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Lafang China (603630) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lafang China stock ¥4.76, price ¥13.33, that is 64.3% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive CN · ISIN CNE100002YH6

LC Lafang China logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Lafang China

603630 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 64% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Profit last quarter +67% vs. a year ago.
Quality 46/100
Some data
Fair value ¥4.76 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.6 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · 0.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 24/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥31.44 ¥9.10 Fair Value ¥4.76 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.10 – ¥31.44 · fair‑value band ¥4.70 – ¥5.22 · the ¥13.33 price screens above the ¥4.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Lafang China Co.,Ltd engages in the research, development, and sale of cleaning, skin care, and cosmetics products in China.

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It offers cream, conditioner, body wash, shampoo, soap, gel water, and gel cream products under the Lafang, Meadows, Yujie, Taoran, Mansina, Jiaocaotang, Binchun, Shengfeng, Bai Xiaoqi, Ruiboxi, T8, Muscle Ant, VNK brands.

The company was formerly known as Guangdong Lafang Rihua Co., Ltd. Lafang China Co.,Ltd was founded in 2001 and is based in Shantou, China.

Stock analysis

Lafang China (603630) currently trades at ¥13.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.76, 64% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.38 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥13.33 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.18, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥4.70 (bear) to ¥5.22 (bull), the price of ¥13.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Lafang China reported revenue of 818M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was −31.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.0B CNY (≈ $450M) Small · P/S ratio 3.69 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 0.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.7% · Revenue (TTM) 848M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −64%, 603630 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.70 Fair Value ¥4.76 Bull ¥5.22
Price ¥13.33 · Downside -64.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV ¥4.70 ¥4.76 ¥4.81 74
ROIC Compounder ¥4.70 ¥4.76 ¥4.81 72
EV/EBITDA ¥6.50 ¥6.96 ¥7.41 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥4.70 ¥4.76 ¥4.81 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥6.07 ¥6.38 ¥6.69 66
EV/EBITDA ¥6.50 ¥6.96 ¥7.41 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.80 ¥6.09 ¥6.37 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.76 ¥4.18 ¥5.22 55
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥4.70 ¥4.76 ¥4.81 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 16
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 13
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 74
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 67
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 18
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 66
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.4% (2019) → 5.2% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

603630 screens overvalued: fair value 64% below the price. Compare with Colgate-Palmolive Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 6.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 8.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.61× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 3.54× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 54.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)42 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹851.00 ₹1,146 +35% vs 603630
Puig Brands, S.A PUIG €19.84 €24.28 +22% vs 603630
Henkel AG HEN €74.85 €82.55 +10% vs 603630
Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI €85.26 €69.09 −19% vs 603630
The Clorox Company CLX $99.96 $74.29 −26% vs 603630
Church & Dwight Co CHD $109.33 $65.04 −41% vs 603630
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $96.56 $56.16 −42% vs 603630
Marico Limited MARICO ₹897.75 ₹493.84 −45% vs 603630
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL $110.06 $44.21 −60% vs 603630
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹1,998 ₹775.25 −61% vs 603630

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Lafang China: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lafang China Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603630

Frequently asked questions

Is Lafang China (603630) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.76 versus a price of ¥13.33, about 64% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603630?
Our model-based fair value for Lafang China is ¥4.76 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.33.
What is the quality score of 603630?
Lafang China has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lafang China (603630)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.76 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.70, optimistic scenario ¥5.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lafang China stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.76, about 64% lower versus a price of ¥13.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.70, optimistic scenario ¥5.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lafang China (603630)?
Lafang China reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 848M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Lafang China pay a dividend?
Lafang China currently shows a dividend yield of 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Lafang China (603630)?
Lafang China has a dividend yield of 0.7%.
What is the intrinsic value of Lafang China (603630)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lafang China it is ¥4.76 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥13.33. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Lafang China stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 603630 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.33, fair value ¥4.76, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603630?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.76). For Lafang China the two are ¥8.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lafang China worth?
The market values Lafang China at about 3.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.33; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603630?
Our models span a range for Lafang China: cautious scenario ¥4.70, base ¥4.76, optimistic ¥5.22 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥13.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lafang China (603630)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lafang China (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603630 from its 52-week high?
Lafang China trades at ¥13.33, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥24.60 and 7% above the low of ¥12.44 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lafang China?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, Henkel AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lafang China stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥13.33, calculated fair value ¥4.76 (−64%), Quality Score 46/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603630 calculated?
We run Lafang China through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥4.76 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Lafang China itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lafang China (603630)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥13.33. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.76, about 64% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lafang China right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (¥4.70 to ¥5.22), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Lafang China (603630) come from?
Earnings per share at Lafang China grew −11.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.4 %, EBIT margin −8.9 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Lafang China

How large is the market capitalisation of Lafang China (603630)?
The market capitalisation of Lafang China is 3.0B CNY (≈ $450M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lafang China (603630)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lafang China is 3.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Lafang China (603630)?
The dividend yield of Lafang China is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lafang China (603630)?
The net margin of Lafang China is 0.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lafang China (603630)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lafang China is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lafang China (603630)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lafang China is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lafang China (603630)?
The operating margin of Lafang China is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lafang China (603630)?
Revenue at Lafang China is growing +8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lafang China (603630)?
Earnings per share at Lafang China are growing +66.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lafang China (603630) generate?
The free cash flow of Lafang China is −60.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lafang China (603630) hold?
Lafang China holds more cash than debt, 1.2B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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