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Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Huadian Heavy Industries Co ¥2.83, price ¥6.68, upside -57.6%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100001W10

HH Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Huadian Heavy Industries Co

601226 · SHG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥2.83 · Strongly overvalued (−58%)
!Quality 55/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.72% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥12.73 ¥3.61 Fair Value ¥2.83 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.61 – ¥12.73 · fair‑value band ¥2.12 – ¥3.54 · the ¥6.68 price screens above the ¥2.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Huadian Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of engineering solutions in China. The company operates through seven segments: Marine Energy, Hydrogen-Based Energy, Next-Generation Coal Power, High-End Steel Structures, Material Transportation, Green and Smart Ports, and New Energy System Equipment.

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Huadian Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of engineering solutions in China. The company operates through seven segments: Marine Energy, Hydrogen-Based Energy, Next-Generation Coal Power, High-End Steel Structures, Material Transportation, Green and Smart Ports, and New Energy System Equipment. It offers long-distance curved belt conveyors, tubular belt conveyors, ship unloaders, bucket wheel stacker-reclaimers, environmentally friendly circular stockyard stacker-reclaimers, tippers, spoil heaps, four major pipelines, power plant steel structures, wind turbine towers, photovoltaic supports, and container quay cranes. The company offers its products to conveyors, ship loaders/unloaders, stacker-reclaimers, new high-efficiency through-type quay cranes, spoil helicopters, tippers, digital material yard management robots, and intelligent inspection robots industries. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China. Huadian Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China Huadian Engineering Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226) currently trades at ¥6.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.83, implying the stock looks roughly 136.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥5.12 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥6.68 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.49, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.12 (bear) to ¥3.54 (bull), the price of ¥6.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Huadian Heavy Industries Co reported revenue of 10.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 157M CNY in FY2025, compounding −15.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 7.8B CNY (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 41.8 · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1600 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −58%, 601226 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.12 Fair Value ¥2.83 Bull ¥3.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0819 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥3.68 ¥5.12 ¥7.28 77
Residual Income ¥2.62 ¥2.51 ¥2.02 76
EPV ¥2.84 ¥3.03 ¥3.20 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.68 ¥5.12 ¥7.28 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9200 ¥4.04 ¥5.53 64
Lynch FV ¥1.04 ¥1.49 ¥1.94 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.04 ¥1.49 ¥1.94 57
EPV ¥2.84 ¥3.03 ¥3.20 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.12 ¥2.83 ¥3.54 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.72 ¥2.29 ¥2.87 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.72 ¥2.29 ¥2.87 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.12 ¥5.03 ¥5.93 66
EV/EBITDA ¥5.01 ¥6.21 ¥7.42 67
EV/Revenue ¥3.34 ¥4.17 ¥5.01 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.89 ¥2.54 ¥3.78 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.62 ¥2.51 ¥2.02 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.84 ¥3.03 ¥3.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.72 ¥2.46 ¥3.19 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs −8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

601226 screens 136% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 844 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)43 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vinci SA DG €112.30 €185.62 +65%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,625 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,866 ₹1,994 −48%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 264,296 KRW −28%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €403.60 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.95 €75.04 −22%
EMCOR Group EME $756.50 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $221.69 $106.05 −52%

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Huadian Heavy Industries Co · Fair Value
¥2.83 −136%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huadian Heavy Industries Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601226

Frequently asked questions

Is Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.83 versus a price of ¥6.68, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601226?
Our model-based fair value for Huadian Heavy Industries Co is ¥2.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.68.
What is the quality score of 601226?
Huadian Heavy Industries Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.83 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.12, optimistic scenario ¥3.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huadian Heavy Industries Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.83, about −58% upside versus a price of ¥6.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.12, optimistic scenario ¥3.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Huadian Heavy Industries Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Huadian Heavy Industries Co pay a dividend?
Huadian Heavy Industries Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huadian Heavy Industries Co it is ¥2.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥6.68. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huadian Heavy Industries Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 601226 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.68, fair value ¥2.83, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601226?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.83). For Huadian Heavy Industries Co the two are ¥3.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huadian Heavy Industries Co worth?
The market values Huadian Heavy Industries Co at about 7.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.68; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601226?
Our models span a range for Huadian Heavy Industries Co: cautious scenario ¥2.12, base ¥2.83, optimistic ¥3.54 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥6.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601226?
Huadian Heavy Industries Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 17.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huadian Heavy Industries Co (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601226 from its 52-week high?
Huadian Heavy Industries Co trades at ¥6.68, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥12.73 and 19% above the low of ¥5.59 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huadian Heavy Industries Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huadian Heavy Industries Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥6.68, calculated fair value ¥2.83 (−58%), Quality Score 55/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601226 calculated?
We run Huadian Heavy Industries Co through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Huadian Heavy Industries Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥6.68. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.83, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huadian Heavy Industries Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226) come from?
Earnings per share at Huadian Heavy Industries Co grew −8.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.3 %, EBIT margin −9.9 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Huadian Heavy Industries Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The market capitalisation of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is 7.8B CNY (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is 0.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Earnings per share at Huadian Heavy Industries Co are ¥0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The dividend yield of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is 0.7% (payout 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The net margin of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
The operating margin of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Revenue at Huadian Heavy Industries Co is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226)?
Earnings per share at Huadian Heavy Industries Co are growing +374% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226) generate?
The free cash flow of Huadian Heavy Industries Co is −752M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Huadian Heavy Industries Co (601226) hold?
Huadian Heavy Industries Co holds more cash than debt, 2.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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