CECEP Wind-power Corporation (601016) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 23.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +6.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.62 – ¥6.75 · fair‑value band ¥1.34 – ¥2.23 · the ¥3.55 price screens above the ¥1.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
CECEP Wind-power Corporation (601016) currently trades at ¥3.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.78, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, CECEP Wind-power Corporation generated revenue of 4.3B CNY at a net margin of 11.6%. Revenue declined 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at 18.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.34 (bear case) to ¥2.23 (bull case); at ¥3.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -50%, 601016 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥1.96) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CECEP Wind-power Corporation Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, investment management, construction, operation, and maintenance of wind power generation projects in China. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. CECEP Wind-power Corporation Co.,Ltd.
Full company description
CECEP Wind-power Corporation Co.,Ltd. engages in the development, investment management, construction, operation, and maintenance of wind power generation projects in China. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. CECEP Wind-power Corporation Co.,Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CECEP Wind-power Corporation reported revenue of ¥4.5B in FY2025 versus ¥4.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥686M in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.
601016 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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