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Data-driven stock valuation

China Film Co Ltd (600977) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Film Co Ltd stock ¥6.82, price ¥16.01, that is 57.4% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services CN · ISIN CNE100002GX0

CF China Film Co Ltd logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

China Film Co Ltd

600977 · SHG
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 57% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 55/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Costs 229 times its yearly profit.
Fair value ¥6.82 · Strongly overvalued (−57.4%)
2.0% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 20/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥21.35 ¥9.67 Fair Value ¥6.82 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.67 – ¥21.35 · fair‑value band ¥6.57 – ¥7.09 · the ¥16.01 price screens above the ¥6.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

China Film Co., Ltd. engages in the production, distribution, screening, technology, service, and innovation of films and television dramas in China and internationally.

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It engages in the creation, distribution, screening, technology, services and innovation, covering film and TV series production, and film post-product management; domestic and imported film promotion and distribution, and secondary market distribution; cinema investment and management, and cinema chain operation; film technology research and development, film and television equipment production and sales and technical services; and film and television production, ticketing platform, and financial leasing services.

The company also engages in project investment management; wholesale of film machinery and related products; animation film production; videotape publishing; cultural brokerage business; film distribution and screening; cultural training; and theater management activities.

In addition, it offers technology development services; sells projection equipment and digital giant screens; economic and trade consulting services; and sells cinema and film-related equipment. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Beijing, China.

China Film Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China Film Group Corporation.

Stock analysis

China Film Co Ltd (600977) currently trades at ¥16.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.82, 57% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.08 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥16.01 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.9400, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥6.57 (bear) to ¥7.09 (bull), the price of ¥16.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

China Film Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 117M CNY in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 29.9B CNY (≈ $4.5B) Mid · P/E ratio 228.7 · P/S ratio 6.46 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −57%, 600977 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4800 to ¥14.02). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥6.57 Fair Value ¥6.82 Bull ¥7.09
Price ¥16.01 · Downside -57.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF ¥3.62 ¥3.78 ¥4.01 82
Growth DCF ¥3.62 ¥3.76 ¥3.94 80
Owner Earnings ¥3.67 ¥3.85 ¥4.13 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.62 ¥3.78 ¥4.01 82
Owner Earnings ¥3.67 ¥3.85 ¥4.13 78
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.64 ¥3.84 ¥4.09 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.49 ¥5.46 ¥6.63 77
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.03 ¥4.59 ¥5.18 72
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.62 ¥3.79 ¥4.04 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.17 ¥4.91 ¥5.96 70
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.88 ¥4.31 ¥4.86 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4200 ¥1.45 ¥1.95 64
Lynch FV ¥0.3300 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6200 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4800 ¥0.6200 57
EPV ¥3.51 ¥3.53 ¥3.55 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5100 ¥1.01 ¥1.53 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5100 ¥0.8700 ¥1.07 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.03 ¥1.37 ¥1.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.52 ¥14.02 ¥17.53 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.76 ¥3.90 ¥4.04 66
EV/EBITDA ¥5.16 ¥5.77 ¥6.38 67
EV/Revenue ¥3.66 ¥3.80 ¥3.93 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.22 ¥3.36 ¥4.20 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.62 ¥3.76 ¥3.94 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.65 ¥3.79 ¥4.03 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.51 ¥3.53 ¥3.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.8800 ¥1.25 ¥1.63 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 15
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 32
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 89
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 55
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 57
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 49
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 83
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−29.1% vs −20.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−22% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

600977 screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 221 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −57.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.1% · Below median
Return on assets 0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 2.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) −14.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −8.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 228.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.69× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.46× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)40 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Universal Music Group UMG €17.10 €19.56 +14% vs 600977
Fox Corporation FOX $59.50 $65.92 +11% vs 600977
Netflix, Inc NFLX $63.41 $69.75 +10% vs 600977
Formula One Group FWONK $106.33 $114.96 +8% vs 600977
The Walt Disney Company DIS $116.75 $101.07 −13% vs 600977
News Corporation NWS $28.96 $17.05 −41% vs 600977
Roku, Inc ROKU $160.52 $71.66 −55% vs 600977
TKO Group TKO $191.00 $69.66 −64% vs 600977
Warner Music Group WMG $31.30 $10.61 −66% vs 600977
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $175.25 $48.31 −72% vs 600977

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China Film Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Film Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600977

Frequently asked questions

Is China Film Co Ltd (600977) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.82 versus a price of ¥16.01, about 57% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600977?
Our model-based fair value for China Film Co Ltd is ¥6.82 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥16.01.
What is the quality score of 600977?
China Film Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.82 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.57, optimistic scenario ¥7.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Film Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.82, about 57% lower versus a price of ¥16.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.57, optimistic scenario ¥7.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
China Film Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does China Film Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China Film Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Film Co Ltd (600977) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Film Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.32 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 16, 2026. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.02 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Film Co Ltd it is ¥6.82 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥16.01. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is China Film Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 600977 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥16.01, fair value ¥6.82, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600977?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥16.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.82). For China Film Co Ltd the two are ¥9.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Film Co Ltd worth?
The market values China Film Co Ltd at about 29.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥16.01; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600977?
Our models span a range for China Film Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.57, base ¥6.82, optimistic ¥7.09 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥16.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600977?
China Film Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 228.7 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.82 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 63.3. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Film Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600977 from its 52-week high?
China Film Co Ltd trades at ¥16.01, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥20.74 and 36% above the low of ¥11.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Film Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Film Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥16.01, calculated fair value ¥6.82 (−57%), Quality Score 55/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600977 calculated?
We run China Film Co Ltd through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥6.82 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. China Film Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥16.01. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.82, about 57% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Film Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥6.57 to ¥7.09), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of China Film Co Ltd (600977) come from?
Earnings per share at China Film Co Ltd grew −13.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.9 %, EBIT margin −6.5 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Film Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The market capitalisation of China Film Co Ltd is 29.9B CNY (≈ $4.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Film Co Ltd is 6.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
Earnings per share at China Film Co Ltd are ¥0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 228.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The dividend yield of China Film Co Ltd is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The net margin of China Film Co Ltd is 2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Film Co Ltd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Film Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
The operating margin of China Film Co Ltd is −14.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
Revenue at China Film Co Ltd is growing −8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Film Co Ltd (600977)?
Earnings per share at China Film Co Ltd are growing −87.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Film Co Ltd (600977) generate?
The free cash flow of China Film Co Ltd is 11.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Film Co Ltd (600977) hold?
China Film Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 6.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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