El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. MXN 259, price MXN 114, upside +127.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 68.77 MXN – 145.13 MXN · fair‑value band 155.33 MXN – 336.64 MXN · the 113.90 MXN price screens below the 258.96 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of department stores primarily in Mexico. The company operates through Liverpool Commercial, Suburbia Commercial, Real Estate, and Credit segments.
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El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of department stores primarily in Mexico. The company operates through Liverpool Commercial, Suburbia Commercial, Real Estate, and Credit segments. Its stores offer various products, such as clothes and accessories for men, women, and children; household goods; furniture; cosmetics; shoes; perfumes; and other consumer products. The company is involved in the operation of liverpool.com.mx and suburbia.com.mx websites. In addition, it owns and leases shopping centers under the Galerías name; and provides credit cards under the Liverpool and Liverpool Premium Card name, as well as Suburbia and Suburbia VISA credit cards. Further, it operates boutiques under the Banana Republic, GAP, Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Williams-Sonoma names, as well as products under Weekend, Non-Stop, Contempo, La Mode, Metropolis, and Gianfranco Dunna names. The company was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1) currently trades at 113.90 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 258.96 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 56.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 290.88 MXN per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the 113.90 MXN price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 52.30 MXN, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 155.33 MXN (bear) to 336.64 MXN (bull), the price of 113.90 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. reported revenue of 228B MXN in FY2025 versus 151B MXN in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was 17.2B MXN in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 153B MXN (≈ $8.4B) · P/E ratio 8.0 · P/S ratio 0.60 · EPS (TTM) 12.50 MXN · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 127%, LIVEPOL1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 155.33 MXNFair Value 258.96 MXNBull 336.64 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (7.22 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 13%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.2% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
Compare El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+121.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.7% · Above median
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIVEPOL1
Frequently asked questions
Is El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 258.96 MXN versus a price of 113.90 MXN, about +127% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LIVEPOL1?
Our model-based fair value for El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 258.96 MXN (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 113.90 MXN.
What is the quality score of LIVEPOL1?
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 258.96 MXN (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 155.33 MXN, optimistic scenario 336.64 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 258.96 MXN, about +127% upside versus a price of 113.90 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 155.33 MXN, optimistic scenario 336.64 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 229B MXN (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. pay a dividend?
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. would have to grow free cash flow by +9.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +10.9 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LIVEPOL1 use?
Our models discount El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. that is +9.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. grew +10.9 % a year. The price currently implies +9.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (+9.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.03 %: that much free cash flow El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. it is 258.96 MXN per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 113.90 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, LIVEPOL1 trades below its calculated fair value: price 113.90 MXN, fair value 258.96 MXN, a gap of about +127% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LIVEPOL1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (113.90 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (258.96 MXN). For El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. the two are 145.06 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. worth?
The market values El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. at about 153B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 113.90 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 258.96 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LIVEPOL1?
Our models span a range for El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V.: cautious scenario 155.33 MXN, base 258.96 MXN, optimistic 336.64 MXN per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 113.90 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LIVEPOL1?
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 258.96 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
What is the PEG ratio of LIVEPOL1?
The PEG ratio of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 1.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
Balance-sheet figures for El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LIVEPOL1 from its 52-week high?
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at 113.90 MXN, at its 52-week high of 114.00 MXN and 27% above the low of 89.47 MXN (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 258.96 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 113.90 MXN, calculated fair value 258.96 MXN (+127%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LIVEPOL1 calculated?
We run El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 258.96 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. currently trades 56 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was 113.90 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 258.96 MXN, about +127% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (155.33 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (155.33 MXN to 336.64 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The market capitalisation of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 153B MXN (≈ $8.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 0.60 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
Earnings per share at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. are 12.50 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The dividend yield of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 2.6% (payout 23.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The net margin of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
The operating margin of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
Revenue at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is growing −0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1)?
Earnings per share at El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. are growing −16.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (LIVEPOL1) carry?
The net debt of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. is 15.1B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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