Qingdao Liqun Department Store Group Co Ltd (601366) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +6.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 41% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.56 to ¥8.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.23 – ¥6.59 · fair‑value band ¥3.56 – ¥8.34 · the ¥3.51 price screens below the ¥5.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Qingdao Liqun Department Store Group Co Ltd (601366) currently trades at ¥3.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.95, implying the stock looks roughly 69.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Qingdao Liqun Department Store Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue declined 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.9%. Net debt stands at 3.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.56 (bear case) to ¥8.34 (bull case); at ¥3.51, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 70%, 601366 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.90) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the commercial retail chain business in China. The company operates shopping malls and centers, supermarkets, convenience stores, fresh food community stores, category collection stores, electrical appliances stores, and other offline business formats, as well as online platform for hotels, canteens, restaurants, …
Full company description
Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the commercial retail chain business in China. The company operates shopping malls and centers, supermarkets, convenience stores, fresh food community stores, category collection stores, electrical appliances stores, and other offline business formats, as well as online platform for hotels, canteens, restaurants, and large and medium-sized enterprises. It also engages in logistics and agency brand business, as well as international trade. In addition, the company produces fresh rice and flour products, quick-frozen rice and flour products, baked bread, pastries, braised and marinated food, pickled and conditioned products, boxed lunches and sushi, pre-prepared dishes, and sea cucumbers. Further, it offers grain and oil, wine and beverages, home appliances, clothing and shoes, baby sports, and cosmetics and jewelry through its retail chain. The company was formerly known as Qingdao Liqun Department Store Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. in January 2018. Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qingdao Liqun Department Store Group Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥6.8B in FY2025 versus ¥8.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥322M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 126 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $636.02 | $718.64 | +13% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $23.79 | $42.68 | +79% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | -24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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