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Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co (603207) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 3.7B CNY

SX Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co 603207 · SHG
Price¥23.03
Fair Value¥22.10
Upside-4.0%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 37.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 77/100
Evidence: High Range ¥15.47 – ¥28.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥15.47 to ¥28.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (23 months)

¥37.73 ¥19.44 Fair Value ¥22.10 Aug 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range ¥19.44 – ¥37.73 · fair‑value band ¥15.47 – ¥28.61 · the ¥23.03 price screens above the ¥22.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co (603207) currently trades at ¥23.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.10, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 542M CNY at a net margin of 37.6%. Revenue grew 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.47 (bear case) to ¥28.61 (bull case); at ¥23.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -4%, 603207 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.84 ¥9.52 ¥20.14 76
Growth DCF ¥11.12 ¥14.08 ¥18.06 72
Gordon GGM ¥19.31 ¥38.47 ¥58.26 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.99 ¥14.29 ¥18.96 38
Owner Earnings ¥14.21 ¥19.04 ¥25.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.01 ¥13.10 ¥16.95 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.81 ¥21.88 ¥30.00 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥17.39 ¥26.59 ¥36.07 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.15 ¥12.99 ¥16.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.28 ¥18.87 ¥26.13 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥14.87 ¥22.03 ¥30.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.78 ¥24.29 ¥31.91 54
Lynch FV ¥4.85 ¥6.93 ¥9.02 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥4.85 ¥6.93 ¥9.02 46
EPV ¥14.77 ¥16.47 ¥17.93 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥19.31 ¥38.47 ¥58.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥19.31 ¥29.86 ¥40.58 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥19.37 ¥25.83 ¥32.28 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.13 ¥8.17 ¥10.22 58
P/B Multiple ¥15.30 ¥20.40 ¥25.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥24.23 ¥30.96 ¥37.69 53
EV/EBITDA ¥18.78 ¥23.70 ¥28.61 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.75 ¥12.20 ¥14.66 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.40 ¥4.56 ¥6.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.12 ¥14.08 ¥18.06 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.01 ¥13.16 ¥16.70 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.84 ¥9.52 ¥20.14 76
ROIC Compounder ¥15.23 ¥17.54 ¥19.92 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥15.47 ¥22.10 ¥28.73 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥29.86) versus Asset-Based (¥4.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 542M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.9%
Net margin 37.6%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow 107M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.9
More key figures
Operating margin 44.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.27
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 18
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. produces and sells medicines in China. It offers medicines in the areas of gastroenterology, dermatology, orthopedics and traumatology, five senses, and disinfection. Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥525M in FY2025 versus ¥402M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥207M in FY2025, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
525M CNY
Latest YoY
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 ¥402M
FY22 ¥457M
FY23 ¥472M
FY24 ¥475M
FY25 ¥525M
Net income +13.2%/yr
FY21 ¥126M
FY22 ¥175M
FY23 ¥204M
FY24 ¥205M
FY25 ¥207M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603207

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 7
FUTURE 65 · sector 20
PAST 67 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 95 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co (603207) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥22.10 versus a price of ¥23.03, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 603207?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co is ¥22.10 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.03.
What is the quality score of 603207?
Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co (603207)?
Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 542M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603207?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co is about 37.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Xiao Fang Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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