr Engineering with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+59% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)16.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.83× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.67 versus a price of ¥2.61, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600939?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Constr Engineering is ¥3.67 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.61.
What is the quality score of 600939?
Chongqing Constr Engineering has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.67 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.39, optimistic scenario ¥4.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chongqing Constr Engineering stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.67, about +41% upside versus a price of ¥2.61 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.39, optimistic scenario ¥4.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Chongqing Constr Engineering reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chongqing Constr Engineering would have to grow free cash flow by +14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -16.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600939 use?
Our models discount Chongqing Constr Engineering at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chongqing Constr Engineering that is +14.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chongqing Constr Engineering grew -16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +14.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chongqing Constr Engineering (+14.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.65 %: that much free cash flow Chongqing Constr Engineering produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chongqing Constr Engineering it is ¥3.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥2.61. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chongqing Constr Engineering stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600939 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥2.61, fair value ¥3.67, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600939?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.67). For Chongqing Constr Engineering the two are ¥1.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chongqing Constr Engineering worth?
The market values Chongqing Constr Engineering at about 5.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.61; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600939?
Our models span a range for Chongqing Constr Engineering: cautious scenario ¥3.39, base ¥3.67, optimistic ¥4.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥2.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chongqing Constr Engineering (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −15.7%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600939 from its 52-week high?
Chongqing Constr Engineering trades at ¥2.61, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥4.37 and 11% above the low of ¥2.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chongqing Constr Engineering?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chongqing Constr Engineering stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥2.61, calculated fair value ¥3.67 (+41%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600939 calculated?
We run Chongqing Constr Engineering through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chongqing Constr Engineering currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥2.61. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.67, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chongqing Constr Engineering right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥3.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) come from?
Earnings per share at Chongqing Constr Engineering grew −17.4 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.9 %, EBIT margin −12.6 %, tax rate −4.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chongqing Constr Engineering
How large is the market capitalisation of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The market capitalisation of Chongqing Constr Engineering is 5.0B CNY (≈ $741M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chongqing Constr Engineering is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Earnings per share at Chongqing Constr Engineering are ¥−0.6300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The net margin of Chongqing Constr Engineering is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chongqing Constr Engineering is −15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chongqing Constr Engineering is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
The operating margin of Chongqing Constr Engineering is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Revenue at Chongqing Constr Engineering is growing −11.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939)?
Earnings per share at Chongqing Constr Engineering are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chongqing Constr Engineering (600939) carry?
The net debt of Chongqing Constr Engineering is 9.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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