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Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co (603050) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY

SK Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co 603050 · SHG
Price¥18.03
Fair Value¥10.87
Upside-39.7%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.08% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.16 – ¥13.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.24 ¥3.77 Fair Value ¥10.87 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.77 – ¥25.24 · fair‑value band ¥8.16 – ¥13.59 · the ¥18.03 price screens above the ¥10.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co (603050) currently trades at ¥18.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.87, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co generated revenue of 4.3B CNY at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue declined 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at 757M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.16 (bear case) to ¥13.59 (bull case); at ¥18.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -40%, 603050 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥20.47 ¥38.62 ¥72.20 80
Residual Income ¥4.44 ¥5.56 ¥13.85 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.76 ¥18.68 ¥30.44 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥21.54 ¥35.22 ¥73.76 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.20 ¥22.67 ¥47.87 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.76 ¥17.36 ¥29.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥11.88 ¥19.78 ¥33.97 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥13.23 ¥24.78 ¥39.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.75 ¥23.51 ¥33.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.76 ¥25.60 ¥43.97 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥15.70 ¥28.12 ¥48.51 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.35 ¥30.33 ¥42.57 54
Lynch FV ¥9.13 ¥13.04 ¥16.95 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.13 ¥13.04 ¥16.95 46
EPV ¥5.41 ¥6.27 ¥7.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.19 ¥2.36 ¥3.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.19 ¥2.04 ¥2.50 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.07 ¥13.43 ¥16.79 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.16 ¥10.87 ¥13.59 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.16 ¥10.87 ¥13.59 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.45 ¥11.29 ¥14.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.07 ¥10.78 ¥13.48 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.02 ¥8.62 ¥11.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.33 ¥3.12 ¥4.66 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥20.47 ¥38.62 ¥72.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.76 ¥18.68 ¥30.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.44 ¥5.56 ¥13.85 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.03 ¥8.57 ¥10.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.42 ¥17.74 ¥23.06 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.51) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.0%
Net margin 5.2%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow 581M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 32.2
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5600
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.7%
Net debt 757M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. operates in the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. operates in the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry in China and internationally. The company offers substation automation products, including microcomputer protection measurement and control device, substation integrated automation system, DC power supply system, and smart integrated power system; power distribution automation products, such as smart distribution platform, fault indicators, feeder terminal units, distribution terminal units, and transformer terminal units; and advanced metering infrastructure products, including A.M.I platform, prepaid and post-paid smart meters, and data concentrators. It also provides primary and secondary distribution class, secondary transmission class, and ring main unit class; outdoor and indoor circuit breakers; current, potential, and combined current/potential transformers; dry and oil-immersed type distribution transformers; box-type substation; new energy system comprising solar panel-mono and poly, three-phase inverters, solar charge controller, off grid inverter, integrated energy storage system, lithium battery system, and smart streetlamp; and electrical vehicle charger, including alternative current type, direct current type, and EV platform. In addition, the company offers power generation, transmission, and distribution solutions. Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Shijiazhuang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co reported revenue of ¥4.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥258M in FY2025, compounding +30.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+22.3%
Revenue +21.0%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥3.9B
FY24 ¥4.1B
FY25 ¥4.4B
Net income +30.6%/yr
FY21 ¥88.6M
FY22 ¥114M
FY23 ¥299M
FY24 ¥178M
FY25 ¥258M

603050 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603050

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −40% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 23.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 50 · sector 24
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co (603050) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.87 versus a price of ¥18.03, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603050?
Our model-based fair value for Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co is ¥10.87 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥18.03.
What is the quality score of 603050?
Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co (603050)?
Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603050?
The net profit margin of Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co is about 5.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co pay a dividend?
Shijiazhuang Kelin Electric Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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