Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co (601958) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 90.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥8.73 to ¥19.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.93 – ¥30.47 · fair‑value band ¥8.73 – ¥19.09 · the ¥22.87 price screens above the ¥13.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co (601958) currently trades at ¥22.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.10, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co generated revenue of 14.7B CNY at a net margin of 23.0%. Revenue grew 26.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.73 (bear case) to ¥19.09 (bull case); at ¥22.87, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -43%, 601958 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.99) versus Asset-Based (¥4.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. provides molybdenum in China and internationally. It operates through Molybdenum Ore Products and Metal Trading Products segments.
Full company description
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. provides molybdenum in China and internationally. It operates through Molybdenum Ore Products and Metal Trading Products segments. The company offers molybdenum furnace charge products comprising molybdenum concentrate, roasted molybdenum concentrate (powder and lumps), and ferromolybdenum; molybdenum chemical products, such as ammonium molybdate, high-purity, sodium molybdate, and industrial sodium. It also provides molybdenum metal products comprising molybdenum stirrers, irregularly shaped, MAL high-, welding molybdenum, drilling molybdenum, molybdenum target, and large molybdenum; and sulfuric acid, iron concentrates, and sulfur concentrates. The company's products are used in steel milling, petrochemical, mechanical manufacturing, aerospace, electronics, and lighting applications, etc. In addition, it engages in molybdenum mining, smelting, and deep processing; commodity trading; chemical and metal processing; tungsten processing; and production and sale of chemical and non-ferrous products. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Xi'an, China. Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Jinduicheng Molybdenum Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co reported revenue of ¥14.1B in FY2025 versus ¥8.0B in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.2B in FY2025, compounding +59.3%/yr from FY2021.
601958 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 477 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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