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Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co (603282) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY

ZY Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co 603282 · SHG
Price¥15.03
Fair Value¥15.05
Upside+0.1%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.58% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.29 – ¥18.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥11.29 (bear) to ¥18.82 (bull), base ¥15.05. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

¥37.05 ¥11.98 Fair Value ¥15.05 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range ¥11.98 – ¥37.05 · fair‑value band ¥11.29 – ¥18.82 · the ¥15.03 price screens below the ¥15.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co (603282) currently trades at ¥15.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.05, implying the stock looks roughly 0.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co generated revenue of 780M CNY at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue declined 51.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.8. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.29 (bear case) to ¥18.82 (bull case); at ¥15.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 0%, 603282 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥11.16 ¥14.43 ¥18.51 80
Residual Income ¥7.57 ¥7.82 ¥7.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.79 ¥15.30 ¥20.52 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.12 ¥14.88 ¥19.92 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.43 ¥8.09 ¥10.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.79 ¥15.27 ¥20.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥13.42 ¥20.19 ¥28.09 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.11 ¥17.74 ¥23.63 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥10.61 ¥14.50 ¥19.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.36 ¥17.63 ¥24.64 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.60 ¥16.07 ¥21.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.87 ¥15.36 ¥20.46 54
Lynch FV ¥3.37 ¥4.81 ¥6.25 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.37 ¥4.81 ¥6.25 46
EPV ¥10.04 ¥11.03 ¥11.86 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.81 ¥3.26 ¥4.49 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.81 ¥2.83 ¥3.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.29 ¥15.05 ¥18.82 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.14 ¥12.19 ¥15.23 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.14 ¥12.19 ¥15.23 55
EV/EBIT ¥17.43 ¥22.32 ¥27.20 53
EV/EBITDA ¥16.53 ¥21.11 ¥25.70 54
EV/Revenue ¥10.99 ¥14.51 ¥18.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.93 ¥6.61 ¥9.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥11.16 ¥14.43 ¥18.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.79 ¥15.30 ¥20.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.57 ¥7.82 ¥7.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.08 ¥11.55 ¥13.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.38 ¥13.39 ¥17.41 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.27) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.83). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 780M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -51.9%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow 119M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 29.8
More key figures
Operating margin -4.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5000
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +63.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical machinery.

Full company description

Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical machinery. The company offers washer products, such as rubber stopper, aluminum cap, utensil, and bottle washing machines; and ampoule external surface decontaminating machines, sterile bag transfer equipment, and sterile isolated transfer system for rubber stoppers and aluminum caps. It also offers drying machines, such as reaction tanks, crystal filtering and drying machines, agitated nutsche filter dryers, conical pulse mixing dryers, single-cone mixed dryers, and vacuum belt dryers for herbs and botanicals; and split-charging weighing systems. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Wenzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co reported revenue of ¥873M in FY2025 versus ¥484M in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥95.9M in FY2025, compounding +0.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
873M CNY
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Revenue +15.9%/yr
FY21 ¥484M
FY22 ¥916M
FY23 ¥975M
FY24 ¥801M
FY25 ¥873M
Net income +0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥93.6M
FY22 ¥168M
FY23 ¥161M
FY24 ¥102M
FY25 ¥95.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603282

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +0% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -52% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.51× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.56× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 21 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 24

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co (603282) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.05 versus a price of ¥15.03, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 603282?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co is ¥15.05 (as of Aug 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.03.
What is the quality score of 603282?
Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co (603282)?
Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 780M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603282?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Yaguang Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.53% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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