Lafang China Co (603630) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +13.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥4.79 to ¥5.22), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.10 – ¥31.44 · fair‑value band ¥4.79 – ¥5.22 · the ¥15.23 price screens above the ¥4.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Lafang China Co (603630) currently trades at ¥15.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.88, implying the stock looks roughly 68.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lafang China Co generated revenue of 831M CNY at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.79 (bear case) to ¥5.22 (bull case); at ¥15.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -68%, 603630 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.55) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.9300). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lafang China Co.,Ltd engages in the research, development, and sale of cleaning, skin care, and cosmetics products in China. It offers cream, conditioner, body wash, shampoo, soap, gel water, and gel cream products under the Lafang, Meadows, Yujie, Taoran, Mansina, Jiaocaotang, Binchun, Shengfeng, Bai Xiaoqi, Ruiboxi, T8, Muscle Ant, VNK brands.
Full company description
Lafang China Co.,Ltd engages in the research, development, and sale of cleaning, skin care, and cosmetics products in China. It offers cream, conditioner, body wash, shampoo, soap, gel water, and gel cream products under the Lafang, Meadows, Yujie, Taoran, Mansina, Jiaocaotang, Binchun, Shengfeng, Bai Xiaoqi, Ruiboxi, T8, Muscle Ant, VNK brands. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Lafang Rihua Co., Ltd. Lafang China Co.,Ltd was founded in 2001 and is based in Shantou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lafang China Co reported revenue of ¥818M in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was −¥31.2M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −0.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
603630 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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