Liqun Commercial Group (601366) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026 — revised from ¥10.97 to ¥5.95 (−45.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥3.25 – ¥6.02 · fair‑value band ¥3.56 – ¥8.34 · the ¥3.43 price screens below the ¥5.95 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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Liqun Commercial Group (601366) currently trades at ¥3.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.95 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Liqun Commercial Group generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue declined 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.9%. Net debt stands at 3.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.56 (bear case) to ¥8.34 (bull case); at ¥3.43, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside — at 73%, 601366 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the commercial retail chain business in China. The company operates shopping malls and centers, supermarkets, convenience stores, fresh food community stores, category collection stores, electrical appliances stores, and other offline business formats, as well as online platform for hotels, canteens, restaurants, and large and medium-sized enterprises. It also engages in logistics and agency brand business, as well as international trade. In addition, the company produces fresh rice and flour products, quick-frozen rice and flour products, baked bread, pastries, braised and marinated food, pickled and conditioned products, boxed lunches and sushi, pre-prepared dishes, and sea cucumbers. Further, it offers grain and oil, wine and beverages, home appliances, clothing and shoes, baby sports, and cosmetics and jewelry through its retail chain. The company was formerly known as Qingdao Liqun Department Store Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Liqun Commercial Group reported revenue of ¥6.8B in FY2025 versus ¥8.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥322M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aeon Co AONNY | $8.41 | $10.97 | +30% |
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,686 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +56% |
| SM Investments Corporation SVTMF | $10.15 | $20.54 | +102% |
| Ryohin Keikaku Co RYKKY | $10.68 | $6.53 | -39% |
| Shoprite Holdings SRGHY | $18.32 | $18.67 | +2% |
| Marks and Spencer Group MAKSY | $9.46 | $15.71 | +66% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $613.50 | $714.63 | +16% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOL1 | 103.50 MXN | 249.88 MXN | +141% |
| Tokyu Corporation TOKUF | $12.17 | $15.84 | +30% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.58 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.