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China Film Co Ltd (600977) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of China Film Co Ltd ¥6.23, price ¥13.50, upside -53.9%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · CN · ISIN CNE100002GX0

CF Some data Sep 24, 2026

China Film Co Ltd

600977 · SHG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥6.23 · Strongly overvalued (−54%)

!Quality 51/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

·2.37% dividend yield

!Trails peers (5/13)

!Narrow moat 20/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 5 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥6.00 to bull ¥6.23 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 51/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.67 – ¥21.35 · fair‑value band ¥6.00 – ¥6.23 · the ¥13.50 price screens above the ¥6.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

China Film Co., Ltd. engages in the production, distribution, screening, technology, service, and innovation of films and television dramas in China and internationally.

China Film Co., Ltd. engages in the production, distribution, screening, technology, service, and innovation of films and television dramas in China and internationally. It engages in the creation, distribution, screening, technology, services and innovation, covering film and TV series production, and film post-product management; domestic and imported film promotion and distribution, and secondary market distribution; cinema investment and management, and cinema chain operation; film technology research and development, film and television equipment production and sales and technical services; and film and television production, ticketing platform, and financial leasing services. The company also engages in project investment management; wholesale of film machinery and related products; animation film production; videotape publishing; cultural brokerage business; film distribution and screening; cultural training; and theater management activities. In addition, it offers technology development services; sells projection equipment and digital giant screens; economic and trade consulting services; and sells cinema and film-related equipment. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Beijing, China. China Film Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China Film Group Corporation.

Stock analysis

China Film Co Ltd (600977) currently trades at ¥13.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.23, implying the stock looks roughly 116.8% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.35 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥13.50 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥1.25, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥6.00 (bear) to ¥6.23 (bull), the price of ¥13.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

China Film Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 117M CNY in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 25.2B CNY (≈ $3.8B) · P/E ratio 168.8 · P/S ratio 4.07 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −54%, 600977 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥6.00 Fair Value ¥6.23 Bull ¥6.23

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF ¥3.63 ¥3.81 ¥4.09 82

Growth DCF ¥3.64 ¥3.79 ¥4.01 80

Owner Earnings ¥5.03 ¥6.05 ¥7.65 78

All 23 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ¥3.63 ¥3.81 ¥4.09 82

Owner Earnings ¥5.03 ¥6.05 ¥7.65 78

5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.65 ¥3.85 ¥4.11 74

5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.52 ¥5.52 ¥6.71 77

5Y P/E Exit ¥4.05 ¥4.62 ¥5.22 72

10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.63 ¥3.81 ¥4.07 68

10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.20 ¥4.98 ¥6.09 70

10Y P/E Exit ¥3.90 ¥4.35 ¥4.94 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥0.4200 ¥1.45 ¥1.95 64

Lynch FV ¥0.3300 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6200 61

PEG = 1.0 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6200 57

EPV ¥3.51 ¥3.54 ¥3.57 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥1.03 ¥1.37 ¥1.72 63

P/S Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 58

P/B Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 55

EV/EBIT ¥3.77 ¥3.91 ¥4.06 66

EV/EBITDA ¥5.17 ¥5.78 ¥6.39 67

EV/Revenue ¥3.67 ¥3.81 ¥3.95 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥2.97 ¥3.98 ¥5.95 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ¥3.64 ¥3.79 ¥4.01 80

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥4.07 ¥3.77 ¥2.77 76

ROIC Compounder ¥3.51 ¥3.54 ¥3.57 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.8800 ¥1.25 ¥1.63 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 15

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 32

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 32

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 77

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 89

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 51

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 33

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 13

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 83

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+5.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+18.3%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+10.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.0% a year

Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.1%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−26.7%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−29.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−29% vs −20%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−22% → 1%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

600977 screens 117% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 260 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 51 · Above median

Fair Value upside −54% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Above median

Return on assets 0% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 168.8× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.27× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 5.37× · Priciest 25%

P/FCF 322.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11

PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 5

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)47 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX	$72.16	$79.38	+10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS	$103.82	$100.87	−3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD	$30.83	$13.47	−56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV	$169.84	$64.71	−62%
Universal Music Group UMG	€14.55	€16.00	+10%
TKO Group TKO	$188.87	$95.50	−49%
Formula One Group FWONK	$94.62	$104.08	+10%
Fox Corporation FOXA	$64.25	$89.49	+39%
Roku, Inc ROKU	$154.25	$42.88	−72%
News Corporation NWS	A$45.40	A$29.85	−34%

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China Film Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥6.23 −117%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600977" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">China Film Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥6.23</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−117%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Film Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600977

Frequently asked questions

Is China Film Co Ltd (600977) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.23 versus a price of ¥13.50, about −54% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 600977?

Our model-based fair value for China Film Co Ltd is ¥6.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.50.

What is the quality score of 600977?

China Film Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.00, optimistic scenario ¥6.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the China Film Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥6.23, about −54% upside versus a price of ¥13.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.00, optimistic scenario ¥6.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

China Film Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does China Film Co Ltd pay a dividend?

China Film Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Film Co Ltd it is ¥6.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is China Film Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 600977 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.50, fair value ¥6.23, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 600977?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.23). For China Film Co Ltd the two are ¥7.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is China Film Co Ltd worth?

The market values China Film Co Ltd at about 25.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.23 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600977?

Our models span a range for China Film Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.00, base ¥6.23, optimistic ¥6.23 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 600977?

China Film Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 168.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.23 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 5.4.

How solid is the balance sheet of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

Balance-sheet figures for China Film Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 600977 from its 52-week high?

China Film Co Ltd trades at ¥13.50, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥20.74 and 15% above the low of ¥11.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.23 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to China Film Co Ltd?

From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is China Film Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.50, calculated fair value ¥6.23 (−54%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 600977 calculated?

We run China Film Co Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Film Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥13.50. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.23, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with China Film Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥6.00 to ¥6.23), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Where does the earnings growth of China Film Co Ltd (600977) come from?

Earnings per share at China Film Co Ltd grew −13.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.9 %, EBIT margin −6.5 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Film Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The market capitalisation of China Film Co Ltd is 25.2B CNY (≈ $3.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The price-to-sales ratio of China Film Co Ltd is 4.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

Earnings per share at China Film Co Ltd are ¥0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 168.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The dividend yield of China Film Co Ltd is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The net margin of China Film Co Ltd is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The return on equity (ROE) of China Film Co Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Film Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

The operating margin of China Film Co Ltd is −17.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

Revenue at China Film Co Ltd is growing −14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at China Film Co Ltd (600977)?

Earnings per share at China Film Co Ltd are growing +14.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does China Film Co Ltd (600977) generate?

The free cash flow of China Film Co Ltd is 11.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does China Film Co Ltd (600977) hold?

China Film Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 6.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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